N o. 2 , Vo l. XX III , 2 01 7 Slovenian Economic Mirror ISSN 1318-3826 (print) ISSN 1581-1026 (pdf ) No. 2 / Vol. XXIII / 2017 Publisher: IMAD, Ljubljana, Gregorčičeva 27 Responsible Person: Boštjan Vasle, MSc, Director Editor in Chief: Barbara Bratuž Ferk, MSc Authors of Current Economic Trends (listed alphabetically): Urška Brodar, Aleš Delakorda, MSc, Janez Dodič, Lejla Fajić, Marjan Hafner, MSc, Slavica Jurančič, Mojca Koprivnikar Šušteršič, Janez Kušar, MSc, Jože Markič, PhD, Tina Nenadič, MSc, Mitja Perko, MSc, Jure Povšnar, Ana T. Selan, MSc, Dragica Šuc, MSc, Ana Vidrih, MSc. Authors of Selected Topics: Branka Tavčar (Insolvency in 2016) Valerija Korošec, PhD (The Global Gender Gap Index (GGGI)) Barbara Bratuž Ferk, MSc (New population projections (2015) for Slovenia) Editorial Board: Marijana Bednaš, MSc, Aleš Delakorda, MSc, Lejla Fajić, Alenka Kajzer, PhD, Rotija Kmet Zupančič, MSc, Janez Kušar, MSc, Boštjan Vasle, MSc Translator: Marija Kavčič Data Preparation, Graphs, DTP: Bibijana Cirman Naglič Print: Eurograf d.o.o. Circulation: 80 copies © The contents of this publication may be reproduced in whole or in part provided that the source is acknowledged. In the spotlight................................................................................................................................................................ 3 Current economic trends .............................................................................................................................................. 5 International environment ............................................................................................................................................... 7 Economic developments in Slovenia ............................................................................................................................. 9 Labour market .................................................................................................................................................................. 13 Prices .................................................................................................................................................................................. 15 Balance of payments ....................................................................................................................................................... 17 Financial markets ............................................................................................................................................................. 18 Public finance .................................................................................................................................................................... 19 Box 1: Main general government sector aggregates 2016 (ESA 2010) .................................................................. 20 Selected topics ...............................................................................................................................................21 Insolvency in 2016 ........................................................................................................................................................... 23 The Global Gender Gap Index (GGGI) ............................................................................................................................................ 24 New population projections (2015) for Slovenia...................................................................................................................... 26 Statistical appendix .....................................................................................................................................................29 On 1 January 2008, the new classification of activities of business entities NACE Rev. 2, which replaced NACE Rev. 1.1, came into force in all EU Member States. In the Republic of Slovenia the national version of the standard classification, SKD 2008, took effect. It includes the entire European classification of activities but also adds some national subclasses. All analyses in the Slovenian Economic Mirror are based on SKD 2008, except when the previous classification, SKD 2002, is explicitly referred to. For more information on the introduction of the new classification see the SURS website http://www.stat.si/eng/skd_nace_2008.asp. All current comparisons (at the monthly, quarterly levels) in the Slovenian Economic Mirror are made on the basis of seasonally adjusted data, while year-on-year comparisons are based on original data. Unless otherwise indicated, all seasonally adjusted data for Slovenia are calculations by IMAD. The Economic Mirror is prepared based on statistical data available by 7th April 2017. Contents 3Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 In the Spotlight Boosted by foreign and domestic demand, the favourable trends in economic activity continued in Slovenia at the turn of the year; the outlook also remains encouraging. The growth of exports and manufacturing production continued amid the strengthening of foreign demand and the preservation of the favourable competitive position. Favourable labour market developments bolstered private consumption and significantly contributed to turnover growth in trade and leisure-related services. Turnover growth also continued in other market services. Only activity in construction remained low owing to low government investment. The short-term prospects for economic activity and employment remain favourable, as confidence indicators improved further. Favourable prospects are also indicated by the improved forecasts by international institutions for economic growth in Slovenia’s main trading partners. Under the influence of rising economic activity, the growth of employment and the moderate wage growth continue. Growth in the number of employed persons was higher year on year in most private sector activities; owing to the relaxation of restrictions on hiring, employment also increased in public services. Stronger hiring and a smaller inflow into unemployment contributed to a further fall in the number of unemployed. At the end of March, just over 95,000 people were unemployed, which is 13.6% less than one year before. The growth of earnings is moderate; at the turn of the year, the movements of earnings were, as usual, marked by the dynamics of extraordinary payments. Consumer price growth strengthened in the first months of the year, reflecting supply-side factors and a further pick-up in consumption. Higher commodity prices translated into higher energy prices year on year; the prices of (unprocessed) food were also higher. Inflation in the euro area strengthened for similar reasons. In Slovenia the growth of services prices is also rising amid a further strengthening in private consumption. Loan volume was higher year on year in February for the first time in five and a half years; the maturity structure of sources of finance remains unfavourable. The increase in loan volume was due to household borrowing amid stronger consumption; the decline in the volume of loans extended to enterprises is slowing. The quality of banks’ assets continues to improve. The maturity structure of bank sources of funding continues to change in favour of non-banking sector overnight deposits. In January the general government budget was almost balanced. Amid the strengthening of economic activity, revenue growth was underpinned by growth in tax revenues, revenues from social transfers and one-off non-tax inflows; receipts from the EU budget remain lower year on year. Expenditure growth arose from most categories, the main factors being the payments of subsidies in agriculture (the dynamics of which may differ from year to year) and an increase in compensation of employees owing to the growth of employment and earnings in the public sector. In the spotlight 4 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 In the Spotlight The prospects for GDP growth in the euro area are improving. Economic activity in Slovenia is rising; the prospects remain favourable. -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 Ja n 08 Ja n 09 Ja n 10 Ja n 11 Ja n 12 Ja n 13 Ja n 14 Ja n 15 Ja n 16 Ja n 17 Se as on al ly a dj us te d in di ca to r v al ue , 3- m on th m ov in g av er ag e Se as on al ly a dj us te d re al in de x 20 08 = 10 0, 3- m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Merchandise exports Industrial production in manufacturing Construction output Turnover in retail trade Market services excluding trade, nominal Business tendency, right axis -1 0 1 2 45 50 55 60 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q ua rt er ly G D P gr ow th , i n % Va lu e Source: Eurostat, Markit Economics. Note: PMI - a reading above 50 signals GDP growth, while a reading below 50 indicates contraction. GDP euro area (right axis) Composite PMI for the euro area (left axis) The decline in registered unemployment continues to reflect strong employment and a smaller inflow into unemployment. Consumer price growth strengthened in the first months of the year, reflecting supply-side factors and a further pick-up in consumption. 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 Ja n 11 Ja n 12 Ja n 13 Ja n 14 Ja n 15 Ja n 16 Ja n 17 12 -m on th c um ul at iv e, in th ou sa nd Source: ESS. Total inflow into the unemployment register Total outflow from the unemployment register Outflow from the unemployment register into employment -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Ja n 1 1 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 1 2 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 1 3 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 1 4 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 1 5 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 1 6 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 1 7 Se as o n al ly a d ju st ed in d ic at o r v al u e Y ea r- o n -y ea r g ro w th , i n % Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. * Note: Price movements in the next 12 months. Import prices Inflation Inflation - excluding food and energy Inflationary expectations - consumers* (right axis) -2500 -2000 -1500 -1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Y ea r- o n -y ea r c h an g es , i n E U R m Source: BoS; calculations by IMAD. Note: Excluding the impact of the transfer of claims to the BAMC. Households Enterprises and NFIs Government Total -2,000 -1,500 -1,000 -500 0 500 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Y 2016 Y 2017 In E U R m Source: MF, Bulletin of Government Finance; calculations by IMAD. General government balance Primary general government balance Household borrowing is also strengthening amid higher private consumption; the contraction in the volume of loans to enterprises and NFIs is smaller. The general government budget was balanced at the beginning of the year; tax revenues and revenues from social contributions increase with the strengthening of activity. cu rr en t e co no m ic tr en ds 7Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Current Economic Trends International institutions continue to raise their forecasts for GDP growth in 2017 and 2018 for Slovenia’s main trading partners. The latest forecasts for real GDP growth are for the most part slightly more positive than the autumn ones, a consequence of the expected stronger recovery in global economic growth and trade and the more favourable economic climate. The favourable prospects continue to be subject to risks, however, primarily associated with political uncertainty and global challenges. Lending conditions for enterprises and households in the euro area are improving amid the ECB’s expansionary monetary policy,1 which is reflected in the strengthening of positive credit flows. The resilience of the banking sector in the euro area is increasing, but the weak profitability of banks and the high levels of non-performing loans remain a concern. Non-performing loans are in fact declining, but in many Member States their level remains high. Figure 1: GDP growth forecasts for 2017 for Slovenia’s main trading partners 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 Euro area Germany France Italy Austria R ea l G D P g ro w th , i n % Source: Consensus, EC, IMF, OECD. OECD Nov 16 IMF Oct 16 EC Nov 16 CONS Nov 16 OECD Mar 17 IMF Jan 17 EC Feb 17 CONS Mar 17 Figure 2: Non-performing loans in selected euro area countries 0 10 20 30 40 50 C Y EL * IT * IE PT M T* S l ES LT SK LV FR * BE A T N L EE A s a % o f a ll lo an s Q3 16 The highest value since 2008 2008 Source: IMF. Note: Data are available only for 16 countries. *data for Q2 16. The stronger recovery of the euro area economy is also indicated by a gradual increase in investment, although the level is still significantly behind that recorded before the financial crisis. Investment is being boosted by favourable financing conditions, higher corporate profits and the need to replace equipment, though the growth rate is being negatively affected by the need for further deleveraging in some Member States and uncertainty regarding long-term economic growth. The contribution of investment to real economic growth in the euro area remains relatively low, while weak investment is also reflected in potential growth, which is still significantly lower than before the crisis.2 Figure 3: Investment in Slovenia’s main trading partners 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 Q 1 08 Q 1 09 Q 1 10 Q 1 11 Q 1 12 Q 1 13 Q 1 14 Q 1 15 Q 1 16 Se as on al ly a dj us te d in de x 20 08 = 10 0, 3 -m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: Eurostat; calculations by IMAD. EA DE FR IT AT 1 The Euro Area Bank Lending Survey (ECB, January 2017). 2 The EC’s Winter Forecast (February 2017). International environment 8 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Current Economic Trends Table 1: Brent oil prices, the USD/EUR exchange rate and EURIBOR average change, in %* 2016 II 17 III 17 III 17/II 17 III 17/III 16 I-III 17/I-III 16 Brent USD, per barrel 44.80 54.87 51.59 -5.9 35.0 59.3 Brent EUR, per barrel 40.40 51.56 48.30 -6.3 40.5 65.0 EUR/USD 1.107 1.064 1.068 0.4 -3.7 -3.4 3-month EURIBOR, in % -0.265 -0.329 -0.329 0.1 -10.1 -14.2 Source: EIA, ECB, EMMI Euribor; calculations by IMAD. Note: * in Euribor change in basis points. 9Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Current Economic Trends Economic developments in Slovenia At the turn of the year, the favourable trends in economic activity continued. The growth in exports and manufacturing production continued amid the strengthening of foreign demand and the preservation of the favourable competitive position. Favourable labour market developments bolstered private consumption and significantly contributed to turnover growth in distributive trades and in services mainly related to leisure; this was also attributable to the higher number of foreign tourists. The strengthening of domestic demand and exports also contributed to further turnover growth in other market services. Only activity in construction remained modest, this as a result of low government investment. Economic sentiment continues to strengthen and points to a continuation of positive trends. Figure 4: Short-term indicators of economic activity in Slovenia 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 Ja n 08 Ja n 09 Ja n 10 Ja n 11 Ja n 12 Ja n 13 Ja n 14 Ja n 15 Ja n 16 Ja n 17 Se as on al ly a dj us te d in de x 20 08 = 10 0, 3 -m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Merchandise exports Industrial production in manufacturing Value of construction output Turnover in retail trade 3 The estimate of real merchandise exports was made on the basis of nominal exports according to the external trade statistics and industrial producer prices on the foreign market, while real imports were estimated based on nominal imports according to the external trade statistics and the import price index. 