N o. 6 , V ol . X XI II, 2 01 7 Slovenian Economic Mirror ISSN 1318-3826 (print) ISSN 1581-1026 (pdf ) No. 6 / Vol. XXIII / 2017 Publisher: IMAD, Ljubljana, Gregorčičeva 27 Responsible Person: Boštjan Vasle, MSc, Director Editor in Chief: Barbara Bratuž Ferk, MSc Authors of Current Economic Trends (listed alphabetically): Marjan Hafner, MSc; Matevž Hribernik, MSc; Slavica Jurančič; Mojca Koprivnikar Šušteršič; Tanja Kosi Antolič, PhD; Janez Kušar, MSc; Jože Markič, PhD; Tina Nenadič, MSc; Mitja Perko, MSc; Jure Povšnar; Dragica Šuc, MSc; Ana Selan, MSc, Ana Vidrih, MSc. Authors of Selected Topics: Matevž Hribernik, MSc (WEF Global Competitiveness Report 2017–2018) Branka Tavčar (Insolvency in 2017) Helena Mervic (Social protection expenditure in 2015) Valerija Korošec, PhD (Income inequality, social exclusion and poverty risk in Slovenia in 2016) Janja Pečar (How is life in Slovenian regions?) Barbara Bratuž Ferk, MSc, Tanja Čelebič, MSc, Helena Mervic, Janja Pečar, Mitja Perko, MSc, Ana Selan, MSc, Urška Sodja (Overview of the current situation of gender equality in selected areas in Slovenia) Editorial Board: Marijana Bednaš, MSc; Lejla Fajić; Alenka Kajzer, PhD; Rotija Kmet Zupančič, MSc; Janez Kušar, MSc; Andraž Rangus, PhD; Boštjan Vasle, MSc Translator: Marija Kavčič Data Preparation, Graphs, DTP: Bibijana Cirman Naglič Print: Eurograf d.o.o. Circulation: 80 copies © The contents of this publication may be reproduced in whole or in part provided that the source is acknowledged. In the spotlight................................................................................................................................................................ 3 Current economic trends .............................................................................................................................................. 5 International environment ............................................................................................................................................... 7 Economic developments in Slovenia ............................................................................................................................. 9 Labour market .................................................................................................................................................................. 13 Prices .................................................................................................................................................................................. 15 Balance of payments ....................................................................................................................................................... 18 Financial markets ............................................................................................................................................................. 19 Public finance .................................................................................................................................................................... 20 Selected topics ...............................................................................................................................................21 WEF Global Competitiveness Report 2017–2018 ...................................................................................................... 25 Insolvency in 2017 ................................................................................................................................................................................. 26 Social protection expenditure in 2015 ......................................................................................................................................... 28 Income inequality, social exclusion and poverty risk in Slovenia in 2016 ............................................................ 29 How is life in Slovenian regions? ..................................................................................................................................................... 31 Overview of the current situation of gender equality in selected areas in Slovenia ................................................ 32 Statistical appendix .....................................................................................................................................................35 Contents On 1 January 2008, the new classification of activities of business entities NACE Rev. 2, which replaced NACE Rev. 1.1, came into force in all EU Member States. In the Republic of Slovenia the national version of the standard classification, SKD 2008, took effect. It includes the entire European classification of activities but also adds some national subclasses. All analyses in the Slovenian Economic Mirror are based on SKD 2008, except when the previous classification, SKD 2002, is explicitly referred to. For more information on the introduction of the new classification see the SURS website http://www.stat.si/eng/skd_nace_2008.asp. All current comparisons (at the monthly, quarterly levels) in the Slovenian Economic Mirror are made on the basis of seasonally adjusted data, while year-on-year comparisons are based on original data. Unless otherwise indicated, all seasonally adjusted data for Slovenia are calculations by IMAD. The Economic Mirror is prepared based on statistical data available by 7th November 2017. 3Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 In the Spotlight Economic growth in the euro area continued in the third quarter; in October the IMF improved its world economic growth forecast for this year and next. Growth is expected to strengthen further to 3.6% and 3.7% this year and in 2018 respectively. Owing to the more favourable conditions, the IMF also raised its outlook for the volume of global trade. According to the IMF, world GDP growth could increase even more than forecast, supported by stronger business confidence and the continuation of relatively favourable financial market conditions. Downside risks to growth are related to a faster-than-expected hike in Fed interest rates, uncertainty over US trade policy and the continuation of strong credit expansion in China. In Slovenia favourable developments continue in most sectors; the prospects also remain good. Higher foreign demand and competitiveness gains are contributing to further growth in exports and manufacturing production, particularly in export-oriented industries, which is reflected in further growth in Slovenia’s merchandise market share on foreign markets. The improvement in economic conditions and the recovery of the property market are reflected in stronger activity in the residential construction segment, though activity in other construction segments has been declining in recent months. As a result of positive labour market developments and high consumer confidence, private consumption continues to expand, particularly in the segments of durable goods and leisure-related services. Lending to households is also on the increase. With stronger domestic and foreign demand, turnover is also rising in other market services. Economic sentiment continues to improve, indicating a continuation of positive trends. The labour market situation continues to improve under the impact of favourable economic conditions, while the growth of wages remains moderate. The number of employed persons, which continues to increase across most sectors, is now at a level comparable to that in 2007. However, a certain segment of enterprises, particularly in manufacturing, is already facing a shortage of skilled labour. Increased hiring and a smaller inflow into unemployment are reflected in a decline in the number of unemployed. At the end of October, 83,000 persons were registered as unemployed, 14.7% fewer than in October 2016. Average earnings rose by a good 2% in the first eight months of the year. In October inflation was significantly lower than in previous months. This was mainly attributable to a decline in prices of clothing, which recorded slightly different movements than in the past owing to the removal of regulation of seasonal sales. The prices of durable goods also remained down year on year. Prices of services continue to rise moderately, supported by favourable economic developments and consumption. The contributions of oil products and food (unprocessed food in particular) rose again, as, owing to higher excise duties on tobacco products, did the contributions of the alcohol and tobacco component. The volume of loans to domestic non-banking sectors is rising further; the quality of claims continues to improve steadily. The volume of household loans, in particular housing and consumer loans related to stronger consumption of durable goods and the rebounding property market, is still increasing gradually. Since mid-year the volume of corporate and NFI loans has also been picking up. The structure of bank liabilities continues to change at an accelerated pace in favour of non-banking-sector deposits; however, owing to near-zero deposit interest rates, only overnight deposits are on the rise. The quality of banking system claims continues to improve steadily. Amid favourable economic developments, the general government deficit on a cash basis was almost balanced in the first eight months of 2017. Growth in general government revenue remained strong, which, in addition to certain measures taken and one-off factors, was primarily due to favourable labour market conditions. Expenditure growth remained moderate. In the spotlight 4 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 In the Spotlight Euro area growth remains favourable in Q3; short-term indicators confirm the continuation of these trends. Activity in Slovenia continues to increase across most sectors; the prospects also remain favourable. 