4 Detailed data on the structure of merchandise trade are available only until the end of December. Real growth in merchandise exports and imports strengthened at the turn of the year.3 Export growth continues to reflect foreign demand and the ability of manufacturing enterprises to maintain their favourable competitive position. Expectations about future exports and orders in manufacturing have also remained positive. Exports of all main groups of manufactured goods, particularly machinery and chemical products, were rising at the end of 2016.4 The growth in imports is also increasing alongside favourable export movements and growth in domestic and investment consumption. Figure 5: Merchandise trade – real 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 Se as on al ly a dj us te d in de x 20 08 = 10 0, 3 -m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Exports Imports Table 2: Selected monthly indicators of economic activity in Slovenia In % 2016 I 17/XII 16 I 17/I 16 Merchandise exports, real1 5.6 0.43 11.2 Merchandise imports, real1 4.7 3.23 12.9 Services exports, nominal2 8.1 0.53 13.8 Services imports, nominal2 5.5 -2.53 8.0 Industrial production, real 6.7 -0.13 3.34 -manufacturing 8.0 -1.03 2.94 Construction -value of construction put in place, real -17.7 -12.33 -5.6 Real turnover in retail trade 4.5 1.73 12.44 Market services (without trade) - nominal turnover 3.8 0.33 4.94 Sources: BoS, Eurostat, SURS; calculations by IMAD. Notes: 1External trade statistics; deflated by IMAD, 2balance of payments statistics, 3seasonally adjusted, 4working-day adjusted data. 10 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Current Economic Trends Nominal exports and imports of services remained high (seasonally adjusted).5 Exports and imports were up 13.8% and 8.0% year on year respectively. The year-on-year growth of both exports and imports was mainly due to transport and other business services. Production volume in manufacturing remained high at the beginning of the year. In all categories of technology intensity, production volumes were similar to those at the end of last year. In the last year, production has risen the most in the most export-oriented high-technology industries, particularly the manufacture of ICT equipment. The prospects for the first half of the year are favourable, with most manufacturing enterprises expecting a strengthening of demand, production and employment. 5 According to the balance of payments statistics. Figure 6: Trade in services – nominal 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 Ja n 1 1 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 1 2 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 1 3 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 1 4 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 1 5 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 1 6 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 1 7 In E U R m , s ea so n al ly a d ju st ed , 3 -m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: BoS; calculations by IMAD. Exports of services Imports of services Figure 7: Production volume in manufacturing 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 Se as on al ly a dj us te d in de x 20 10 = 10 0, 3 -m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS. Manufacturing, total High-technology industries Medium-high- and high-technology industries Medium-low-technology industries The value of construction output has remained more or less unchanged since the second quarter of 2016, though with considerable monthly fluctuations. Activity in 2016 and at the beginning of 2017 was significantly lower than in 2015, which is related particularly to low government investment and in January to unfavourable weather conditions. Amid the general improvement in economic conditions and a gradual rebound in the property market, the construction of flats and the construction of non-residential buildings started to pick up at the end of 2015 and mid-2016 respectively. Data on issued building permits show that favourable trends in the construction of buildings will continue. Figure 8: Value of construction output 0 20 40 60 80 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 Se as on al ly a dj us te d in de x 20 08 =1 00 , 3 -m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Total Residential buildings Non-residential buildings Civil-engineering works 11Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Current Economic Trends Prices in most residential property categories rose last year. On average, they were up 3.3% year on year. The prices of existing flats increased the most in Ljubljana (by 6.0%). The prices of new flats were also up year on year under the influence of transactions in more expensive flats (i.e. flats sold in areas of high demand and luxury flats).7 The prices of new flats from bankruptcy estates were mostly lower. The prices of existing houses were also higher last year, this following seven years of decline. Figure 10: Prices of new and existing residential properties 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 Q 1 11 Q 1 12 Q 1 13 Q 1 14 Q 1 15 Q 1 16 In de x 20 08 = 10 0, 4 -q ua rt er m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Prices of existing flats Prices of new flats Prices of existing houses Prices of new houses Sales of residential properties strengthened further last year. Sales of existing residential properties,6 which had already exceeded their 2007 peak in 2015, were up 16%. Sales of new residential properties remained at a similarly low level to that recorded in the previous year. We estimate that the rebound in the real estate market was due to the improvement in the economic situation and hence the recovery of labour market conditions, the relatively low effective interest rates on housing loans and the still relatively low prices. Figure 9: Transactions in new and existing dwellings 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 Q 1 11 Q 1 12 Q 1 13 Q 1 14 Q 1 15 Q 1 16 In de x 20 08 = 10 0, 4 -q ua rt er m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Transactions in existing flats Transactions in new flats Transactions in existing houses Transactions in new houses At the beginning of the year, nominal turnover in market services continued to grow. The growth in turnover in employment services (part of N activities) remained high, but owing to the improvement in labour market conditions, enterprises were also more frequently hiring workers directly rather than through agencies. Under the impact of higher exports of road transport services, positive trends also continued in transportation. Turnover growth in information and communication services slowed after a long period of growth that was boosted by computer services. In professional and technical activities, turnover in architectural and engineering services has ceased to decline, but activity remains low. Figure 11: Nominal turnover in market services (other than trade) 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 Se as on al ly a dj us te d in de x 20 08 = 10 0, 3 -m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Note: * including accommodation and food service activities. Total* Transportation and storage (H) Information and communication activities (J) Professional and technical activities (M) Administrative and support service activities (N) 6 The majority of transactions (90%) were in existing dwellings, 73% of which were existing flats. 7 SURS (24 March 2017). “Residential housing price indices, Slovenia, 4th quarter 2016” (Indeksi cen stanovanjskih nepremičnin, Slovenija, 4. četrtletje 2016). Available at http://www.stat.si/StatWeb/en/News/ Index/6567. 12 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Current Economic Trends Household consumption increased further at the beginning of the year, reflecting the improvement in labour market conditions and high consumer confidence. Purchases of durable goods, particularly passenger cars,8 which have been rebounding for quite some time, continued to grow. Spending on semi-durable goods and services (particularly leisure-related services at home and abroad),9 which had started to rebound last year, increased further. Figure 12: Selected indicators of household consumption 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17S ea so na lly a dj us te d in de x 20 08 = 10 0, 3 -m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: MZI, SURS; calculations by IMAD. Real turnover in the sale of non-food products Sale of passenger cars to natural persons Real net wage bill Nominal turnover in accommodation and food service activities Economic sentiment continues to improve. Confidence is rising across all sectors, whereas confidence among consumers remains at the level recorded at the end of last year. Both in all sectors and among consumers, confidence is now at the highest level since 2008. Figure 13: Business trends -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 Se as on al ly a dj us te d in di ca to r v al ue , 3- m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Note: * Owing to methodological changes, the consumer confidence data published since January 2016 are not comparable with previous data. Economic sentiment Manufacturing Retail trade Service activities Construction Consumers* 8 After last year’s almost 10% growth, the sale of motor vehicles to natural persons rose by 14.2% year on year in January and February together. 9 Turnover in accommodation and food service activities, influenced not only by higher spending on the part of domestic households but also by a record number of foreign tourist arrivals, strengthened further in January following 10% growth in 2016. Household expenditure on private trips abroad was also up (by 4.9%). 13Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Current Economic Trends The labour market Following last year’s growth, the strongest since the beginning of the crisis, the number of employed persons10 increased further in January. Higher year-on-year growth was recorded for most private sector activities.11 Short-term expectations of enterprises about future employment remain the strongest since the onset of the crisis. Owing to the relaxation of hiring restrictions in 2016, the growth of employment in public service activities was up year on year in the health sector, public administration and education (particularly at the primary level of education). Figure 14: Employment expectations -40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Ja n 11 Ja n 12 Ja n 13 Ja n 14 Ja n 15 Ja n 16 Ja n 17 Se as on al ly a dj us te d in di ca to r v al ue , 3 -m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: Eurostat. Construction Trade Services Industry 10 According to the Statistical Register of Employment, these are persons in paid employment and self-employed persons excluding farmers. 11 Amid favourable export demand, it continues to increase in manufacturing activities. It is also rising in sectors related to domestic demand, particularly trade and accommodation and food service activities. Following the significant fall in 2016, the number of registered unemployed continued to decline in the first quarter of this year. The decline continues to be mainly due to the outflow into employment, similar to that in the same period of 2016. Meanwhile, the overall inflow was smaller, primarily reflecting the lower inflow of those who became unemployed because of the termination of their fixed-term contracts. There were also fewer first- time jobseekers, which, in our view, was partly due to the smaller generations of young people finishing school and partly to the better economic conditions. At the end of March, 95,189 persons were registered as unemployed (13.6% fewer than in March 2016), which is close to the level recorded in the years of stable economic conditions before the crisis. Figure 15: Numbers of employed persons, according to the SRE, and the registered unemployed 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 720 730 740 750 760 770 780 790 800 810 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 N um b er o f r eg is te re d un em p lo ye d, in '0 00 , se as on al ly a dj us te d N um b er o f e m p lo ye d ac co rd in g to S RE , i n '0 00 , se as on al ly a dj us te d Source: SURS, ESS, calculations by IMAD. Employed according to SRE (left axis) Registered unemployed (right axis) Average gross earnings per employee continue to increase at a modest rate. After recording strong growth at the end of 2016, which was underpinned by extraordinary year- end payments, earnings in the private sector and public corporations dropped in January, as expected. Earnings in the general government remained at the high level achieved at the end of year as a result of public servants’ promotions. Figure 16: Average gross earnings per employee 100 105 110 115 120 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17S ea so na lly a dj us te d in de x 20 08 = 10 0, 3 -m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Gross earnings per employee Private sector Public sector – general government – public corporations 14 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Current Economic Trends Table 3: Labour market trend indicators change, in % 2016 I 17/XII 16 I 17/I 16 Persons in formal employment2 1.6 0.51 3.1 Registered unemployed -8.5 -1.01 -12.2 Average nominal gross wage 1.8 -0.41 2.1 - private sector 1.7 -2.41 2.9 - public sector 2.3 -0.51 1.5 -of which general government 3.6 -0.11 1.3 of which public corporations -0.5 -6.71 2.0 2016 I 16 I 17 Rate of registered unemployment (in %), seasonally adjusted 11.2 12.0 9.6 Sources: ESS. SURS; calculations by IMAD. Note: 1seasonally adjusted, 2 Persons in paid employment, self-employed persons and farmers. 15Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Current Economic Trends Consumer price growth has strengthened in the first part of this year. Year-on-year growth in energy prices continues to reflect higher prices of commodities while the rising overall inflation is also attributable to the relatively poor harvest in Spain and the resulting higher import prices of (unprocessed) food. Inflation in the euro area as a whole has increased for similar reasons. In Slovenia, stronger growth is also recorded in prices of services. With rising private consumption, the prices of leisure-related services in particular are rising, while the prices of telecommunication and public utility services are also higher. Durable goods prices have remained lower year on year, while the prices of semi-durables are similar to those one year earlier. Figure 17: Headline and core inflation in Slovenia and the euro area -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 Ye ar -o n- ye ar g ro w th (i n % ) Source: Eurostat. Euro area HICP Euro area HICP - core inflation Slovenia HICP Slovenia HICP - core inflation Industrial producer prices and import prices have been higher year on year since the end of last year. The main reason for this is further commodity price rises on world markets, which are, amid strengthening demand, gradually passed on to import prices and the prices of industrial products by domestic producers. Figure 18: Industrial producer prices and import prices 100 102 104 106 108 110 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 In de x 20 10 = 10 0 Source: SURS. PPI (domestic) PPI (foreign) Import prices Prices Table 4: Consumer price growth in % 2016 III17/II17 III17/III16 I-III17/I-III16 Total 0.5 0.4 1.9 1.8 Food 1.6 -1.1 2.3 3.0 Fuels and energy -0.2 0.2 7.4 6.8 Services 1.6 -0.7 1.5 1.7 Other1 -0.6 1.9 0.4 -0.1 Total excluding food and energy 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.7 Administered prices2 0.4 0.7 1.2 0.9 Tax impact – contribution in percentage points 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Source: SURS, Ministry of Economic Development and Technology; calculations by IMAD. Notes: 1 Clothing, footwear, furniture, passenger cars, alcoholic beverages, tobacco, etc.; 2 The calculation includes prices formulated on the basis of price mechanisms according to the Price Control Act, and prices under direct government control (oil derivatives, railway transport, school books, tolls). 