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 Ja n 08 Ja n 09 Ja n 10 Ja n 11 Ja n 12 Ja n 13 Ja n 14 Ja n 15 Ja n 16 Ja n 17 Se as on al ly a dj us te d re al in de x 20 08 = 10 0, 3- m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Merchandise exports Industrial production in manufacturing Value of construction put in place Turnover in retail trade 70 80 90 100 110 120 70 80 90 100 110 120 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 Ju l 1 7 Lo ng -t er m a ve ra ge = 10 0, 3 -m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: Eurostat; calculations by IMAD. Industrial production in manufacturing Construction output Turnover in retail trade ESI (right axis) Se as on al ly a dj us te d in de x 20 08 = 10 0, 3- m on th m ov in g av er ag e The number of employed persons is high, comparable to that in 2007; short-term expectations of enterprises about employment remain high. Year-on-year consumer price growth in October was considerably lower than in previous months. -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 -40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Ja n 11 Ja n 12 Ja n 13 Ja n 14 Ja n 15 Ja n 16 Ja n 17 Ye ar -o n- ye ar g ro w th (i n % ) Se as on al ly a dj us te d in di ca to r v al ue , 3- m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS. Industry Construction Trade Services Employed persons (right axis) -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 Ju l 1 7 Ye ar -o n- ye ar g ro w th , i n % C on tr ib ut io n to y -o -y g ro w th , i n pp s Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Fuels and energy Services Food Other Inflation, right axis 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 Q 1 08 Q 1 09 Q 1 10 Q 1 11 Q 1 12 Q 1 13 Q 1 14 Q 1 15 Q 1 16 Q 1 17 In de x 20 08 = 10 0, 4 -q ua rt er m ov in g av er ag e In de x 20 08 = 10 0, 4 -q ua rt er m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Transactions in existing residential properties (left axis) Transactions in new residential properties (left axis) Prices of existing residential properties (right axis) Prices of new residential properties (right axis) -2,000 -1,500 -1,000 -500 0 500 1,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Aug 2016 Jan-Aug 2017 In E U R m General government balance Primary general government balance Source: MF, Bulletin of Government Finance; calculations by IMAD. Positive labour market developments and low interest rates are boosting the revival of the property market and household borrowing. The favourable fiscal movements at the beginning of the year reflect rapid year-on-year revenue growth and moderate expenditure growth. cu rr en t e co no m ic tr en ds 7Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Current Economic Trends In October the IMF improved its world economic growth forecast for this year and next. Growth is expected to strengthen further to 3.6% and 3.7% this year and in 2018 respectively. Advanced economies, in particular the euro area and Japan, are also expected to make a considerable contribution to this growth. The growth of the Chinese economy should remain stable; after several years of recession, Russia is also projected to see economic growth this year. Owing to the more favourable conditions, the IMF also raised its outlook for global trade. According to the IMF, world GDP growth could increase even more than forecast, supported by even stronger business confidence and the continuation of relatively favourable financial market trends. Downside risks to growth are related to a faster-than-expected hike in Fed interest rates, uncertainty over US trade policy and the continuation of strong credit expansion in China. In the third quarter, economic growth in the euro area continued. According to preliminary data, GDP rose by 0.6% and was up 2.5% year on year. In manufacturing, activity increased further during the summer months, while remaining similar to previous months in retail trade and construction. The continuation of favourable economic developments is corroborated by the economic sentiment indicator (ESI) and the composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), which have reached the highest values in five years and continue to rise. Figure 1: IMF forecasts for 2017 and 2018 0 1 2 3 4 5 W or ld gr ow th Ad va nc ed ec on om ie s Em er gi ng m ar ke t a nd de ve lo pi ng ec on om ie s Eu ro ar ea Re al G D P gr ow th , i n % Source: IMF. 2016 outturn Forecast for 2017 (Oct 17) Forecast for 2018 (Oct 17) Forecast for 2017 and 2018 (Jul 17) Figure 2: Short-term indicators of economic activity in the euro area and the economic sentiment indicator (ESI) 70 80 90 100 110 120 70 80 90 100 110 120 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 Ju l 1 7 Lo ng -t er m a ve ra ge = 10 0, 3 -m on th m ov in g av er ag e Se as on al ly a dj us te d in de x 20 08 = 10 0, 3 -m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Industrial production in manufacturing Construction output Turnover in retail trade ESI (right axis) In view of favourable economic developments in the euro area and expecting a further gradual convergence of inflation rates towards the inflation target, the ECB decided at the end of October to reduce its monthly bond purchases next year. At the beginning of 2018, its monthly purchases will thus be halved to EUR 30 billion. The announced measures will remain in force at least to September 2018 and thereafter until a sustained convergence of inflation with the inflation goal is achieved. Inter-bank interest rates did not change significantly, given that the ECB’s key interest rates remained unchanged. The ECB intends to reinvest the principal payments from maturing securities purchased under the bond purchase programme for an extended period of time after the end of the programme and for as long as necessary. This will have a favourable impact on the liquidity of the banking system. Figure 3: Volume and share in the Eurosystem balance sheet of securities held for monetary policy purposes 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 X 2017 In % In E U R bi lli on Source: ECB; calculations by IMAD. Volume of securities Share of securities (right axis) International environment 8 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Current Economic Trends Table 1: Brent Crude prices, the USD/EUR exchange rate and EURIBOR average change, in %* 2016 IX 17 X 17 X 17/IX 17 X 17/X 16 I-X 17/I-X 16 Brent USD, per barrel 43.64 56.15 57.32 2.1 15.8 23.3 Brent EUR, per barrel 39.46 47.14 48.74 3.4 8.5 23.0 EUR/USD 1.107 1.103 1.176 -1.3 6.6 0.4 3-month EURIBOR, in % -0.265 -0.309 -0.330 0.0 -0.2 -0.8 Source: EIA, ECB, EMMI Euribor; calculations by IMAD. Note: * in Euribor change in basis points. 9Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Current Economic Trends In Slovenia favourable developments continue in most sectors; the prospects also remain good. Higher foreign demand and competitiveness gains are boosting exports and manufacturing production, particularly in export-oriented industries, which is reflected in further growth in Slovenia’s merchandise market share on foreign markets. The improvement in economic conditions and the recovery of the property market are reflected in stronger activity in residential construction, while activity in other construction segments has been declining in recent months. As a result of positive labour market developments and high consumer confidence, private consumption continues to expand, particularly in the segments of durable goods and leisure-related services. Lending to households is also on the increase. With stronger domestic and foreign demand, turnover is also rising in other market services. Economic sentiment continues to improve, indicating a continuation of positive trends. Figure 4: Short-term indicators of economic activity in Slovenia 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 Ja n 08 Ja n 09 Ja n 10 Ja n 11 Ja n 12 Ja n 13 Ja n 14 Ja n 15 Ja n 16 Ja n 17 Se as on al ly a dj us te d in de x 20 08 = 10 0, 3- m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Merchandise exports Industrial production in manufacturing Value of construction output Turnover in retail trade 1 The estimate of real merchandise exports was made on the basis of nominal exports according to the external trade statistics and industrial producer prices on foreign markets, while real imports were estimated based on nominal imports according to the external trade statistics and the index of import prices. The growth of real merchandise exports and imports continued during the summer months.1 Exports were up 9.2% year on year in the first eight months of 2017, their growth stemming mainly from exports of machinery and motor vehicles. Imports recorded 9.9% growth during the same period, reflecting not only favourable export trends but also stronger domestic consumption. Figure 5: Merchandise trade – real 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 Ju l 1 7 Se as on al ly a dj us te d in de x 20 08 = 10 0, 3 -m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Exports Imports Table 2: Selected monthly indicators of economic activity in Slovenia In % 2016 VIII 17/VII 17 VIII 17/VIII 16 I-VIII 17/I-VIII 16 Merchandise exports, real1 5.7 4.63 15.0 9.2 Merchandise imports, real1 4.8 3.83 14.7 9.9 Services exports, nominal2 8.1 -1.93 9.1 12.2 Services imports, nominal2 5.5 -1.83 5.1 7.6 Industrial production, real 7.1 1.53 8.34 7.34 -manufacturing 8.2 1.63 8.94 7.74 Construction -value of construction put in place, real -17.7 -3.63 7.6 15.5 Real turnover in retail trade 4.5 -0.93 7.44 10.34 Market services (without trade) - nominal turnover 4.1 -1.43 5.54 8.04 Sources: BoS, Eurostat, SURS; calculations by IMAD. Notes: 1External trade statistics; deflated by IMAD, 2balance of payments statistics, 3seasonally adjusted, 4working-day adjusted data. Economic developments in Slovenia 10 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Current Economic Trends Nominal exports and imports of services maintained their high levels in the summer months.2 In the first eight months of the year, exports were up 10.9% year on year, mainly as a consequence of higher exports of technical, trade-related business services, travel and transport services. Year-on-year import growth (7.6%) is mainly underpinned by higher imports of transport services (maritime and road transport) and technical, trade- related business services. Figure 6: Trade in services – nominal 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 Ju l 1 7 In E U R m , s ea so na lly a dj us te d, 3 -m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: BoS; calculations by IMAD. Exports of services Imports of services 2 According to the balance of payments statistics. After strengthening at the beginning of the year, the value of construction output has fallen slightly in recent months. Activity dropped the most in the construction of non-residential buildings but was also lower in civil- engineering works. On the other hand, with favourable labour market