16 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Current Economic Trends As a result of the weak euro and declining relative12 prices, the price competitiveness of exports improved at the beginning of the year. In the first two months of 2017, the euro lost value in nominal terms, particularly against major currencies outside the EU.13 Consumer price growth picked up year on year in this period, but less so than in Slovenia’s main trading partners. Price competitiveness improved in most euro area countries, Slovenia being among those with relatively more favourable price competitiveness movements. Figure 19: Real effective exchange rates, HICP deflator, for Slovenia and the euro area -15 -12 -9 -6 -3 0 3 6 9 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 Ye ar -o n- ye ar g ro w th , i n % Source: ECB; calculations by IMAD. SI against 56 partners (EA and extra EA) SI against 18 partners (EA) SI against 38 partners (extra EA) EA against 38 partners (extra EA) 12 Consumer prices in Slovenia in comparison with those in its trading partners. 13 In particular against the Russian rouble (−26%, year on year, following the 86% appreciation in 2013–2016), but also against the US dollar, the South Korean won, the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc. Among the currencies of major trading partners from the EU, the euro also fell in nominal terms against the Croatian kuna, the Polish zloty and the Hungarian forint. 17Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Current Economic Trends The surplus of the current account of the balance of payments rose further, totalling EUR 2.7 billion in the 12-month period14 as a whole (6.6% of estimated GDP). In comparison with the previous 12-month period,15 the larger surplus in current transactions was mainly due to the smaller deficit in primary income. The surplus in trade in services was also larger, primarily owing to higher revenue from construction works abroad and a larger surplus in trade in transport services. Imports of goods are also rising amid further growth in goods exports and domestic spending, which is reducing the trade surplus in goods. Figure 20: Components of the current account of the balance of payments -2,000 -1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 12 -m on th m ov in g su m , i n EU R m Source: BoS; calculations by IMAD. Merchandise trade Trade in services Primary income Secondary income Current account The net financing of the rest of the world continues. Financial transactions with the rest of the world recorded a net outflow of EUR 1.3 billion, which was mainly underpinned by financial investment of the private sector and the Bank of Slovenia in foreign securities. Owing to the lower interest rates, the government was withdrawing deposits from accounts abroad and repaying foreign liabilities. Figure 21: Financial transactions of the balance of payments -10,000 -8,000 -6,000 -4,000 -2,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 12 -m on th m ov in g su m , i n EU R m Source: BoS; calculations by IMAD. Direct investment Portfolio investment Financial derivatives Other investment Financial transactions 14 February 2016–January 2017. 15 February 2015–January 2016. Table 5: Balance of payments I 2017, in EUR m Inflows Outflows Balance Balance, I 16 Current account 2,845.6 2,569.7 276.0 227.1 Goods 2,105.4 1,981.9 123.5 158.5 Services 481.2 291.0 190.2 153.6 Primary income 198.3 193.8 4.4 -64.1 Secondary income 60.8 103.0 -42.1 -20.8 Capital account 42.1 41.4 0.7 -7.1 Financial account -169.6 349.8 519.4 203.0 Direct investment -1.1 66.8 68.0 -236.3 Portfolio investment 891.7 233.5 -658.2 373.1 Other investment -1,034.6 19.4 1,054.0 44.9 Net errors and omissions 0.0 242.7 242.7 -17.1 Source: BoS. Note: The methodology of the Slovenian Balance of Payments and International Investment Position statistics follows the recommendations in the sixth edition of the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual published by the International Monetary Fund. On the current and capital accounts, the term »inflows” means total receipts and the term “outflows” means total expenditures; “balance” is the difference between inflows and outflows. On the financial account, “outflows” mean assets, while “inflows” mean liabilities abroad; “balance” is the difference between outflows and inflows. In financial inflows and outflows, the increase is recorded with a plus sign and the decrease with a minus sign. Balance of payments 18 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Current Economic Trends Figure 22: Changes in the volume of loans to domestic non-banking sectors In February, the volume of loans to domestic non-banking sectors rose year on year for the first time since August 2011. In addition to the stronger growth in household loans, a significant factor in this increase was a slower decline in corporate loans. With new bank lending more or less unchanged, this decline is estimated to be largely due to lower corporate and NFI deleveraging. The borrowing terms are still unfavourable in Slovenia compared with the euro area average, which is also reflected in the outflow of the best clients from the Slovenian banking system to banks abroad. Enterprises thus borrowed around EUR 150 million net abroad in the last 12 months, this solely in the form of long-term loans. The quality of banks’ assets continues to improve. In the last few years the improvement has mainly been due to a reduction in the volume of the non-performing loans (NPLs) of large enterprises. In the future, the decline in NPLs could to a greater extent than thus far also be due to more effective management of non-performing loans in the micro, small and medium-sized enterprise (MSME) sector.16 The structure of bank liabilities continues to change in favour of non-banking sector deposits. At the end of February, these accounted for more than two-thirds of the banking system’s total assets, which is around 50% more than before the financial crisis. However, their maturity structure is fairly unfavourable (around 60% of all non- banking sector deposits being overnight deposits), which increases liquidity risk and hinders lending. The volume of liabilities to foreign banks, standing at EUR 2.7 billion at the end of February, continues to decline. Figure 23: Changes in the volume of deposits by domestic non-banking sectors -2500 -2000 -1500 -1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500 Feb 11 Feb 12 Feb 13 Feb 14 Feb 15 Feb 16 Feb 17 Ye ar -o n- ye ar c ha ng es , i n EU R m Source: BoS; calculations by IMAD. Note: Excluding the impact of the transfer of claims to the BAMC. Households Enterprises and NFIs Government Total -2000 -1500 -1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Feb 11 Feb 12 Feb 13 Feb 14 Feb 15 Feb 16 Feb 17 Ye ar -o n- ye ar c ha ng e, in E U R m Source: BoS. NFIs Non-financial corporations Central government Other government Households Total 16 For this purpose, the Handbook for Effective Management and Workout of MSME NPLs was published in the middle of March 2017; it was prepared by the World Bank at the request of the Bank of Slovenia and in consultation with the Slovenian banking sector. Financial markets Table 6: Financial market indicators Domestic bank loans to non-banking sector and household savings Nominal amounts, EUR m Nominal loan growth, % 29. II 16 31. XII 16 28. II 17 28. II 17/31. I 17 28. II 17/29. II 16 Loans total 21,156.6 21,358.5 21,380.9 -0.3 1.1 Enterprises and NFI 10,466.2 10,123.1 10,261.1 0.8 -2.0 Government 1,901.8 2,081.8 1,911.7 -8.8 0.5 Households 8,788.6 9,153.6 9,208.2 0.4 4.8 Consumer credits 2,015.7 2,144.0 2,182.6 1.1 8.3 Lending for house purchase 5,520.6 5,716.5 5,764.9 0.4 4.4 Other lending 1,252.4 1,293.1 1,260.6 -0.7 0.7 Bank deposits total 16,108.4 16,935.1 17,227.1 0.7 6.9 Overnight deposits 9,328.9 10,956.4 11,476.9 1.9 23.0 Term deposits 6,779.5 5,978.6 5,750.2 -1.7 -15.2 Government bank deposits, total 1,596.8 1,073.5 954.1 -14.0 -40.2 Deposits of non-financial corporations, total 5,207.1 5,804.6 5,665.2 0.2 8.8 Sources: Monthly Bulletin of the BoS; calculations by IMAD. Note: NFI – Non-monetary Financial Institutions. 19Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Current Economic Trends In January 2017 the general government position on a cash basis17 was almost balanced. Amid the strengthening of economic activity, tax revenues18 and revenues from social contributions continued to rise, while receipts from the EU budget remained low. Non-tax revenue growth was under the impact of one-off factors.19 Expenditure growth arose from most categories, the main factors being the payments of subsidies in agriculture (the dynamics of which may differ from year to year) and an increase in compensation of employees owing to the growth of employment and earnings in the public sector.20 Figure 24: General government balance on a cash flow basis -2,000 -1,500 -1,000 -500 0 500 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 y 2016 y 2017 In E U R m Source: MF, Bulletin of Government Finance; calculations by IMAD. General government balance Primary general government balance 17 According to the consolidated general government budgetary accounts on a cash basis. 18 Tax revenue growth was also underpinned by strong growth in revenue from excise duties, which, in addition to volume and price factors, was also affected by postponements and delays in payments. This year’s realisation of excise duties was high, in contrast to January last year, when the payment of excise duties was postponed to February (30 January having been a Saturday). According to the amended Excise Duty Act of 1 August 2016, the payment of excise duties is due on the last working day of the month (instead of the 30th as previously). 19 The strong growth of non-tax revenues arose from the accrued interest on the reopening of the RS76 bond. 20 The increase in the pay scale in September 2016 and the promotion raises paid in December 2016. Public finance Table 7: Consolidated general government revenue and expenditure on a cash basis Category I 2016 I 2017 Category I 2016 I 2017 EUR m Y-o-y growth, in % EUR m Y-o-y growth, in % EUR m Y-o-y growth, in % EUR m Y-o-y growth, in % REVENUES TOTAL 1,329.1 1.3 1,444.6 8.7 EXPENDITURE TOTAL 1,302.6 -8.4 1,451.8 11.5 Tax revenues* 711.4 -7.2 833.7 17.2 Salaries, wages and other personnel expenditures** 305.6 -3.3 317.8 4.0 Personal income tax 175.1 0.8 181.8 3.8 Expenditure on goods and services 157.9 2.2 176.4 11.7 Corporate income tax 39.8 17.0 35.2 -11.5 Interest payments 143.6 0.6 149.4 4.1 Taxes on immovable property 8.8 31.1 7.0 -20.5 Reserves 10.5 -57.4 5.3 -49.8 Value added tax 330.9 1.5 339.6 2.6 Transfers to individuals and households 529.0 2.6 541.5 2.4 Excise duties 82.1 -38.2 139.9 70.4 Other current transfers 86.9 -45.8 183.0 110.7 Social security contributions 465.0 2.3 496.7 6.8 Investment expenditure 35.6 -52.0 45.6 28.3 Non-tax revenues 57.5 4.4 98.2 70.6 Payments to the EU budget 33.6 -2.2 32.8 -2.3 Receipts from the EU budget 90.2 181.3 10.5 -88.4 GENERAL GOVERNMENT BALANCE 26.5 -7.2 Other 5.0 31.8 5.5 11.5 PRIMARY BALANCE 169.5 137.7 Source: MF. Bulletin of Government Finance; calculations by IMAD. Note:* Unlike tax revenues in the consolidated balance of public finance, tax revenues in this table do not include social constributions.** Labour costs include social contributions by the employer. 20 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Current Economic Trends 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11 20 12 20 13 20 14 20 15 20 16 A s a % o f G D P In E U R m ill io n Source: SURS. In EUR million As a % of GDP -16 -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 as a % o f G D P Source: SURS. General government deficit Primary balance Box 1: Main general government sector aggregates 2016 (ESA 2010) The general government deficit has been declining in the last few years; in 2016 it amounted to 1.5% of GDP. This decline has been taking place under the impact of the improvement in macroeconomic conditions, which since 2014 has been reflected in the strengthening of tax revenues and revenues from social contributions; the growth of these revenues is also influenced by the adopted permanent measures.1 In 2014 and 2015 fiscal consolidation on the expenditure side was strongly supported by temporary measures, which affected wage policy, employment of public servants, social benefits and transfers, but with the relaxation of these measures in 2016,2 the deficit decline was to a larger extent than in previous years achieved by reducing flexible categories of expenditure. As a result of the lower receipts from EU funds, investment in particular, i.e. co-financing with EU funds, dropped upon the transition to the 2014–2020 financial perspective. The growth of intermediate consumption was also slower, stemming mainly from higher expenditure in public institutes in the health sector. Capital transfers related to the BAMC were also significantly lower in 2016. A comparison of expenditure levels in 2016 against 2008 shows the largest increases for expenditure on social benefits (pensions), interest payments and compensation of employees and the largest declines for investment and general government subsidies. The impact of one-off factors, similarly to 2015, was negligible in 2016. The general government debt declined in 2016 and its maturity continues to be extended owing to active debt- management policy. The decline interrupted the upward trend seen since mid-2008. The debt-to-GDP ratio decreased by 3.5 percentage points in 2016 (to 79.7% of GDP at the end of 2016), which ranks Slovenia in the middle of EU Member States. On the other hand, Slovenia is still among the Member States whose debt has increased the most relative to pre- crisis levels. In 2016 the Government increased the existing issues of long-term bonds and issued new ones in a total value of around EUR 4.8 billion. The bulk of newly issued debt in 2016 was used to repay principals due (around EUR 3.6 billion) and, owing to favourable borrowing conditions on international financial markets, to swap bonds issued in 2012–2014 with the required yield of over 5% for long-term bonds with more favourable financing terms. The implicit interest rate on the total debt declined to 3.7% in 2016, which is the lowest figure ever. 1 In 2016, the government stepped up activities for more efficient tax collection (tax registers). The main measures that contributed to the increase in tax revenues in 2015 were increases in the rates of the taxes on financial and insurance services and the CO2 tax. VAT rates, which had been raised in 2013, and the fourth income bracket remained in place in 2015; the government also broadened the base for social contributions (student work). 2 A partial removal of austerity measures that had contained expenditure since 2012: in 2016 child benefits in the 5th and 6th income brackets, social assistance in cash, the eligibility criteria for state scholarships, care supplements to pensions, and subsidies for school meals were all raised. Two extraordinary adjustments of pensions were carried out. Some restrictions on hiring in the public sector were abolished (the requirement to reduce the number of employees by 1% and the need to seek for permission for hiring) and the pay scale was restored. Figure 25: General government balance (ESA 2010), as a % of GDP Figure 26: Consolidated general government debt (ESA 2010) Table 8: General government revenue, expenditure and balance (ESA 2010), Slovenia, as a % of GDP 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Revenue 42.5 42.3 43.6 43.3 44.5 45.2 44.7 45.2 43.5 Expenditure 43.9 48.2 49.3 50.0 48.6 60.3 50.0 47.8 45.0 General government deficit -1.4 -5.9 -5.6 -6.7 -4.1 -15.1 -5.3 -2.6 -1.5 Primary balance -0.3 -4.6 -4.1 -4.8 -2.1 -12.5 -2.1 0.3 1.4 Source: SI-STAT Data Portal – National Accounts – General Government Accounts – Main Aggregates of the General Government, March 2017. se le ct ed to pi cs 23Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Selected topics Including December’s round of compulsory and voluntary set-offs, the mutual indebtedness of business entities declined by EUR 2.9 billion in the period since April 2011.4 In December’s round, debtors reported liabilities in the total amount of EUR 377.1 million, of which 5.8% was set off, which is similar to previous rounds. More than half of all debtors and creditors were from manufacturing and the distributive trades. The number of bankruptcy filings,5 which had risen notably following changes to legislation6 in 2013–2015, remained high in 2016. In 2016, the most bankruptcy proceedings against legal entities were initiated in the distributive trades and construction sectors. Because of insolvency7 and hence bankruptcy, a tenth more legal entities were struck off the business register than in 2015. The number of bankruptcy filings against sole proprietors, which was the largest ever in 2015, failed to decline last year, more than half of such sole proprietors being from the sectors of construction, accommodation and food service activities, and manufacturing. The number of initiated personal bankruptcies8 (4,130) was 15% lower than the 2015 peak, while the number of completed personal bankruptcies (2,487) was almost 50% higher. The amount of reported claims from personal bankruptcies, which stood at EUR 1.1 billion in 2015, declined to EUR 840 million on 2016. 4 The ZPreZP-1 (Official Gazette of the Republic of Slovenia [Uradni list RS], No. 57/2012, of 27 July 2012), which took effect on 28 July 2012. 5 Bankruptcy proceedings are a form of winding-up an over-indebted or insolvent debtor. Under court supervision, bankruptcy proceedings are administered by a bankruptcy trustee, who liquidates all the debtor’s property to obtain financial assets for settling creditor claims. Upon completion of the bankruptcy proceedings, the legal entity is deleted from the court register. 6 The Act Amending the Financial Operations, Insolvency Proceedings and Compulsory Dissolution Act (the ZFPPIPP; Official Gazette of the Republic of Slovenia [Uradni list RS]), No. 47/2013, of 31 May 2013, according to which the debtor no longer has to deposit an advance to cover the initial costs of bankruptcy proceedings. 7 Insolvency is a situation where a debtor, over a longer period, can no longer meet its financial obligations that become due (prolonged illiquidity) or becomes unable to cover its financial obligations in the long term (long-term insolvency). 8 According to data from the Supreme Court of the Republic of Slovenia. By filing for personal bankruptcy, debtors can prevent the attachment of their assets or stop public auctions of their property. Insolvency in 2016 In 2016, solvency continued to improve. The solvency of legal entities and sole proprietors1 increased in terms of both the number of non-payers and the amount of outstanding liabilities. Payment delays shortened, but long-term outstanding liabilities2 remained high and accounted for 73% of total outstanding liabilities. The mutual indebtedness of business entities declined as a result of set-offs; fewer compulsory settlement proceedings were initiated, while the number of initiated bankruptcy proceedings increased. In 2016, the number of legal entities with outstanding liabilities3 declined further in all sectors, notably in construction. Despite the fall in the last five years, outstanding liabilities in the construction sector still accounted for one-fifth of the total daily amounts of outstanding liabilities. The average daily amounts of outstanding liabilities were declining in most sectors. The solvency of sole proprietors also improved last year. The number of all sole proprietors was one-fifth lower year on year, while the average daily amounts of outstanding liabilities (EUR 113 million) were only 5% lower. Long- term insolvency remains a problem, given that half of non-payers had not settled their liabilities for more than one year. These liabilities accounted for 80.8% of all outstanding liabilities in the structure. Almost half of non- payers were from the sectors of construction, distributive trades, and accommodation and food service activities. 1 Sole proprietors and other natural persons engaging in registered activities who are registered in the Business Register of Slovenia. 2 Liabilities that are more than one year overdue. 3 These are matured liabilities that are outstanding for more than five consecutive days in a month. AJPES keeps records of outstanding matured liabilities from court enforcement orders and tax debt. These records do not include other outstanding liabilities from unpaid bills between creditors and debtors. Figure 27: Legal entities with outstanding matured liabilities for more than five consecutive days in a month and the average daily amounts of their outstanding matured liabilities 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 In E U R m N um be r Source: AJPES. Average no. of legal entities with outstanding matured obligations (left axis) Average daily amount of outstanding matured liabilities, in EUR m (right axis) Figure 28: Average amounts of outstanding liabilities of legal entities by maturity 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 In E U R m Source: AJPES. Up to 3 months From 3 months to 1 year Over 1 year 24 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Selected topics The Global Gender Gap Index (GGGI)9 In terms of the Global Gender Gap Index, which was introduced by the World Economic Forum (WEF) in 2006, Slovenia advanced by 16% in the period to 2016. For the second time in a row, it was ranked 8th among the 144 countries included in the survey and 4th among EU Member States. The best performing countries are countries from Northern Europe (Island, Finland, Norway, Sweden and Ireland) and Ruanda, Philippines, New Zealand and Nicaragua. The main feature of the index is that it measures the gender gap, focusing on the equality of women. The index is based on 14 ratios, which are grouped into four dimensions: economic participation and opportunity, educational attainment, health and survival, and political empowerment. The index has two main characteristics. 9 Global Gender Gap Index (GGGI). Taken from the WEF’s »Global Gender Gap Report 2016«. Figure 29: Bankruptcy filings 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 N um be r Source: AJPES. Companies Sole proprietors Personal bankrupcies Table 9: Legal entities with outstanding matured liabilities for more than five consecutive days in a month, December 2016 Activity Number of legal entities with outstanding matured liabilities, Dec 2016 Growth, in % Average daily amount of outstanding matured liabilities, Dec 2016, in EUR ꞌ000 Growth, in % Average daily amount of out- standing matured liabilities per legal entity, Dec 2016, in EUR ꞌ000 XII 16/ XII 15 I-XII 16/ I-XII 15 XII 16/ XII 15 I-XII 16/ I-XII 15 C Manufacturing 471 -9.1 -17.4 41,380 -22.5 -23.0 88 F Construction 830 -9.1 -16.7 54,960 -40.1 -32.8 66 G Wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles 910 -10.2 -15.9 56,979 16.8 -10.3 63 H Transportation and storage 219 -8.0 -17.8 16,320 17.1 -4.1 75 I Accommodation and food service activities 456 2.7 -4.7 11,959 -58.1 -58.0 26 K Financial and insurance activities 65 -15.6 -22.8 3,279 17.1 -86.0 50 L Real estate activities 110 -17.9 -15.7 10,342 -72.1 -62.7 94 M Professional, scientific and technical activities 574 -14.7 -17.6 34,582 -17.5 -30.6 60 N Administrative and support service activities 147 -15.0 -14.3 6,048 -31.6 -15.3 41 Other activities (A,B,D,E,J,O-S) 686 -5.1 -10.6 69,756 22.3 -7.3 102 TOTAL 4,468 -8.9 -14.8 305,605 -20.4 -29.8 68 Source: AJPES. Table 10: Number of business entities subject to proceedings and deletions from the register due to insolvency 2009 2014 2015 2016 Total Of which companies Total Of which companies Total Of which companies Total Of which companies Initiated bankruptcy proceedings 332 276 1,302 1,107 1,154 939 1,228 1,025 Deletions from the register due to bankruptcy 269 208 850 681 1,113 921 1,217 1,003 Initiated compulsory settlement proceedings 14 14 43 40 17 17 12 12 Initiated simplified compulsory settlement proceedings1 - - 101 99 116 112 99 92 Initiated compulsory liquidation proceedings - - 10 5 11 1 37 25 Deletions from the register due to compulsory liquidation - - 3 0 2 0 5 0 Initiated voluntary liquidation proceedings2 82 63 102 46 118 46 147 63 Deletions from the register due to voluntary liquidation 66 49 81 31 117 45 97 38 Source: AJPES. Note: 1 Simplified compulsory settlement proceedings introduced by the Act Amending the Financial Operations, Insolvency Proceedings and Compulsory Dissolution Act (ZFPPIPP-E), effective from 15 August 2013 onwards. 2 In 2009, data for compulsory and voluntary liqudation proceedings together. 25Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Selected topics with other regions; that the inclusion of women can have a key impact on growth, competitiveness and the future of the economy; that a greater economic participation of women is positively correlated with greater access of women to decision-making (greater participation of women in politics, in turn, has a positive impact on society as women in politics pay greater attention to health, education and the family); and that investing in the education and health of women tends to have the greatest multiplier effects on economic growth, whereby the provision of universal education plays a crucial role, First, it focuses on capturing disparities between women and men rather than on the absolute values of the indicators. For example, it does not measure how much men earn but rather to what extent their incomes differ from those of women. The calculation of the index is thus based on the calculation of female-to-male ratios for various indicators. Second, it focuses on the equality of women, which means that except for two indicators, the highest possible score is 1.10 Slovenia scores badly particularly in the political empowerment of women, but this is a problem in most EU Member States. On the other three dimensions, it leads the way. Among the indicators that are not included in the index calculation, Slovenia stands out in gender disparities in unpaid work, which are very small. In terms of income, Slovenia is in the group of 49 countries with high income, where it ranks 6th according to the GGGI. However, the report finds that a higher gross national income does not necessarily mean a higher GGGI (i.e. smaller gender gap). The report also presents findings of recent studies, which should be taken into account in designing measures to reduce the gender gap. These studies find that it was precisely a reduction in the employment gender gap that caused the strong European economic growth in comparison 10 A ratio of 1 denotes equality for all indicators, except in the cases of sex ratio at birth (women/men=0.944, as more boys are born than girls) and healthy life expectancy by sex (1.06, as women live longer). In our view, this is the greatest deficiency of the methodology – it does not show gender disparities in favour of women, which may lead to certain inconsistencies in the calculations of ratios and country rankings. Table 11: GGGI 2016 for Slovenia F M F/M GGGI 0.786 Economic participation and opportunity 0.784 Labour force participation 67 74 0.905 Wage equality for similar work (survey) 0.698 Estimated earned income 27,109 33,754 0.803 Legislators, senior officials and managers 37 63 0.587 Professional and technical workers 56 44 1.273 Educational attainment 1.000 Literacy rate 100 100 1.000 Enrolment in primary education 98 97 1.010 Enrolment in secondary education 95 95 1.000 Enrolment in tertiary education 98 68 1.441 Health and survival 0.973 Sex ratio at birth 0.940 Healthy life expectancy 72 66 1.091 Political empowerment 0.385 Women in parliament 37 63 0.587 Women in ministerial positions 44 56 0.786 Years with female head of state 2 49 0.041 Source:”The Global Gender Gap Report 2016”, World Economic Forum. Figure 30: EU-28 countries according to the GGGI 0.664 0.679 0.680 0.684 0.690 0.690 0.699 0.700 0.716 0.719 0.726 0.727 0.734 0.736 0.737 0.738 0.744 0.745 0.747 0.752 0.754 0.755 0.755 0.756 0.766 0.786 0.797 0.815 0.845 0.500 0.550 0.600 0.650 0.700 0.750 0.800 0.850 0.900 Malta Slovakia Greece Cyprus Romania Czech R. Netherlands Croatia Austria Italy Bulgaria Poland Luxembourg Portugal Spain Lithuania Belgium Estonia U. Kingdom Denmark Latvia France Netherlands Germany Slovenia Ireland Sweden Finland Finska Source: "The Global Gender Gap Report 2016", World Economic Forum. Figure 31: Four GGGI dimensions for Finland, Slovenia, Malta and the EU-28 average 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Political empowerment Economic participation and opportunity Educational attainment Health and survival Slovenia Finland EU28 Malta Source: "The Global Gender Gap Report 2016", World Economic Forum. 26 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Selected topics Life expectancy will continue to increase, for men somewhat faster than for women. Life expectancy for women will remain longer, but the gap between male and female life expectancy is narrowing; a similar trend is also expected in the future, in view of the projected further decline in certain health risk factors and improvement in men’s lifestyle choices. In 1991 the difference was 8 years, compared with 5.9 years in 2014; by 2080, it is projected to decline to 4 years. Life expectancy for men born in Slovenia in 2080 is thus projected to be 87.0 years and for women 91.1 years. The changes in the ratio of the older population to the population of working age will become more pronounced. In 2080 there will be 56.6 people older than 65 per 100 people of working age (i.e. 20 to 64 years old). The changes in the ratio of older to working-age people, which became more pronounced in 2012, will continue as low-income families may otherwise give priority to the education of sons. The studies also find that 65% of global household spending is controlled by women, meaning that equal participation by gender may help companies to better understand consumer needs. New population projections (2015) for Slovenia11 Eurostat publishes population projections every three years; at the end of February, it released projections until 2080 in collaboration with national statistical institutes. The projections comprise data on the size of the population by age and gender based on assumptions about fertility, mortality and international migration. They show the expected population trends on the basis of certain assumptions and should not be considered forecasts. They are helpful particularly in identifying the challenges faced and for introducing adjustments necessary in response to the changing structure of the population. According to the projections, the population of Slovenia will continue to increase slightly till 2025 and then decline to 1,938 million by 2080. In the period from the beginning of 2016 to 2080, Slovenia’s population is thus expected to decline by 125,000, despite the projected positive net migration and a gradual increase in the fertility rate to 1.85 children per woman of reproductive age.12 Owing to the rising life expectancy and the ageing of larger generations,13 the age structure of the population will change significantly, as was already indicated by previous projections for Slovenia based on similar assumptions. Annual net migration to Slovenia is projected to total around 3,400, which is significantly more than in the last few years. The average for 1995–2015 was otherwise slightly higher than expected in the projection, but net migration tends to fluctuate significantly with regard to the phase of the business cycle and demand for (specific) workforce. While in 2005–2009, the period of high construction activity and economic boom, positive net migration had exceeded 11,000 people per year, it declined to only 450 per year in 2010–2015, given the high number of residents who have emigrated from Slovenia in the last few years.14 Migration therefore remains the assumption of the projection that is most difficult to define. 11 The starting point for the projections is the size of the population as of 1 January 2015. The projections are available at: http://appsso.eurostat. ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?dataset=proj_15npms&lang=en. As a working name, ESSPOP2015 is used. 12 The number of births will thus not decline drastically, despite the constant decline in the number of women in reproductive age (−17% in 2080 compared with 2015). A total of 20,641 children were born in 2015; the average number of births over the time horizon of the projection is 19,000. 13 i.e. generations born until the beginning of the 1980s, when around 30,000 children were born per year (compared with the 1985–2015 average of just over 20,000 per year). 14 Excluding 2007–2009, when net migration totalled almost 15,000, the average for 1995–2015 was 2,200. Figure 32: Changes in the age structure of Slovenia’s population, 1982–2080 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 19 82 19 87 19 92 19 97 20 02 20 07 20 12 20 17 20 22 20 27 20 32 20 37 20 42 20 47 20 52 20 57 20 62 20 67 20 72 20 77 In th ou sa nd Source: Eurostat. 0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years Figure 33: Old-age dependency coefficient, EU-28 and Slovenia 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 20 15 20 18 20 21 20 24 20 27 20 30 20 33 20 36 20 39 20 42 20 45 20 48 20 51 20 54 20 57 20 60 20 63 20 66 20 69 20 72 20 75 20 78 20 81 Po p u la ti o n 6 5+ /p o p u la ti o n (2 0– 64 ) * 1 00 Source: Eurostat; calculations by IMAD. Slovenia EU-28 27Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Selected topics Table 12: Projections of the population and selected indicators 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 Total population, compared with 2015 2,062,874 12,904 17,271 3,212 -17,784 -62,420 -106,352 -124,425 Men 1,022,229 8,820 13,024 4,934 -5,609 -27,229 -49,546 -57,769 Women 1,040,645 4,084 4,247 -1,722 -12,175 -35,191 -56,806 -66,656 Children and youth, aged 0–19 399,301 10,274 3,974 -20,684 -2,289 3,029 -7,217 4,162 Working-age population, aged 20–64 1,294,187 -52,406 -136,030 -187,706 -269,965 -302,444 -287,937 -313,362 Women of reproductive age 453,900 -25,848 -50,622 -72,317 -74,457 -72,934 -82,857 -83,090 Older population, aged 65+ 369,386 55,036 149,327 211,602 254,470 236,995 188,802 184,775 Oldest population, aged 85+ 43,382 11,144 26,861 59,034 86,350 100,464 120,541 109,179 Proportion, 0–19 years 19.4 19.7 19.4 18.3 19.4 20.1 20.0 20.8 Proportion, 20-64 years 62.7 59.8 55.7 53.6 50.1 49.6 51.4 50.6 Proportion, 65+ years 17.9 20.4 24.9 28.1 30.5 30.3 28.5 28.6 Proportion, 85+ years 2.1 2.6 3.4 5.0 6.3 7.2 8.4 7.9 Fertility rate 1.57 1.62 1.66 1.7 1.74 1.78 1.81 1.85 Live births, number* 20,641 19,832 17,868 18,467 19,811 18,810 19,036 20,104 Life expectancy at birth – men 77.8 78.9 80.4 81.9 83.3 84.6 85.8 87.0 Life expectancy at birth – women 83.9 84.4 85.7 86.9 88.0 89.1 90.1 91.1 Net migration* 502 3,090 3,943 4,094 4,158 3,171 2,655 2,656 Old-age-dependency ratio, 65+/20–64 *100 28.5 34.2 44.8 52.5 60.9 61.1 55.5 56.5 Age-dependency ratio, 0–14+65+/20–64 *100 52.1 59.7 69.8 77.8 90.4 91.1 84.3 87.6 Ageing index, 65+/0–14 *100 121.4 134.1 179.0 207.9 206.6 204.3 192.2 181.9 Parent support ratio, 85+/50-64 *100 9.7 12.2 15.9 23.8 37.1 44.2 46.1 46.6 Source: Eurostat, own calculations. Note: * Number in 2015, for 2020 – the 2016–2020 average, for 2030 – the 2021–2030 average, etc. Table 13: Comparison of the last three population projections 20601 The most recent data EUROPOP2010 EUROPOP2013 ESSPOP2015 Total population2 2,064,188 2,057,964 2,041,350 2,000,454 % of older population aged 65+ 18.4 31.6 29.5 30.3 % of working-age population aged 20–64 62.2 49.8 50.5 49.6 % of young population aged 0–19 19.4 18.7 20.0 20.1 Life expectancy, men3 78.2 84.0 84.3 84.6 Life expectancy, women3 84.1 88.8 88.9 89.1 The most recent data The average from the beginning of the projection to 2060. Fertility rate3 1.57 1.59 1.68 1.69 Net migration3 507 5,854 4,675 3,685 Source: Eurostat, SURS. Notes: 1The table shows data for 2060 and not for 2080, as this is the final year of the EUROPOP2010 projection. 2The most recent data 1 January 2016. 3The most recent data 2015. for several decades. In 2012, a larger post-war generation exited from the group of working-age people and joined the ranks of the older population; at the same time, smaller generations of young people (born in the early 1990s) started to enter the group of the working-age people, meaning that the number of people aged 20–64 started to shrink. In 30 years’ time the number of older people per 100 people of working age will already be twice as high as in 2016 (2016: 29.6); after that, the ratio will stop rising as the smaller cohorts of people born in the early 1990s start transitioning into old age. The share of the oldest population (over 85 years) will increase to 8% of the total population (2000: 2%). Moreover, the change in the age structure of the population is projected to become more pronounced than in the EU-28 as a whole within a very short period of time; the gap in relation to the EU average is projected to be widest after 2040, mainly as a result of a lower number of people born in 2021–2037 (18,000 per year). As they are made for all EU Member States, the projections are based on a single methodology; they are prepared on the assumption of convergence, which may obscure the specific characteristics of individual countries. The convergence 28 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Selected topics approach relies on the assumption that the differences between the countries are narrowing. The values of the demographic determinants are assumed to be equal in the last year of convergence (2150), which also affects the results of projections, particularly towards the end of the projection horizon. The projections for the fertility rate in Slovenia made using the convergence approach thus assume a significant improvement in long-term trends, as the fertility rate increases from the average of 1.56 in the last eight years to 1.70 in 2040 (a figure that was last seen 30 years ago) and 1.85 at the end of the projection horizon. The assumption of constant net migration of 3,400 persons per year also seems high from the current perspective, particularly over the short term (high net migration is already assumed for 2017). The high net migration assumed in the projections could be achieved only through an appropriate migration policy. All this indicates that the challenges associated with the ageing of the population may even be greater than suggested under the central scenario of the projections and need to be appropriately addressed particularly in the areas of the labour market, social protection systems, education and spatial planning.15 15 See the IMAD analysis "Demographic Change and its Economic and Social Consequences, 2016", available at http://www.umar. gov.si/en/topics/demographic-changes/topic/news/demografske- spremembe-ter-njihove-ekonomske-in-socialne-posledice/?tx_news_ pi1%5Bcontroller%5D=News&tx_news_pi1%5Baction%5D=detail&cHas h=5709baf505afb28e6b4f233864ef4b28. st at is ti ca l a pp en di x 31Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Statistical Appendix MAIN INDICATORS 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Spring forecast 2017 GDP (real growth rates, in %) 0.6 -2.7 -1.1 3.1 2.3 2.5 3.6 3.2 2.6 GDP in EUR million (current prices) 36,896 36,003 35,917 37,332 38,570 39,769 41,625 43,675 45,577 GDP per capita, in EUR (current prices) 17,973 17,504 17,439 18,107 18,693 19,262 20,158 21,152 22,081 GDP per capita (PPS)1 21,700 21,800 21,700 22,800 GDP per capita (PPS EU28=100)1 83 82 81 83 Rate of registered unemployment 11.8 12.0 13.1 13.1 12.3 11.2 9.7 9.1 8.5 Standardised rate of unemployment (ILO) 8.2 8.9 10.1 9.7 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.4 6.0 Labour productivity (GDP per employee) 2.4 -1.8 0.0 2.6 1.2 0.5 1.4 1.7 1.6 Inflation,2 year average 1.8 2.6 1.8 0.2 -0.5 -0.1 1.8 1.6 2.0 Inflation,2 end of the year 2.0 2.7 0.7 0.2 -0.5 0.5 2.1 1.9 2.1 INTERNATIONAL TRADE Exports of goods and services (real growth rates, in %) 6.9 0.6 3.1 5.7 5.6 5.9 6.0 5.1 4.8 Exports of goods 8.0 0.4 3.3 6.3 5.3 5.7 6.1 5.1 4.9 Exports of services 2.5 1.5 1.9 3.4 6.5 6.8 5.4 4.8 4.5 Imports of goods and services (real growth rates, in %) 5.0 -3.7 2.1 4.2 4.6 6.2 6.5 5.6 5.1 Imports of goods 6.0 -4.3 2.9 3.8 5.0 6.6 6.8 5.7 5.2 Imports of services -0.4 0.2 -3.1 6.3 2.2 4.1 5.0 4.8 4.4 Current account balance3, in EUR million 68 930 1,732 2,325 1,998 2,719 1,911 1,906 2,024 As a per cent share relative to GDP 0.2 2.6 4.8 6.2 5.2 6.8 4.6 4.4 4.4 Gross external debt, in EUR million 41,669 42,872 41,866 46,514 44,954 43,334 42,942* As a per cent share relative to GDP 112.9 119.1 116.6 124.6 116.6 109.0 Ratio of USD to EUR 1.392 1.286 1.328 1.329 1.110 1.107 1.067 1.068 1.068 DOMESTIC DEMAND Private consumption (real growth rates, in %) 0.0 -2.5 -4.0 2.0 0.5 2.8 3.5 2.7 2.0 As a % of GDP 56.0 56.8 55.0 54.0 52.1 51.7 52.0 51.7 51.3 Government consumption (real growth rates, in %) -0.7 -2.2 -2.1 -1.2 2.5 2.6 1.0 0.9 0.6 As a % of GDP 20.4 20.3 19.7 18.7 18.7 18.9 18.9 18.7 18.3 Gross fixed capital formation (real growth rates, in %) -4.9 -8.8 3.2 1.4 1.0 -3.1 7.0 7.0 6.0 As a % of GDP 20.2 19.3 20.0 19.6 19.5 18.4 19.1 19.9 20.7 Sources of data: SURS, BoS, Eurostat, calculations and forecasts by IMAD (Spring Forecast, March 2017). Notes: 1Measured in purchasing power standard; 2Consumer price index; 3 Balance of payments statistics; *End January 2017. 32 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Statistical Appendix PRODUCTION 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2015 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2 3 4 5 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION, y-o-y growth rates, % Industry B+C+D 2.2 5.6 6.7 2.6 6.7 5.2 5.5 5.2 5.6 8.6 6.5 6.1 7.5 8.4 0.9 6.1 B Mining and quarrying -3.8 0.4 1.8 -28.1 0.4 -14.4 -1.9 23.3 8.9 -8.0 10.1 -1.6 -5.2 29.3 -36.6 -0.8 C Manufacturing 4.3 6.0 8.0 5.6 6.8 5.8 6.3 5.3 6.8 10.2 7.7 7.2 7.4 8.7 1.6 6.8 D Electricity, gas & steam supply1 -14.2 2.5 -5.6 -16.1 5.8 2.4 -0.5 2.2 -6.6 -5.8 -6.5 -3.4 9.2 4.1 2.1 0.6 CONSTRUCTION,2 real indices of construction put in place, y-o-y growth rates, % Construction, total 19.5 -8.1 -17.7 -3.3 0.3 -8.9 -12.5 -8.3 -31.3 -21.4 -12.7 -9.2 6.0 -1.5 -6.9 -8.9 Buildings 3.8 -4.0 2.4 -4.5 -5.3 -1.1 -5.6 -4.2 -6.6 -11.6 5.7 19.1 -6.5 -8.2 -5.4 1.0 Civil engineering 26.5 -9.8 -24.7 -1.9 2.5 -11.5 -15.2 -10.0 -39.9 -24.9 -19.3 -19.0 11.8 0.8 -7.5 -12.2 MARKET SERVICES, year-on-year growth rates, % Services, total 3.7 5.4 3.8 2.2 3.7 4.2 5.0 8.4 5.0 4.3 3.1 3.1 6.0 4.4 2.0 4.1 Transportation and storage 6.2 3.2 3.4 4.5 2.3 3.1 2.2 5.2 3.7 4.5 2.8 2.7 5.7 3.1 0.8 2.1 Information and communication activities 1.1 4.6 2.8 -0.5 1.4 1.7 4.5 10.2 4.0 4.5 3.2 -0.1 3.2 2.0 2.9 0.3 Professional, scientific and technical activities -1.8 3.5 -0.7 -5.7 3.5 -0.4 2.6 7.7 0.8 0.9 -4.5 0.2 5.8 2.1 -4.5 2.5 Administrative and support service activities 2.5 11.6 10.1 10.1 14.2 15.5 9.7 8.0 12.2 6.5 8.8 13.6 12.8 16.2 12.4 13.5 Distributive trades, y-o-y growth rates, % Total real turnover* 2.4 5.7 10.2 2.6 4.9 6.8 4.5 6.6 9.0 9.1 8.8 13.5 6.4 6.4 2.7 8.1 Real turnover in retail trade 0.0 1.0 4.5 -0.7 0.7 1.4 0.4 1.6 2.1 2.2 3.1 10.0 2.9 0.7 -0.9 2.5 Real turnover in the sale and maintenance of motor vehicles 6.9 14.0 21.7 8.9 12.0 15.9 12.6 15.2 23.0 24.1 18.9 20.8 12.3 15.4 8.9 17.6 Nominal turnover in wholesale trade & commission trade 3.7 1.4 2.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 0.6 2.9 0.2 1.2 0.1 6.3 3.4 4.4 -2.2 1.8 TOURISM, y-o-y growth rates, %, new methodology from 2009 onwards Total, overnight stays -0.5 7.2 7.6 3.9 6.8 7.0 9.1 3.3 9.6 0.9 9.0 11.3 12.4 2.2 6.1 8.1 Domestic tourists, overnight stays -3.5 6.3 2.8 1.6 6.8 4.9 8.7 3.4 1.3 1.0 4.6 3.4 9.9 1.0 10.5 -2.9 Foreign tourists, overnight stays 1.4 7.7 10.3 5.6 6.9 8.2 9.3 3.2 17.4 0.8 10.9 17.1 15.7 3.2 3.7 14.2 Accommodation and food service activities 0.2 7.4 11.0 -1.1 5.0 6.6 8.5 9.3 9.9 8.3 13.5 12.0 5.8 3.4 2.2 9.0 AGRICULTURE, y-o-y growth rates, % Purchase of agricultural products, SIT bn, since 2007 in EUR m 506.9 472.9 465.7 138.0 102.5 111.3 123.6 135.5 104.6 110.1 118.2 132.9 32.1 36.3 37.1 37.0 BUSSINES TENDENCY (indicator values**) Sentiment indicator -2.3 5.2 5.5 1.3 4.5 5.0 5.4 5.9 3.7 4.5 5.9 7.9 4.3 5.4 4.6 5.1 Confidence indicator - in manufacturing 2 6 6 3 7 5 6 6 4 6 5 7 6 8 4 6 - in construction -11 -14 -10 -12 -10 -14 -17 -15 -17 -15 -7 -1 -11 -8 -14 -14 - in services 5 16 19 11 15 16 16 18 17 19 19 21 16 16 17 16 - in retail trade 9 15 20 17 17 16 14 14 24 13 24 16 19 9 24 19 Consumer confidence indicator -22 -11 -14 -17 -15 -10 -8 -12 -18 -17 -12 -10 -16 -14 -12 -11 Source of data: SURS. Note: 1Only companies with activity of electricity supply are included. 2The survey covers all larger construction enterprises and some other enterprises that perform construction work. *Total real turnover in retail trade, the sale and repair of motor wehicles, and retail sale of automotive fuels. **Seasonally adjusted data. 33Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Statistical Appendix 2015 2016 2017 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 8.4 2.6 8.4 6.2 3.5 8.4 3.6 4.0 8.6 4.1 8.8 10.0 7.3 2.8 10.0 7.4 2.6 7.7 8.4 9.6 - - 6.8 11.4 9.3 -21.1 -10.8 27.4 77.5 10.0 7.1 9.6 -8.5 -6.1 -9.4 -24.6 9.7 50.3 33.2 -15.1 -18.4 5.9 - - 9.0 3.1 9.0 7.3 4.0 8.6 3.1 5.1 10.3 5.2 10.6 11.6 8.5 4.3 11.9 7.8 3.0 9.0 9.9 9.6 - - 4.7 -3.0 1.8 -0.1 2.6 3.6 0.7 -5.8 -6.0 -8.1 -7.3 -5.0 -5.2 -8.1 -6.0 -5.3 -8.0 -3.2 0.9 9.0 - - -10.5 -12.8 -13.8 -10.7 -11.6 7.0 -22.2 -25.9 -29.7 -36.0 -27.4 -19.5 -17.9 -15.8 -14.9 -7.4 -15.2 -15.1 9.3 -5.7 - - 0.9 -2.9 -11.3 -1.7 -7.0 2.6 -8.1 -9.4 -2.8 -7.5 -12.3 -13.4 -9.4 6.6 1.3 9.4 8.6 14.3 37.5 31.3 - - -14.3 -16.5 -15.1 -14.1 -13.2 8.5 -28.3 -32.2 -39.3 -45.1 -32.5 -21.7 -21.0 -23.7 -20.9 -13.5 -23.1 -24.5 -2.0 -18.5 - - 6.3 4.6 5.7 4.7 6.4 12.3 7.0 4.7 6.5 3.8 4.0 4.7 4.2 -0.6 5.3 4.9 0.9 2.8 5.4 7.3 - - 6.2 2.4 3.9 0.6 3.9 8.6 3.3 3.6 5.5 2.2 4.1 4.6 4.6 -3.5 6.3 5.9 1.0 3.4 3.7 9.8 1.8 2.2 4.8 6.6 4.6 15.0 10.9 3.5 3.7 4.6 4.1 4.0 5.4 0.4 2.9 6.2 0.9 -0.7 -0.5 3.4 1.0 2.6 2.2 2.9 7.2 13.6 3.1 -0.7 2.1 0.9 0.0 2.9 -0.3 -7.4 0.2 -5.7 -7.5 -0.5 7.8 6.4 20.2 8.7 9.9 10.5 9.7 10.8 3.6 11.4 13.7 11.7 8.2 8.3 3.5 8.2 9.7 8.4 6.9 13.5 21.3 7.9 - - 9.8 3.5 4.9 5.1 3.8 7.8 8.3 6.0 13.3 7.9 8.6 10.9 8.0 5.2 13.8 8.0 10.7 15.4 14.6 15.9 - - 2.6 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.4 1.8 2.8 0.8 3.7 2.0 0.5 1.6 4.3 1.3 5.6 2.4 7.7 11.4 11.1 14.1 - - 21.4 9.7 15.9 13.1 9.4 19.9 16.8 15.7 33.0 21.1 25.4 30.6 17.1 12.2 27.7 18.6 16.8 22.9 22.6 19.6 - - 5.0 0.8 0.3 0.8 -2.1 5.6 5.9 -0.2 2.2 -1.1 -1.9 3.0 2.4 -5.6 5.6 0.8 3.0 6.8 9.2 16.0 - - 6.7 10.9 8.7 7.0 1.1 0.6 8.8 9.3 7.0 12.8 -0.4 2.5 0.4 8.1 6.9 14.6 13.7 12.6 7.2 5.0 - - 7.4 8.3 10.2 6.4 0.9 5.0 5.1 6.8 2.7 -5.0 8.5 -0.5 -3.1 2.3 1.5 15.3 -5.9 11.4 7.0 -2.8 - - 6.3 12.1 8.1 7.3 1.2 -3.0 11.7 11.0 12.5 28.8 -5.7 3.9 2.3 10.9 9.2 14.3 26.9 13.6 7.4 10.0 - - 8.2 10.3 8.0 7.0 6.2 8.7 13.0 7.8 12.8 9.2 9.0 6.6 9.2 13.3 10.7 16.9 14.2 10.3 11.4 8.7 - - 37.2 43.3 36.2 44.2 49.0 40.3 46.2 33.7 34.2 36.7 36.0 37.3 36.8 39.1 36.3 42.9 46.3 42.9 43.6 35.0 - - 4.9 3.5 6.9 5.8 5.7 5.3 6.7 4 3.5 3.5 5.8 3.5 4.3 5.2 6.5 6.1 7.1 8.1 8.6 10.2 10.6 12.5 5 6 8 5 7 7 7 4 5 4 8.0 5 5 4 7 4 6 7 7 9 11 12 -13 -15 -15 -20 -15 -14 -15 -15 -17 -19 -16.0 -16 -13 -12 -8 -2 -2 -1 1 -1 7 5 15 16 16 17 18 18 20 16 17 19 22.0 17 18 19 18 19 21 22 21 22 23 26 5 5 15 23 14 14 12 28 23 21 10.0 13 17 19 24 30 11 19 19 13 18 28 -6 -14 -5 -6 -11 -14 -10 -16 -19 -19 -17.0 -18 -16 -13 -12 -11 -11 -10 -9 -3 -9 -9 34 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Statistical Appendix LABOUR MARKET 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2015 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2 3 4 FORMAL LABOUR FORCE (A=B+E) 917.9 917.4 920.4 921.3 919.7 917.5 914.5 917.8 917.8 919.7 917.7 926.2 919.9 920.6 917.9 PERSONS IN FORMAL EMPLOYMENT (B=C+D)1 797.8 804.6 817.2 804.4 798.0 805.0 807.1 808.5 803.0 817.2 820.3 828.3 797.4 802.5 803.0 In agriculture, forestry, fishing 35.4 29.9 23.1 35.1 32.8 30.5 29.4 26.9 23.9 23.8 22.1 22.8 32.7 33.0 30.5 In industry, construction 252.4 255.2 260.3 253.8 250.4 255.2 257.3 257.9 254.7 260.7 262.5 263.3 249.9 252.2 254.2 Of which: in manufacturing 178.3 181.0 186.7 179.2 178.8 179.9 181.6 183.6 184.1 186.2 187.3 189.0 178.8 179.1 179.3 in construction 54.0 54.3 53.9 54.5 51.8 55.3 55.7 54.5 50.9 54.6 55.4 54.7 51.3 53.2 55.0 In services 510.0 519.6 533.8 515.5 514.9 519.3 520.4 523.7 524.4 532.7 535.7 542.3 514.7 517.3 518.2 Of which: in public administration 48.8 48.1 48.4 48.5 48.1 48.2 48.3 48.0 48.1 48.4 48.6 48.6 48.1 48.2 48.2 in education, health-services, social work 122.2 124.0 127.7 123.1 123.3 124.1 123.3 125.5 125.9 127.6 127.3 130.0 123.4 123.9 124.0 FORMALLY EMPLOYED (C)1 703.0 713.1 730.5 708.8 704.2 712.9 715.9 719.3 716.2 730.2 734.6 741.1 703.6 708.2 710.9 In enterprises and organisations 652.6 662.3 680.2 657.2 654.6 661.5 664.6 668.6 667.5 679.6 683.6 690.2 654.3 657.6 659.6 By those self-employed 50.5 50.8 50.3 51.6 49.7 51.4 51.4 50.6 48.7 50.7 51.0 50.9 49.3 50.6 51.4 SELF-EMPLOYED AND FARMERS (D) 94.8 91.6 86.7 95.6 93.8 92.1 91.1 89.2 86.9 87.0 85.8 87.2 93.8 94.3 92.0 REGISTERED UNEMPLOYMENT (E) 120.1 112.7 103.2 116.9 121.6 112.5 107.4 109.3 114.8 102.5 97.4 97.9 122.6 118.1 114.9 Female 59.6 57.5 52.4 59.6 60.0 57.7 55.9 56.2 56.6 52.3 50.6 50.2 59.9 59.2 58.5 By age: 15 to 29 30.4 26.7 22.5 30.2 30.0 26.5 23.9 26.4 26.1 21.7 20.5 21.6 30.2 29.0 27.7 aged over 50 37.3 36.7 36.5 36.0 37.8 36.8 36.2 36.1 38.6 36.8 35.4 35.0 37.9 37.3 37.0 Primary education or less 33.8 32.3 30.2 32.8 35.3 32.0 30.5 31.2 33.8 30.0 28.2 28.8 35.9 33.9 32.7 For more than 1 year 59.9 59.7 55.1 59.7 61.1 60.1 59.1 58.4 58.5 56.0 53.5 52.3 61.0 60.8 60.3 Those receiving benefits 26.6 23.7 23.1 23.7 28.7 22.4 21.4 22.2 28.9 21.3 20.5 21.5 29.4 27.3 23.1 RATE OF REGISTERED UNEMPLOYMENT, E/A, in % 13.1 12.3 11.2 12.7 13.2 12.3 11.7 11.9 12.5 11.1 10.6 10.6 13.3 12.8 12.5 Male 12.0 11.1 10.2 11.4 12.3 11.0 10.3 10.7 11.8 10.1 9.4 9.5 12.5 11.7 11.3 Female 14.3 13.7 12.4 14.2 14.4 13.8 13.4 13.4 13.4 12.4 12.0 11.8 14.4 14.2 14.0 FLOWS OF FORMAL LABOUR FORCE -4.6 -6.4 -13.5 6.9 -1.4 -7.9 -5.5 8.3 -2.9 -10.4 -4.7 4.5 -1.7 -4.5 -3.2 New unemployed first-job seekers 18.5 15.8 14.2 8.4 3.5 2.2 2.8 7.4 3.0 2.0 2.7 6.5 1.1 1.1 0.8 Redundancies 83.9 81.3 75.7 23.1 24.4 16.3 17.3 23.3 23.8 15.4 16.3 20.3 5.9 6.0 5.8 Registered unemployed who found employment 74.0 71.0 74.9 15.3 21.8 19.0 16.9 13.3 23.6 20.6 16.1 14.5 6.5 9.0 7.3 Other outflows from unemployment (net) 33.2 32.6 28.6 9.3 7.5 7.5 8.6 9.1 6.0 7.2 7.5 7.9 2.2 2.5 2.4 WORK PERMITS FOR FOREIGNERS 25.1 23.2 19.2 23.6 22.6 23.3 23.7 23.3 21.6 20.0 18.2 17.1 22.3 22.8 23.1 As % of labour force 2.7 2.5 2.1 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.0 1.8 2.4 2.5 2.5 Source of data: SURS, PDII, ESS. Note: 1In January 2005, the SORS adopted new methodology of obtaining data on persons in paid employment. The new source of data for employed and self-employed persons excluding farmers is the Statistical Register of Employment (SRE), while data on farmers are forecast using the ARIMA model based on quarterlyFigure for farmers from the Labour Force Survey. 35Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Statistical Appendix 2015 2016 2017 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 917.3 917.3 915.0 913.6 914.8 917.9 918.8 916.7 916.2 918.0 919.4 919.3 919.9 919.8 916.9 916.6 919.6 926.6 927.9 924.1 926.4 804.9 807.1 805.5 805.6 810.1 810.4 811.4 803.6 798.0 801.9 809.2 813.9 817.6 820.0 817.8 818.7 824.4 829.3 831.1 824.5 822.7 30.5 30.5 29.5 29.3 29.3 27.0 26.8 26.9 23.9 23.9 24.0 23.8 23.8 23.7 22.2 22.1 22.2 22.9 22.8 22.6 22.2 255.1 256.2 256.5 256.9 258.4 259.6 259.8 254.3 252.7 254.1 257.4 259.7 260.7 261.7 262.1 262.0 263.5 264.6 265.1 260.1 258.7 179.9 180.6 180.9 181.3 182.5 183.6 184.1 183.0 183.2 184.1 184.9 185.6 186.2 186.8 186.8 187.1 188.1 188.9 189.6 188.6 188.6 55.3 55.6 55.5 55.6 56.0 56.1 55.7 51.6 49.8 50.2 52.7 54.2 54.6 55.0 55.3 55.2 55.7 56.0 55.9 52.2 50.8 519.2 520.4 519.5 519.4 522.3 523.8 524.8 522.5 521.4 524.0 527.8 530.4 533.2 534.6 533.5 534.6 538.8 541.8 543.2 541.8 541.7 48.0 48.3 48.2 48.3 48.2 47.9 48.3 48.0 47.9 48.1 48.3 48.3 48.4 48.5 48.5 48.6 48.7 48.7 48.7 48.4 48.4 124.1 124.1 122.8 122.6 124.5 125.2 125.7 125.5 125.0 125.8 126.8 127.4 127.7 127.8 126.5 126.5 128.8 129.7 130.3 130.1 130.3 712.7 714.9 714.3 714.6 718.8 721.2 722.1 714.5 711.3 715.0 722.2 727.0 730.6 733.0 732.2 733.1 738.4 742.2 743.8 737.4 735.8 661.3 663.5 663.0 663.3 667.4 669.7 670.9 665.3 663.2 666.7 672.6 676.6 679.9 682.2 681.4 682.2 687.3 690.7 692.4 687.6 687.1 51.4 51.4 51.3 51.3 51.4 51.4 51.2 49.2 48.2 48.3 49.6 50.4 50.7 50.8 50.8 50.9 51.2 51.5 51.5 49.8 48.7 92.2 92.1 91.2 91.0 91.3 89.3 89.2 89.1 86.7 86.9 87.0 86.9 87.0 87.0 85.6 85.7 86.0 87.1 87.2 87.1 86.8 112.4 110.2 109.6 107.9 104.8 107.5 107.4 113.1 118.2 116.0 110.2 105.5 102.3 99.8 99.1 97.9 95.1 97.3 96.8 99.6 103.7 57.6 56.8 56.9 56.4 54.6 56.2 55.8 56.6 57.9 56.9 54.9 53.5 52.3 51.3 51.4 51.0 49.4 50.6 50.1 49.7 50.5 26.4 25.4 24.8 23.9 22.9 26.2 26.9 26.9 27.3 26.4 24.7 22.9 21.5 20.5 20.1 19.6 21.8 21.8 21.5 21.5 21.6 36.8 36.7 36.6 36.3 35.7 35.6 35.6 37.2 39.1 38.9 37.9 37.2 36.8 36.3 36.0 35.6 34.7 34.7 34.7 35.7 37.6 31.9 31.4 31.0 30.5 30.1 30.3 30.4 33.0 34.6 34.3 32.4 30.8 30.0 29.2 28.6 28.2 27.9 28.0 28.1 30.1 32.0 59.9 60.0 59.5 59.0 58.9 58.8 58.2 58.2 59.2 58.5 57.8 56.6 56.1 55.4 54.3 53.6 52.7 52.8 52.2 51.9 52.1 22.4 21.8 21.8 21.5 20.8 20.6 20.7 25.3 30.2 29.5 26.9 22.1 21.3 20.7 21.2 20.1 20.2 20.1 20.5 23.8 28.4 12.3 12.0 12.0 11.8 11.5 11.7 11.7 12.3 12.9 12.6 12.0 11.5 11.1 10.8 10.8 10.7 10.3 10.5 10.4 10.8 11.2 11.0 10.7 10.6 10.4 10.1 10.3 10.4 11.4 12.2 11.9 11.1 10.5 10.1 9.8 9.6 9.4 9.2 9.3 9.3 10.0 10.6 13.8 13.6 13.6 13.5 13.1 13.4 13.3 13.5 13.7 13.5 13.0 12.7 12.4 12.1 12.2 12.1 11.7 11.9 11.8 11.7 11.9 -2.5 -2.1 -0.7 -1.6 -3.2 2.7 -0.1 5.7 5.1 -2.1 -5.8 -4.8 -3.2 -2.5 -0.7 -1.2 -2.8 2.1 -0.4 2.8 4.1 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 1.4 5.0 1.3 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 1.4 4.5 1.3 0.7 1.0 5.2 5.3 6.5 5.1 5.8 6.5 6.5 10.3 12.9 5.7 5.2 5.3 5.1 5.0 6.1 4.8 5.4 5.9 6.1 8.3 12.0 6.0 5.7 5.2 4.7 7.0 5.4 4.8 3.1 6.7 6.9 10.0 8.4 6.5 5.7 5.0 4.3 6.8 5.3 5.1 4.0 6.3 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.7 3.4 3.3 3.1 2.6 2.2 1.8 1.9 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.8 3.0 2.7 2.3 2.6 23.6 23.2 23.3 23.6 24.1 23.8 23.3 22.8 22.1 21.8 21.0 20.3 20.3 19.5 19.0 18.2 17.6 17.1 17.1 17.0 16.9 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 36 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Statistical Appendix WAGES EUR m 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2016 Q4 16 Jan17 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 GROSS WAGE PER EMPLOYEE, nominal y-o-y growth rates, % TOTAL 1,584 1,636 1,592 1.1 0.7 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 1.3 2.3 1.5 1.7 1.9 Private sector activities (A–N; R–S) 1,526 1,588 1,529 1.5 0.8 1.4 1.3 0.4 0.8 0.6 1.2 1.8 1.1 1.0 1.6 Public service activities (OPQ) 1,765 1,787 1,786 0.3 0.6 3.3 0.8 0.8 0.2 -0.1 1.7 3.9 2.8 3.7 2.9 Industry (B–E) 1,585 1,672 1,584 3.1 1.7 1.9 2.9 1.4 1.9 1.2 2.1 2.2 1.6 1.3 2.6 Trad. market services (GHI) 1,394 1,448 1,399 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.3 0.2 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.9 Other market services (J–N; R–S) 1,691 1,737 1,698 -0.3 -0.4 0.7 -0.8 -0.5 -0.9 -0.5 0.1 1.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 A Agriculture, forestry and fishing 1,310 1,358 1,288 0.7 0.2 -0.2 0.5 -0.7 0.0 -0.2 1.6 2.3 -0.8 0.8 -3.1 B Mining and quarrying 2,057 2,126 2,082 5.9 -5.9 2.8 2.0 -8.9 -4.8 -4.8 -4.9 1.1 1.6 2.8 5.6 C Manufacturing 1,546 1,632 1,546 3.3 2.1 2.1 3.2 2.1 2.3 1.8 2.3 2.4 1.7 1.5 2.9 D Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply 2,347 2,486 2,304 2.6 -1.0 1.5 -0.1 -4.4 1.7 -3.0 1.9 2.3 2.0 0.2 1.4 E Water supply sewerage, waste management and remediation activities 1,524 1,608 1,563 1.4 1.5 2.0 2.2 1.3 0.3 1.8 2.2 2.3 2.6 1.7 1.2 F Constrution 1,205 1,228 1,191 0.3 -0.2 1.4 0.9 -0.7 -0.8 -0.5 1.0 1.5 1.5 2.0 0.4 G Wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles 1,437 1,497 1,438 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.3 0.4 1.8 1.6 1.8 2.4 1.6 1.0 1.4 H Transportation and storage 1,467 1,528 1,478 1.1 0.5 -0.4 3.0 0.7 1.4 0.6 -0.5 -0.1 -0.6 -0.6 -0.1 I Accommodation and food service activities 1,085 1,101 1,097 -0.2 -1.0 1.4 -2.0 -2.2 -1.0 -1.0 -0.1 2.0 0.3 1.0 2.2 J Information and communication 2,107 2,164 2,129 0.1 1.0 0.5 0.8 2.6 -0.2 1.0 0.7 1.1 0.6 -0.2 0.6 K Financial and insurance activities 2,293 2,371 2,344 1.2 2.1 1.5 2.3 3.9 1.9 1.8 1.0 2.1 -0.1 1.9 2.4 L Real estate activities 1,489 1,566 1,474 -1.2 -0.7 0.6 -2.4 -1.1 -1.6 -0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.3 M Professional, scientific and technical activities 1,739 1,796 1,744 1.1 0.8 0.8 2.2 0.8 1.7 0.5 -0.1 1.3 0.7 0.2 1.1 N Administrative and support service activities 1,054 1,083 1,056 2.4 0.4 3.4 1.2 0.3 -0.6 0.0 1.9 3.7 3.8 3.1 3.0 O Public administration and defence, compulsory social security 1,873 1,898 1,914 1.0 2.1 4.7 1.5 1.8 0.7 0.4 5.2 6.8 4.3 5.4 2.4 P Education 1,688 1,706 1,701 0.0 -0.2 2.5 0.7 0.5 -0.1 -0.6 -0.3 1.8 2.2 2.9 3.0 Q Human health and social work activities 1,760 1,788 1,778 -0.1 0.3 3.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.8 3.6 2.2 3.0 3.4 R Arts, entertainment and recreation 1,650 1,705 1,659 -0.5 -0.5 2.3 -1.1 -0.5 -0.2 -1.6 0.3 1.6 2.4 1.7 3.3 S Other service activities 1,335 1,349 1,339 -1.1 -2.2 -0.9 -2.2 -1.9 -2.8 -2.5 -1.5 -0.1 -1.0 -1.0 -1.4 Source of data: SURS, calculations by IMAD. 37Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Statistical Appendix 2015 2016 2017 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 -0.2 1.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 -0.2 2.5 1.5 1.1 3.5 2.4 1.4 1.8 1.3 0.2 2.8 2.1 1.5 0.5 3.7 2.1 -0.3 1.7 0.6 0.7 0.4 -0.3 3.1 0.6 0.0 3.3 2.0 0.9 1.6 0.8 -1.0 2.7 1.2 0.3 -0.4 4.8 2.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.2 0.1 0.9 4.1 4.0 4.0 3.6 3.0 2.7 2.8 3.6 3.1 4.4 4.8 3.0 0.9 1.0 0.4 2.6 1.6 1.2 1.0 0.6 4.8 0.5 -0.2 4.4 2.5 0.2 2.7 1.9 -1.8 4.0 1.7 0.3 0.4 7.1 4.1 0.8 1.8 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.2 1.9 0.6 0.6 2.8 1.4 1.7 0.7 0.0 -0.7 1.3 0.9 0.2 -2.9 5.4 2.3 -2.0 0.6 -0.9 0.1 -0.6 -1.6 1.4 0.6 -0.6 2.5 1.7 0.8 0.6 -0.4 -0.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 1.2 1.5 0.9 -1.5 3.6 -0.4 0.0 -0.2 -4.0 8.5 0.2 1.4 2.9 2.5 -0.9 1.3 -2.7 -0.2 2.7 -0.3 0.2 -7.1 -2.5 -0.6 -5.5 -7.7 1.8 -9.6 -6.6 -4.2 -5.4 -5.1 -1.5 1.4 3.4 -3.9 -0.4 9.2 -6.6 10.1 4.9 4.9 7.3 4.7 6.5 0.6 3.2 1.2 2.2 1.8 1.0 4.6 1.1 0.0 4.7 2.4 0.5 2.9 1.6 -1.1 3.8 1.8 0.2 0.8 7.5 4.1 0.9 0.6 5.7 -8.2 -6.0 -2.6 12.1 -4.5 -0.7 3.4 4.3 -2.4 1.7 6.5 -7.1 5.9 1.8 3.5 -5.4 6.0 3.9 -0.6 0.6 3.1 1.2 1.0 2.1 4.3 0.1 0.3 2.6 4.1 1.3 3.7 2.6 -2.7 5.6 2.3 -0.9 -0.1 4.7 6.3 -1.8 0.3 -0.6 -0.6 -0.4 -1.2 3.3 1.0 0.5 1.8 2.3 1.5 2.0 1.1 -0.4 4.4 1.8 0.3 -1.2 2.2 1.2 1.1 2.5 1.9 1.7 1.1 1.2 2.9 1.3 1.2 4.2 1.9 3.3 1.1 0.6 -0.1 1.8 1.4 0.4 -0.3 4.1 2.8 0.8 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.5 -1.6 0.3 -0.4 -0.8 -0.3 0.7 -0.9 0.2 -0.9 -2.2 0.7 -0.4 -0.3 -10.7 10.7 1.5 -0.4 -1.3 -1.7 -0.1 -1.1 -0.8 0.9 -0.2 1.5 3.3 1.2 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.2 1.2 1.8 1.7 3.7 1.1 2.4 -0.7 1.5 1.6 0.5 1.0 -0.3 1.2 1.2 0.1 1.4 1.8 0.7 1.5 -0.6 -1.9 1.8 -0.5 0.2 -0.5 1.9 2.5 -1.6 4.8 1.1 2.9 1.3 -2.9 3.0 3.0 -2.4 5.8 2.9 1.1 -0.4 -1.1 0.6 3.6 1.4 -1.2 7.1 1.2 1.8 -1.6 -2.2 -0.9 0.0 -0.5 -0.3 1.0 0.7 0.2 1.0 -0.1 -0.7 0.0 2.3 -0.7 0.8 1.2 0.5 -3.9 7.2 1.3 2.0 0.9 0.2 2.5 -1.1 -1.4 1.5 -0.3 -0.9 2.7 2.0 0.4 1.6 0.0 -0.5 0.5 0.8 1.1 -0.4 2.4 2.1 -2.0 0.8 -0.7 0.2 0.5 0.7 3.5 1.4 2.1 4.2 4.6 4.0 4.2 3.2 2.6 3.9 2.9 2.4 1.2 5.4 1.9 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.1 1.8 4.1 9.7 7.3 7.0 6.2 5.3 3.6 4.0 4.9 4.8 6.6 5.5 3.0 -1.4 1.1 -0.1 0.2 -0.5 -0.6 -0.6 -1.0 -0.8 1.1 1.7 1.6 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.6 3.5 4.1 2.9 1.8 1.1 0.2 -0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 -0.2 -0.1 2.6 3.7 4.0 3.1 2.0 2.4 2.3 3.4 2.1 3.6 4.9 3.3 2.0 0.9 -0.3 -0.5 -1.5 -1.4 -1.8 0.4 1.0 -0.4 1.5 2.1 1.3 4.9 1.1 1.3 2.4 0.2 2.6 4.1 3.5 2.2 1.1 -3.4 -3.0 -2.6 -2.1 -2.7 -2.2 -0.4 -1.8 0.3 -0.6 0.2 -1.4 -1.2 -0.3 -1.9 0.0 -1.1 -1.5 -2.0 -0.6 -0.8 38 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Statistical Appendix PRICES AND INDICATORS OF OVERALL COMPETITIVENESS 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2015 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2 3 4 5 CPI, y-o-y growth rates, % 0.2 -0.5 0.5 -0.1 -0.4 -0.6 -0.5 -0.6 -0.7 -0.2 0.1 0.6 -0.4 -0.3 -0.7 -0.5 Food, non-alcoholic beverages -0.3 0.9 1.7 -0.7 -0.3 1.1 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.2 1.3 1.7 -0.3 0.7 0.8 1.3 Alcoholic beverages, tobacco 3.6 1.9 0.4 3.7 4.2 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 4.2 4.2 4.1 1.8 Clothing and footwear -0.9 -0.9 -2.9 -1.6 -0.9 -1.8 -0.4 -0.4 0.5 0.6 -1.7 -0.5 -0.6 -3.1 -2.4 -1.7 Housing, water, electricity, gas 0.1 -1.3 -0.1 -0.8 -1.6 -1.3 -1.2 -1.0 -1.1 -1.3 -1.0 -0.5 -1.9 -1.3 -1.0 -1.3 Furnishings, household equipment -1.2 -1.2 0.9 -1.6 -1.8 -1.9 -0.4 -0.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 -1.9 -2.1 -2.3 -2.1 Medical, pharmaceutical products -0.1 0.5 0.8 -0.4 0.0 -0.1 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.7 -0.3 0.1 -0.2 -0.3 Transport 0.2 -5.1 -0.1 -0.9 -4.5 -4.4 -5.3 -6.3 -5.4 -4.8 -3.1 -0.3 -4.6 -4.0 -5.1 -4.0 Communications -1.9 1.1 2.9 -2.8 -0.5 -1.3 1.7 4.3 4.0 5.2 2.6 2.2 1.2 0.1 -0.8 -0.5 Recreation and culture 0.8 1.0 0.2 3.0 4.2 1.5 0.3 -1.6 -2.0 0.8 1.7 0.5 4.1 4.3 1.3 2.2 Education 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 Catering services 1.1 0.5 1.0 0.7 1.0 0.2 -0.1 1.0 1.7 2.1 2.8 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.8 -0.3 Miscellaneous goods & services 1.6 1.4 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.9 1.1 2.9 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.8 0.7 HCPI 0.4 -0.8 0.6 0.0 -0.5 -0.8 -0.8 -0.9 -0.9 -0.4 0.0 0.7 -0.5 -0.4 -0.7 -0.8 Core inflation (excluding fresh food and energy) 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.3 1.2 0.9 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.3 PRODUCER PRICE INDICES, y-o-y growth rates, % Total -0.6 -0.2 0.5 -0.1 0.1 0.6 -0.4 -1.2 -1.8 -2.2 -1.3 -0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.6 Domestic market -1.1 -0.5 -0.2 -0.8 -0.3 0.0 -0.5 -1.2 -1.6 -1.9 -1.5 -0.4 -0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 Non-domestic market -0.1 0.1 1.2 0.7 0.5 1.3 -0.3 -1.2 -2.0 -2.6 -1.2 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.8 1.1 euro area -0.7 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.0 0.1 -1.3 -2.3 -2.5 -1.9 0.1 0.9 0.6 1.2 0.8 non-euro area 1.1 -0.1 2.3 0.6 0.1 1.8 -1.1 -1.1 -1.4 -2.6 0.1 1.3 -0.2 1.1 3.0 1.6 Import price indices -1.4 -0.7 2.7 -1.2 -0.7 0.2 -0.5 -1.6 -2.2 -2.3 -1.7 0.9 -0.9 0.3 0.5 0.1 INDICATORS OF OVERALL COMPETITIVENESS1, y-o-y growth rates, % Effective exchange rate,2 nominal 0.3 -2.8 0.8 -1.0 -3.1 -3.7 -2.4 -1.9 0.5 1.4 0.6 0.7 -2.9 -4.2 -4.5 -3.6 Real (deflator HICP) -0.1 -3.8 0.2 -1.4 -3.6 -4.8 -3.4 -3.1 -0.7 0.8 0.2 0.5 -3.5 -4.7 -5.4 -4.8 Real (deflator ULC) -1.8 -2.9 -1.5 -4.3 -3.5 -2.4 -2.1 1.0 2.3 0.2 USD / EUR 1.32881.1096 1.1066 1.2492 1.1270 1.1047 1.1119 1.0949 1.1018 1.1293 1.1164 1.0789 1.1350 1.0838 1.0779 1.1150 Source of data: SURS, ECB; calculations by IMAD. Note: 1 Source for effective exchange rate series ECB; 2 Harmonised effective exchange rate – a group of 19 EU Member States and 18 euro area countries; an increase in value indicates appreciation of the national currency and vice versa. 39Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Statistical Appendix 2015 2016 2017 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 -0.7 -0.4 -0.3 -0.6 -0.8 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -0.7 -0.9 -0.6 -0.4 0.3 0.2 0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.5 1.3 2.2 1.2 1.4 1.8 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 -0.2 -0.2 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.1 2.1 1.3 1.7 2.8 3.6 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.0 1.8 -1.2 0.0 -0.7 -0.4 -2.0 0.1 0.8 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 -1.4 -0.9 -2.8 1.8 -0.3 -2.9 -1.8 -0.5 -1.5 -1.9 -0.8 -0.9 -0.9 -1.1 -1.0 -0.7 -1.1 -1.4 -1.5 -1.3 -1.2 -0.4 -1.4 -1.1 -1.2 -0.3 -0.1 1.4 2.9 -1.4 -0.4 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 -1.4 -1.1 -0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.1 -0.3 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.2 1.2 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 -0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.9 -4.2 -4.5 -4.8 -6.5 -6.7 -7.0 -5.2 -4.5 -5.5 -6.2 -5.2 -5.3 -4 -3.8 -4.5 -0.9 -1 0.1 -0.1 3.3 4.3 -2.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 3.3 4.3 5.3 5.3 2.9 3.9 4.5 5.2 6 2.3 2.2 3.4 2 1.8 2.9 3.0 3.4 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 -0.8 -1.8 -2.3 -1.8 -2.4 -1.9 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.7 2.3 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.2 -0.9 1.5 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 -0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 -0.4 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.4 1.2 2.1 1.9 1.8 2.2 2.3 2.7 3.1 2.5 2.4 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.0 1.2 6.5 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.9 -0.9 -0.7 -0.6 -1.0 -1.2 -0.9 -0.6 -0.8 -0.9 -0.9 -0.7 -0.5 0.1 -0.1 -0.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.6 1.5 2.5 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 -0.4 -1.0 -1.1 -1.2 -1.4 -1.6 -1.7 -2.2 -2.5 -2.2 -2.0 -1.8 -1.4 -0.9 -0.6 -0.2 0.5 1.3 1.9 -0.2 -0.2 -0.4 -0.9 -0.9 -1.3 -1.4 -1.5 -1.4 -1.9 -2 -1.9 -1.8 -1.7 -1.6 -1.1 -0.2 -0.7 -0.2 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.5 -0.4 -1.1 -1.2 -1.2 -1.3 -1.7 -1.9 -2.4 -2.9 -2.5 -2.2 -1.8 -1.3 -0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.3 3.0 1.0 0.8 0.0 -0.6 -1.0 -1.3 -1.6 -2.0 -2.3 -2.6 -2.7 -2.6 -2.3 -2.3 -2 -1.3 -0.4 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.1 1.0 -0.2 -1.0 -2.2 -1.6 -0.9 -0.7 -1.1 -1.1 -2 -3.4 -2.4 -1.8 -0.7 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.8 2.3 3.9 5.1 0.0 0.0 -0.5 -0.8 -1.8 -1.7 -1.4 -1.9 -2.4 -2.4 -3.1 -2.2 -1.7 -1.8 -1.9 -1.4 0.1 0.1 2.7 4.5 5.3 -3.0 -3.2 -2.5 -1.7 -1.6 -2.3 -1.8 -0.3 0.6 1.3 1.9 1.4 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.4 1.2 0.5 0.0 -0.6 -4.3 -4.2 -3.4 -2.8 -3.0 -3.6 -2.8 -1.6 -0.5 0.1 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.9 1.1213 1.0996 1.1139 1.1221 1.1235 1.0736 1.0877 1.0860 1.1093 1.1100 1.1339 1.1311 1.1229 1.1069 1.1212 1.1212 1.1026 1.0799 1.0543 1.0614 1.0643 40 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Statistical Appendix BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2015 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 1 2 3 4 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS, BPM6 methodology, EUR m Current account 2,325 1,998 2,698 582 435 462 641 460 709 737 722 531 164 41 230 85 Goods 1,181 1,498 1,536 312 348 382 424 344 468 446 375 246 94 35 219 7 Exports 22,961 24,039 24,951 5,984 5,881 6,063 5,934 6,160 6,055 6,391 6,116 6,389 1,817 1,867 2,196 1,942 Imports 21,780 22,541 23,416 5,672 5,533 5,681 5,510 5,817 5,587 5,945 5,742 6,142 1,723 1,832 1,977 1,935 Services 1,697 2,019 2,286 386 394 524 609 492 475 552 717 542 140 102 152 216 Exports 5,558 6,025 6,513 1,402 1,260 1,511 1,730 1,524 1,378 1,556 1,874 1,705 399 395 466 523 Imports 3,862 4,006 4,227 1,015 866 987 1,121 1,032 903 1,004 1,157 1,163 258 293 314 307 Primary income -125 -982 -630 -45 -114 -331 -285 -252 -77 -166 -232 -156 -25 6 -95 -97 Receipts 1,396 1,632 1,602 350 437 417 371 407 485 378 347 392 148 184 105 120 Expenditures 1,521 2,614 2,233 395 551 748 656 659 562 544 579 548 173 178 200 217 Secondary income -428 -537 -493 -71 -193 -113 -107 -124 -158 -95 -138 -101 -45 -102 -45 -41 Receipts 709 725 712 188 153 184 173 215 155 171 172 214 46 53 54 61 Expenditures 1,137 1,262 1,205 258 346 296 280 339 312 267 311 315 91 156 100 102 Capital account 157 371 -312 -90 46 62 127 136 -38 -112 -63 -99 28 6 12 25 Financial account 2,377 1,772 936 476 569 557 478 168 354 125 385 73 539 -19 49 41 Direct investment -584 -1,238 -742 186 -348 -45 -218 -628 -322 -262 -243 84 1 -73 -276 -187 Assets 155 278 226 20 93 301 23 -140 143 15 1 67 63 59 -29 43 Liabilities 739 1,516 968 -166 441 346 241 488 465 276 244 -18 62 132 247 231 Portfolio investment -3,968 2,929 4,210 264 689 1,684 -993 1,549 584 791 552 2,282 193 296 200 1,070 Financial derivatives -3 28 50 7 22 5 -9 10 -7 -4 31 30 -6 20 7 2 Other investment 6,843 166 -2,486 22 226 -1,110 1,746 -697 87 -361 95 -2,307 326 -186 85 -800 Assets 4,815 -672 -2,071 671 434 -1,478 1,225 -853 92 -642 -1,087 -433 541 -213 107 -1,053 Other equity 84 10 -3 -1 10 1 0 -2 1 -1 0 -4 2 3 6 3 Currency and deposits 5,037 -545 -1,974 1,089 90 -1,272 1,273 -636 -294 -581 -1,027 -71 462 -343 -29 -863 Loans -299 -408 -207 -75 -80 -224 -27 -78 10 -68 -36 -112 -8 -49 -22 -45 Insurance, pension schemes, and standardised guarantee schemes 8 -8 10 -2 12 -3 -15 -2 7 2 0 0 4 4 4 -1 Trade credit and advances -16 -4 176 -252 341 27 -15 -357 314 118 -72 -184 17 126 198 -84 Other assets 1 283 -73 -87 60 -7 8 222 54 -112 48 -63 63 46 -50 -63 Liabilities -2,028 -837 415 649 208 -369 -521 -156 4 -281 -1,182 1,874 214 -28 22 -253 Other equity 7 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 Currency and deposits -831 -400 1,175 278 -178 -301 -37 116 548 -320 -406 1,353 -89 -65 -24 -112 Loans -1,246 -315 -854 107 378 -82 -376 -235 -491 -114 -562 313 664 -225 -61 3 Insurance, pension schemes, and standardised guarantee schemes -54 3 23 -10 -7 4 2 4 11 12 0 0 -2 -2 -2 1 Trade credit and advances -144 -101 138 36 9 3 -122 9 -78 152 -169 233 -365 228 146 -168 Other liabilities 240 -25 -68 238 5 7 12 -49 15 -12 -46 -25 7 36 -38 23 Special drawing rights (SDR) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Reserve assets 89 -113 -97 -3 -20 23 -49 -67 10 -40 -50 -17 24 -76 32 -43 Net errors and omissions -105 -596 -1,449 -16 88 33 -290 -428 -317 -500 -273 -359 346 -65 -193 -69 EXPORTS AND IMPORTS BY END-USE OF PRODUCTS, in EUR m Export of investment goods 2,343 2,596 2,781 629 581 632 630 753 644 691 674 772 169 192 220 204 Intermediate goods 12,924 13,355 13,698 3,202 3,280 3,406 3,348 3,322 3,360 3,536 3,358 3,444 1,030 1,061 1,189 1,142 Consumer goods 7,668 7,989 8,462 2,134 2,003 2,040 1,904 2,042 2,058 2,178 2,059 2,167 607 625 771 615 Import of investment goods 2,774 2,968 3,255 796 658 713 720 877 722 825 789 919 193 210 255 240 Intermediate goods 13,417 13,803 13,843 3,403 3,453 3,541 3,376 3,432 3,347 3,551 3,378 3,567 1,092 1,136 1,224 1,231 Consumer goods 6,389 6,534 7,009 1,657 1,604 1,637 1,592 1,701 1,693 1,756 1,730 1,830 494 533 577 537 Source of data: BS, SURS. Note: The methodology of the Slovenian balance of payments and international investment position statistics follows the recommendations in the sixth edition of the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual released by the International Monetary Fund. 41Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Statistical Appendix 2015 2016 2017 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 174 203 236 123 282 220 212 27 227 161 321 229 213 294 208 148 366 288 120 123 276 122 253 198 -5 231 183 172 -11 158 141 169 141 118 187 144 6 225 139 47 60 123 1,950 2,172 2,146 1,595 2,193 2,177 2,116 1,867 1,838 2,022 2,196 2,088 2,100 2,202 2,071 1,743 2,302 2,163 2,218 2,008 2,105 1,828 1,919 1,947 1,600 1,962 1,995 1,944 1,878 1,680 1,881 2,026 1,948 1,982 2,015 1,927 1,737 2,077 2,024 2,170 1,948 1,982 163 145 186 236 187 183 150 159 154 117 204 186 183 184 198 265 254 229 161 151 190 486 502 586 603 541 508 471 545 423 442 512 506 503 546 607 655 613 577 537 591 481 323 357 400 367 354 325 321 386 269 325 308 321 321 363 408 390 359 347 376 440 291 -60 -174 -103 -75 -106 -119 -67 -66 -64 -13 0 -64 -50 -52 -83 -83 -66 -49 -51 -56 4 135 162 128 108 135 122 118 167 113 171 201 125 127 126 109 118 120 121 127 145 198 196 335 231 183 241 241 185 234 177 183 201 189 177 178 192 201 186 170 178 200 194 -50 -22 -45 -33 -29 -27 -43 -54 -21 -84 -53 -33 -38 -25 -51 -40 -47 -31 -37 -33 -42 53 70 61 53 59 76 60 78 55 52 47 60 54 57 59 55 58 72 66 76 61 103 92 106 85 89 103 103 132 76 136 100 93 91 83 110 95 106 103 103 109 103 7 29 55 38 33 79 62 -5 -7 -16 -15 -35 -39 -37 -8 -17 -38 10 -36 -73 1 163 353 141 15 323 145 471 -448 203 122 29 -71 140 56 347 -127 165 -1,252 1,598 -273 519 -26 169 -50 -76 -91 -387 -9 -232 -236 72 -158 -358 52 45 -28 -186 -29 57 -62 89 68 83 175 73 -56 7 67 -8 -199 27 72 44 16 18 -20 124 -119 -3 122 -77 22 67 110 6 123 20 98 454 1 33 263 0 202 375 -34 -64 152 67 25 64 -15 -68 -1 339 275 -1,044 -151 202 491 526 532 373 1,040 -829 477 197 116 321 331 -99 574 1,179 530 -658 0 3 -3 -6 0 0 -3 14 -6 0 -1 8 2 -13 30 1 1 1 13 16 29 -162 -148 1,229 271 246 19 1 -718 45 -1,019 1,062 -169 -113 -79 42 -254 307 -1,884 502 -925 1,054 -153 -273 1,091 -141 275 170 187 -1,210 -118 -245 455 -977 39 296 -42 -938 -107 -522 318 -230 19 -2 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 0 -230 -179 1,093 32 148 111 176 -923 -117 -393 216 -890 131 178 -3 -736 -289 -705 411 223 -247 -18 -160 -4 -27 4 -20 -13 -45 -11 -22 43 -31 -38 2 -21 -15 -1 -22 -25 -66 -22 -1 -1 -5 -5 -5 -1 -1 -1 2 2 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 65 45 14 -143 114 15 42 -414 71 117 125 -4 4 117 -33 -203 164 144 3 -331 176 33 22 -8 1 14 65 -18 175 -64 51 67 -52 -59 -1 15 15 19 61 -71 -53 113 9 -125 -138 -412 29 151 185 -492 -163 775 -607 -808 152 375 -84 -685 -414 1,362 -184 695 -1,035 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -170 -18 63 13 -114 112 66 -62 39 797 -288 -734 187 228 101 -333 -174 691 -12 673 -903 175 -259 -58 -361 43 -37 167 -365 15 -256 -250 -87 -100 73 -109 -320 -133 385 -125 52 -84 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 4 4 4 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 23 148 -173 -31 81 45 -4 -32 -252 132 43 -2 76 78 -68 -140 38 155 79 -1 -43 -20 4 29 -34 18 30 -44 -35 32 98 -115 11 -14 -8 -8 107 -145 131 -126 -29 -4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 54 9 -23 -35 21 -43 -45 27 28 -45 -29 2 -13 -18 -18 -15 0 -33 17 27 -19 121 -151 -146 7 -155 197 -470 -17 -23 -277 -265 -34 -201 146 -258 -162 -1,551 1,514 -323 243 212 216 232 167 231 246 243 264 177 221 246 226 231 234 231 191 252 249 259 264 N/A 1,095 1,169 1,207 935 1,206 1,219 1,160 944 1,060 1,122 1,179 1,176 1,168 1,191 1,113 1,004 1,240 1,202 1,218 1,024 N/A 658 767 696 471 737 701 694 646 602 686 769 692 699 787 722 535 802 710 736 722 N/A 232 241 248 210 262 271 283 322 207 237 278 277 262 286 299 223 267 293 312 314 N/A 1,133 1,177 1,200 976 1,201 1,205 1,161 1,067 1,045 1,119 1,183 1,139 1,211 1,201 1,142 1,001 1,235 1,172 1,281 1,114 N/A 527 573 568 459 565 590 565 546 483 582 627 594 575 586 546 551 634 616 645 569 N/A 42 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Statistical Appendix MONETARY INDICATORS AND INTEREST RATES 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 SELECTED CLAIMS OF OTHER MFI ON DOMESTIC SECTORS, end of the month, in EUR m Claims of the BS on central government 263 2,327 4,618 237 246 263 265 282 445 642 838 1,045 1,299 1,488 Central government (S. 1311) 7,240 7,112 6,273 6,936 7,010 7,240 7,443 7,502 7,163 7,368 7,380 7,387 7,449 7,445 Other government (S. 1312, 1313, 1314) 685 622 576 611 618 685 654 631 633 633 633 635 634 631 Households (S. 14, 15) 8,762 8,856 9,154 8,807 8,791 8,762 8,842 8,802 8,834 8,826 8,847 8,836 8,821 8,812 Non-financial corporations (S. 11) 11,729 10,502 9,664 12,603 12,511 11,729 11,823 11,726 11,674 11,569 11,493 11,396 11,190 11,137 Non-monetary financial institutions (S. 123, 124, 125) 1,485 1,432 1,411 1,665 1,654 1,485 1,463 1,455 1,642 1,519 1,511 1,466 1,470 1,405 Monetary financial institutions (S. 121, 122) 3,684 3,206 3,541 4,037 3,915 3,684 3,657 3,696 3,479 3,353 3,365 3,007 3,181 3,442 Claims on domestic sectors, TOTAL In domestic currency 25,155 23,816 23,969 26,425 26,191 25,155 25,232 25,179 24,885 24,707 24,661 24,240 24,316 24,469 In foreign currency 950 824 672 986 973 950 1,059 1,003 983 957 955 937 904 874 Securities, total 7,469 7,059 5,889 7,240 7,326 7,469 7,576 7,615 7,539 7,566 7,574 7,512 7,486 7,494 SELECTED OBLIGATIONS OF OTHER MFI ON DOMESTIC SECTORS, end of the month, in EUR m Deposits in domestic currency, total 25,843 25,885 26,497 26,492 26,309 25,843 25,930 25,800 25,389 25,884 25,894 25,715 25,974 26,073 Overnight 10,157 12,717 15,081 10,329 10,398 10,157 10,731 10,947 10,842 11,200 11,458 11,533 12,080 12,278 With agreed maturity – short-term 5,955 4,481 3,955 6,477 6,250 5,955 5,708 5,610 5,350 5,302 5,217 5,032 4,896 4,743 With agreed maturity – long-term 9,267 8,196 6,829 9,172 9,155 9,267 9,078 8,838 8,762 8,916 8,707 8,574 8,411 8,513 Short-term deposits redeemable at notice 464 491 632 514 506 464 413 405 435 466 512 576 587 539 Deposits in foreign currency, total 510 655 687 528 535 510 566 604 601 585 612 620 616 616 Overnight 354 508 564 348 353 354 401 447 442 433 464 469 468 475 With agreed maturity – short-term 84 80 65 110 110 84 86 77 81 75 71 77 73 69 With agreed maturity – long-term 72 67 58 70 72 72 79 80 78 77 77 74 75 72 Short-term deposits redeemable at notice 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 INTEREST RATES OF MONETARY FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS, % New deposits in domestic currency Households Overnight deposits 0.07 0.04 0.02 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.03 0.03 Time deposits with maturity of up to one year 0.98 0.37 0.21 0.81 0.74 0.66 0.58 0.51 0.46 0.39 0.37 0.36 0.31 0.33 New loans to households in domestic currency Housing loans, 5-10 year fixed interest rate 5.06 3.54 2.66 4.65 4.72 4.38 4.17 4.85 3.34 3.49 3.5 3.39 3.38 3.36 New loans to non-financial corporations in domestic currency Loan over EUR 1 million, 1-5 year fixed interest rate 4.25 2.46 2.07 4.66 3.07 4.50 3.89 2.40 3.39 4.58 .. .. 1.90 .. INTEREST RATES OF THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK, % Main refinancing operations 0.16 0.05 0.01 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 INTERBANK INTEREST RATES EURIBOR 3-month rates 0.210 -0.019 -0.264 0.083 0.081 0.081 0.063 0.048 0.027 0.005 -0.010 -0.014 -0.019 -0.028 6-month rates 0.309 0.054 -0.164 0.184 0.182 0.177 0.152 0.126 0.097 0.073 0.057 0.049 0.049 0.044 LIBOR 3-month rates 0.012 -0.755 -0.747 0.008 0.006 -0.020 -0.466 -0.889 -0.802 -0.812 -0.791 -0.782 -0.762 -0.729 6-month rates 0.066 -0.688 -0.671 0.057 0.053 0.023 -0.403 -0.773 -0.707 -0.727 -0.704 -0.711 -0.710 -0.681 Source of data: BS, EUROSTAT. 43Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Statistical Appendix 2015 2016 2017 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 1699 1,942 2,175 2,327 2,539 2,759 2,987 3,144 3,378 3,631 3,861 4,012 4,219 4,390 4,432 4,618 4,621 4,770 7,301 7,380 7,387 7,112 7,212 6,957 7,022 6,739 6,853 6,813 6,861 6,850 6,872 6,769 6,391 6,273 6,350 6,246 624 623 618 622 630 614 601 602 594 591 589 587 571 564 561 576 591 587 8,825 8,873 8,857 8,856 8,815 8,789 8,830 8,863 8,891 8,920 8,892 8,930 8,974 9,041 9,075 9,154 9,174 9,208 10,941 10,819 10,688 10,502 10,527 10,046 9,904 9,953 9,870 9,771 9,706 9,520 9,455 9,485 9,473 9,664 9,759 9,814 1,435 1,417 1,411 1,432 1,422 1,328 1,397 1,326 1,332 1,298 1,298 1,283 1,310 1,352 1,376 1,411 1,386 1,397 3,312 3,904 3,713 3,206 3,574 4,030 3,318 3,727 3,572 3,240 3,578 3,625 3,610 3,642 4,100 3,541 3,555 3,573 24078 24,532 24,226 23,789 24,152 24,088 23,407 23,796 23,552 23,026 23,272 23,149 23,172 23,314 23,796 23,969 24,066 24,020 845 839 839 823 794 802 778 758 751 759 743 717 714 711 714 672 683 670 7,478 7,606 7,568 7,079 7,178 6,795 6,812 6,580 6,735 6,777 6,836 6,848 6,823 6,743 6,379 5,889 5,972 6,038 25,652 26,330 26,442 25,885 26,315 26,067 25,869 25,689 25,697 25,364 25,725 25,643 25,612 25,811 25,976 26,497 26,421 26,508 12,130 12,991 13,244 12,717 13,255 13,553 13,405 13,504 13,668 13,819 14,274 14,475 14,365 14,505 14,839 15,081 15,253 15,487 4,664 4,341 4,325 4,481 4,393 4,251 4,174 3,984 3,942 3,777 3,697 3,507 3,571 3,584 3,442 3,955 3,706 3,707 8,349 8,410 8,322 8,196 8,148 7,702 7,595 7,572 7,390 7,110 7,077 7,040 7,047 7,084 7,041 6,829 6,730 6,667 509 588 551 491 519 561 695 629 697 658 677 621 629 638 654 632 732 647 623 618 651 655 0 687 686 658 684 708 683 686 705 680 705 687 711 695 484 478 498 508 529 544 550 529 553 561 540 550 565 549 567 564 586 567 71 71 82 80 79 78 75 69 70 86 82 75 81 72 78 65 69 72 68 69 71 67 66 65 61 60 61 61 61 61 59 59 60 58 56 56 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.31 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.19 0.20 0.19 0.23 0.19 0.18 3.34 3.39 3.14 3.16 3.06 2.91 2.75 2.71 2.57 2.54 2.62 2.45 2.53 2.68 2.57 2.49 2.55 2.63 0.81 1.71 .. 1.00 0.75 .. 1.85 2.58 3.84 2.16 .. .. .. 1.6 2.74 1.06 1.31 1.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.037 -0.054 -0.088 -0.126 -0.146 -0.184 -0.229 -0.249 -0.257 -0.268 -0.295 -0.298 -0.302 -0.309 -0.313 -0.316 -0.326 -0.329 0.035 0.020 -0.015 -0.040 -0.061 -0.115 -0.134 -0.138 -0.145 -0.162 -0.188 -0.189 -0.199 -0.207 -0.215 -0.218 -0.236 -0.241 -0.729 -0.728 -0.784 -0.792 -0.752 -0.775 -0.760 -0.727 -0.734 -0.763 -0.766 -0.743 -0.741 -0.730 -0.738 -0.738 -0.728 -0.726 -0.672 -0.674 -0.754 -0.737 -0.685 -0.723 -0.698 -0.653 -0.646 -0.676 -0.688 -0.658 -0.647 -0.647 -0.663 -0.669 -0.662 -0.666 44 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Statistical Appendix PUBLIC FINANCE 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2015 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 6 7 CONSOLIDATED BALANCE OF PUBLIC FINANCING (GFS–IMF methodology), current prices, EUR m GENERAL GOVERNMENT REVENUES TOTAL REVENUES 15,492.0 15,714.1 15,838.7 4,268.4 3,635.8 3,972.6 3,864.3 4,241.4 3,685.5 4,108.3 3,883.8 4,161.0 1,335.3 1,310.4 Current revenues 14,377.0 14,702.6 15,201.3 3,770.7 3,413.6 3,756.8 3,596.3 3,935.9 3,511.5 3,948.3 3,802.1 3,939.4 1,278.2 1,199.6 Tax revenues 13,191.6 13,746.4 14,240.1 3,491.3 3,252.4 3,524.1 3,277.4 3,692.4 3,344.3 3,659.7 3,516.4 3,719.7 1,215.5 1,087.8 Taxes on income and profit 2,385.9 2,584.6 2,680.8 637.7 601.7 786.4 504.0 692.5 634.2 811.4 542.4 692.8 275.7 81.3 Social security contributions 5,272.5 5,473.9 5,720.6 1,365.3 1,339.5 1,353.4 1,357.7 1,423.3 1,395.1 1,423.5 1,424.2 1,477.8 449.4 456.2 Taxes on payroll and workforce 20.2 19.7 19.8 5.4 4.5 4.9 4.6 5.6 4.8 5.1 4.8 5.2 1.7 1.8 Taxes on property 244.2 237.8 255.2 96.2 26.9 41.7 85.2 84.1 27.2 46.3 104.5 77.2 20.9 25.5 Domestic taxes on goods and services 5,191.2 5,347.1 5,432.9 1,369.7 1,246.0 1,322.2 1,305.9 1,473.1 1,233.7 1,365.4 1,430.5 1,403.4 464.8 517.4 Taxes on international trade & transactions 77.7 82.5 81.9 21.1 21.3 21.5 20.2 19.6 22.3 19.8 20.8 19.0 6.8 7.0 Other taxes -0.2 0.6 48.7 -4.1 12.5 -6.0 -0.2 -5.8 27.0 -11.7 -10.8 44.2 -3.7 -1.4 Non-tax revenues 1,185.4 956.2 961.2 279.4 161.2 232.7 318.8 243.5 167.2 288.6 285.7 219.7 62.7 111.8 Capital revenues 51.4 96.3 95.6 17.8 10.8 16.2 26.2 43.2 14.7 17.5 21.0 42.4 7.5 11.1 Grants 18.9 12.2 10.3 2.3 2.3 1.7 4.7 3.4 1.3 1.8 5.7 1.5 0.4 0.3 Transferred revenues 4.5 20.6 51.1 2.4 1.2 0.3 19.3 -0.2 0.7 0.0 50.0 0.3 0.1 19.1 Receipts from the EU budget 1,040.3 882.4 480.4 475.2 207.9 197.5 217.9 259.1 157.3 140.8 4.9 177.4 49.1 80.2 GENERAL GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES TOTAL EXPENDITURES 16,751.2 16,956.4 16,492.9 4,498.5 4,290.6 3,980.9 3,974.9 4,710.0 4,223.2 3,882.3 3,985.9 4,401.5 1,348.8 1,406.9 Current expenditures 7,042.1 7,168.4 7,406.0 1,845.9 1,969.7 1,678.3 1,608.5 1,912.0 1,977.9 1,774.4 1,733.2 1,920.6 558.3 529.9 Wages, salaries and other personnel expenditures 3,610.4 3,610.2 3,782.1 898.9 923.7 903.4 875.0 908.2 924.5 969.8 927.5 960.3 326.2 295.9 Expenditures on goods and services 2,232.3 2,311.2 2,374.5 615.6 502.5 558.9 546.1 703.7 536.4 553.5 570.4 714.3 213.6 200.0 Interest payments 1,097.4 1,042.6 1,074.2 292.6 497.2 178.4 148.0 218.9 489.5 181.5 206.1 197.1 7.1 22.5 Reserves 102.1 204.4 175.3 38.9 46.2 37.6 39.5 81.1 27.5 69.6 29.2 48.9 11.4 11.6 Current transfers 7,591.9 7,540.1 7,699.4 1,876.1 1,936.5 1,863.9 1,899.4 1,840.3 1,974.0 1,896.3 1,918.9 1,910.2 632.9 728.3 Subsidies 467.4 399.0 397.0 110.2 201.2 79.1 47.7 71.0 186.4 78.5 43.1 89.0 38.7 17.8 Current transfers to individuals and households 6,335.0 6,370.8 6,495.5 1,552.3 1,564.2 1,592.7 1,657.7 1,556.2 1,604.7 1,619.4 1,679.2 1,592.2 529.6 636.7 Current transfers to non-profit institutions, other current domestic transfers 714.3 713.8 727.3 188.8 156.5 180.5 186.0 190.7 167.5 179.3 186.8 193.7 62.4 71.4 Current transfers abroad 75.2 56.5 79.7 24.7 14.5 11.6 8.1 22.3 15.4 19.2 9.8 35.3 2.2 2.4 Capital expenditures 1,444.4 1,520.0 785.2 578.2 175.3 285.2 350.4 709.1 98.6 115.4 213.6 357.5 108.8 116.0 Capital transfers 270.0 295.0 174.8 116.2 37.9 58.7 60.8 137.5 32.9 26.9 23.7 91.4 24.1 16.0 Payments to the EU budget 402.9 432.9 427.4 82.1 171.1 94.8 55.8 111.2 139.9 69.3 96.6 121.7 24.8 16.6 SURPLUS / DEFICIT -1,259.2 -1,242.3 -654.4 -230.0 -654.8 -8.4 -110.6 -468.6 -537.7 226.1 -102.2 -240.5 -13.6 -96.5 Source of data: Bulletin of Government Finance. Note: In line with the changed methodology of the International Monetary Fund of 2001, social security contributions paid by the general government are not consolidated. 45Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Statistical Appendix 2015 2016 2017 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 1,325.9 1,227.9 1,429.6 1,388.0 1,423.9 1,329.1 1,178.8 1,177.5 1,352.7 1,391.5 1,364.1 1,161.0 1,390.6 1,332.2 1,354.0 1,306.7 1,500.3 1,444.6 1,260.8 1,135.8 1,367.4 1,245.3 1,323.2 1,234.0 1,132.1 1,145.4 1,299.8 1,297.5 1,351.0 1,152.4 1,382.0 1,267.7 1,311.9 1,287.7 1,339.8 1,428.6 1,153.6 1,036.0 1,287.9 1,178.2 1,226.3 1,176.4 1,080.9 1,086.9 1,244.9 1,217.0 1,197.8 1,096.1 1,233.4 1,186.9 1,246.3 1,213.6 1,259.8 1,330.4 210.2 212.5 206.9 228.6 257.0 214.8 212.6 206.8 219.0 289.0 303.4 63.8 270.6 208.1 210.2 222.5 260.1 217.0 451.3 450.3 453.5 457.4 512.4 465.0 460.6 469.4 473.5 478.6 471.4 482.7 461.3 480.3 464.8 475.0 538.0 496.7 1.3 1.5 2.0 1.6 2.0 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.9 2.0 1.9 29.4 30.3 32.8 30.3 21.0 11.6 9.0 6.6 6.2 12.0 28.1 29.7 35.1 39.7 27.4 34.1 15.8 11.0 443.3 345.1 582.2 454.4 436.5 462.9 393.8 376.9 469.4 502.9 393.0 507.2 472.8 450.4 482.9 471.7 448.8 534.2 6.6 6.5 7.3 5.8 6.5 6.7 7.7 7.9 7.2 6.2 6.4 5.5 7.8 7.5 6.7 6.1 6.3 6.1 11.4 -10.2 3.3 0.0 -9.1 13.7 -4.5 17.8 68.0 -73.4 -6.3 5.5 -15.9 -0.5 53.1 2.3 -11.1 63.5 107.3 99.7 79.5 67.1 96.9 57.5 51.2 58.5 54.9 80.5 153.2 56.3 148.6 80.8 65.6 74.2 79.9 98.2 6.7 8.3 9.6 19.9 13.6 4.8 6.0 3.9 6.5 4.7 6.3 7.1 5.6 8.4 5.6 9.8 27.0 5.4 0.5 3.9 0.1 0.7 2.6 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.3 1.3 4.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 -0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 57.8 79.9 52.3 122.5 84.3 90.2 40.4 26.8 45.8 88.4 6.6 1.2 1.7 2.0 36.1 8.2 133.0 10.5 1,263.5 1,304.6 1,439.9 1,410.3 1,859.8 1,302.6 1,416.7 1,504.0 1,259.9 1,306.9 1,315.5 1,374.6 1,313.5 1,297.9 1,367.7 1,391.0 1,642.8 1,451.8 525.5 553.1 634.1 574.1 703.9 617.6 641.3 719.0 575.1 592.2 607.1 548.1 597.9 587.2 631.3 617.1 672.1 648.8 287.5 291.5 296.1 296.5 315.6 305.6 308.1 310.9 299.3 305.0 365.4 309.1 313.3 305.1 315.1 321.6 323.6 317.8 172.4 173.7 181.7 190.2 331.9 157.9 178.5 200.0 167.9 198.1 187.5 183.5 205.3 181.5 180.1 210.2 324.0 176.4 52.7 72.8 141.5 72.5 5.0 143.6 145.0 200.9 98.2 77.5 5.7 45.0 69.7 91.4 122.9 69.7 4.5 149.4 12.9 15.0 14.8 14.9 51.4 10.5 9.7 7.3 9.6 11.5 48.5 10.4 9.6 9.2 13.2 15.7 20.0 5.3 584.5 586.6 581.8 601.2 657.3 615.9 654.7 703.4 621.6 642.4 632.3 717.6 602.0 599.2 603.2 632.3 674.7 724.5 14.4 15.5 14.0 15.6 41.4 30.6 54.2 101.7 12.4 46.2 19.9 10.4 11.2 21.5 18.5 27.8 42.7 91.1 510.8 510.1 507.5 517.8 531.0 529.0 534.0 541.6 542.2 535.1 542.2 635.2 528.1 516.0 523.8 528.2 540.2 541.5 58.4 56.2 57.8 54.1 78.8 47.4 63.7 56.4 55.0 56.9 67.4 66.4 62.0 58.4 55.9 62.5 75.3 86.5 0.8 4.8 2.5 13.8 6.1 8.9 2.8 3.7 12.1 4.1 2.9 5.6 0.8 3.4 5.0 13.7 16.6 5.5 111.6 122.8 166.9 153.2 389.0 25.8 34.3 38.5 33.2 37.3 45.0 70.4 75.7 67.5 68.5 86.2 202.8 35.6 16.6 28.2 29.7 40.7 67.1 9.8 14.4 8.7 9.4 5.9 11.6 7.5 6.6 9.6 30.2 20.9 40.3 10.0 25.3 13.8 27.5 41.2 42.5 33.6 71.9 34.4 20.6 29.2 19.5 30.9 31.3 34.3 34.4 34.4 52.9 32.8 62.5 -76.6 -10.4 -22.3 -435.9 26.5 -237.9 -326.4 92.8 84.7 48.6 -213.6 77.0 34.4 -13.7 -84.3 -142.5 -7.2 46 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 2/2017 Acronyms Acronyms in the text AJPES – Agency of the Republic of Slovenia for Public Legal Records and Related Services, BAMC - Bank Asset Management Company, BoS – Bank of Slovenia, CPI – consumer price index, DV – Value added, EBA - European Banking Authority, EIA– Energy Information Administration, EK – European Commission, ESI – Economic Sentiment Indicator, ESS – Employment Service of Slovenia, EU – European union, EUR – Euro, EUROSTAT – Statistical Office of the European Union, FED – Federal Reserve System, GD – gospodarske družbe, HICP-Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices, IC – Interest Coverage, ICT – Information and Communication Technology, IEA – International Energy Agency, IMAD – Institute of Macroeconomic Analysis and Development, IMF – International Monetary Fund, MF – Ministry of Finance, MGRT – Ministry of Economic Developement and Technology, MSP – micro, small and medium-sized enterprises, MZI – Ministry of Infrastructure, NFI – Non-monetary Financial Institutions, OPEC -Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, PDII – Pension and Disability Insurance Institute, PMI – Purchasing Managers Index, PPI – Producer Price Index, RS – Republic of Slovenia, SITC – Standard International Trade Classification, SKD – Standard Classification of Activities, SMA – Securities Market Agency, SRE – Statistical Register of Employment, SURS – Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia, TSA – Treasury Single Account, UL – Official Gazette , ULC – Unit Labour Costs, USD – US Dollar, VAT – value added Acronyms Acronyms of Standard Classification of Activities A – Agriculture, forestry and fishing, B – Mining and quarrying, C – Manufacturing, 10 – Manufacture of food products, 11 – Manufacture of beverages, 12 – Manufacture of tobacco products, 13 – Manufacture of textiles, 14 – Manufacture of wearing apparel, 15 – Manufacture of leather and related products, 16 – Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture, manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials, 17 – Manufacture of paper and paper products, 18 – Printing and reproduction of recorded media, 19– Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products, 20 – Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products, 21 – Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations, 22 – Manufacture of rubber and plastic products, 23 – Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products, 24 – Manufacture of basic metals, 25 – Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment, 26 – Manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products, 27 – Manufacture of electrical equipment, 28 – Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c., 29 – Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers, 30 – Manufacture of other transport equipment, 31 – Manufacture of furniture, 32 – Other manufacturing, 33 - Repair and installation of machinery and equipment, D – Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply, E – Water supply sewerage, waste management and remediation activities, F – Construction, G – Wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles, H – Transportation and storage, I – Accommodation and food service activities, J – Information and communication, K – Financial and insurance activities, L – Real estate activities, M – Professional, scientific and technical activities, N – Administrative and support service activities, O – Public administration and defence, compulsory social security, P – Education, Q – Human health and social work activities, R – Arts, entertainment and recreation, S – Other service activities, T – Activities of households as employers, undifferentiated goods- and services- producing activities of households for own use, U – Activities of extraterritorial organizations and bodies. Acronyms of Countries AT-Austria, BA-Bosnia and Herzegovina, BE-Belgium, BG-Bulgaria, BY-Belarus, CH-Switzerland, HR-Croatia, CZ-Czech Republic, CY-Cyprus, DE-Germany, DK-Denmark, ES-Spain, EE-Estonia, GR-Greece, FR-France, FI-Finland, HU-Hungary, IE-Ireland, IL-Israel, IT-Italy, JP-Japan, LU-Luxembourg, LT-Lithuania, LV-Latvia, MT-Malta, NL-Netherlands, NO-Norway, PL-Poland, PT-Portugal, RO-Romania, RS-Republic of Serbia, RU-Russia, SE-Sweden, SI-Slovenia, SK-Slovakia, TR-Turkey, UA-Ukraine, UK-United Kingdom, US-United States of America. No. 2, Vol. XXIII, 2017