conditions and the improvement in household creditworthiness, activity continues to rise in the construction of residential buildings. Figure 8: Value of completed construction works 0 20 40 60 80 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 Ju l 1 7 Se as on al ly a dj us te d in de x 20 08 = 10 0, 3 -m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Total Residential buildings Non-residential buildings Civil-engineering works Production volume in manufacturing is increasing amid a further strengthening of foreign demand. In recent months industrial production has again been rising in all technology categories, most modestly in low-technology industries, which generate the bulk of turnover on the domestic market, where sales are recovering at a slower pace. In the first eight months of 2017 production increased the most in certain export-oriented industries (manufacture of machinery and equipment and manufacture of motor vehicles among the more technologically intensive and the leather industry among the less technologically intensive sectors), where it was around 15% higher than in the same period of 2016. The prospects for the last quarter are also better for more export-oriented industries than for low-technology ones focused mainly on the domestic market, where growth in production and employment is expected to remain modest. Figure 7: Production volume and turnover in manufacturing 70 90 110 130 150 170 Ja n 10 Ja n 11 Ja n 12 Ja n 13 Ja n 14 Ja n 15 Ja n 16 Ja n 17 Se as on al ly a dj us te d in de x 20 10 = 10 0, 3- m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Productionvolume, high-technology industries Productionvolume, medium-high-technology industries Productionvolume, medium-low-technology industries Productionvolume, low-technology industries Turnover, domestic market Turnover, foreign market 11Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Current Economic Trends With rising sales, residential property prices increased further in the second quarter. They were up 8.3% year on year and were 11.4% higher than their 2014 lows. With new record sales,3 prices of existing flats – which account for around two-thirds of total sales – again rose the most in Ljubljana.4 Prices of new flats were also up,5 but the number of transactions in these flats was the lowest in ten years owing to the limited supply. Figure 9: Prices and transactions in new and existing residential properties 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 Q 1 08 Q 1 09 Q 1 10 Q 1 11 Q 1 12 Q 1 13 Q 1 14 Q 1 15 Q 1 16 Q 1 17 In de x 20 08 = 10 0, 4 -q ua rt er m ov in g av er ag e In de x 20 08 = 10 0, 4 -q ua rt er m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Transactions in existing residential properties (left axis) Transactions in new residential properties (left axis) Prices of existing residential properties (right axis) Prices of new residential properties (right axis) The growth of land freight transport has been strengthening since the second half of last year. Particularly transport carried out by Slovenian road hauliers entirely abroad6 has been rising noticeably in this period, which is related to favourable foreign demand. The demand for transport services in Slovenia is nevertheless not significantly lower, given the ever larger share of foreign hauliers on Slovenian roads.7 After a long period of stagnation, rail freight transport has been increasing particularly strongly amid higher growth in export revenues for the third quarter in a row. Figure 11: Road and railway freight transport 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Q 1 11 Q 1 12 Q 1 13 Q 1 14 Q 1 15 Q 1 16 Q 1 17 In m ill io n tk m , o ri g. in de x 20 08 = 10 0, 4- qu ar te r m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Railway Road - abroad - exports and imports - national Nominal turnover in market services increased further during the summer months. The increase in administrative and support service activities (N) continues to arise from growth in employment services, which, tied to the strengthening employment, has been very high for several years now. High turnover growth also continues in road and rail transport, boosted mainly by rising exports of these services. In information and communication services (J), growth has eased slightly in the recent period, despite further growth in exports of computer services, which are an important segment of J activities. Activity in professional and technical services (M) remains low; reflecting favourable domestic economic conditions, turnover is strengthening in legal and accounting services but it continues to decline in architectural and engineering services. Figure 10: Nominal turnover in market services (other than trade) 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 Ju l 1 7 Se as on al ly a dj us te d in de x 20 08 = 10 0, 3- m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Note: Including accommodation and food service activities. Total Transportation and storage (H) Information and communication activities (J) Professional and technical activities (M) Administrative and support service activities (N) 3 The sales of existing flats in Ljubljana and the rest of Slovenia were the highest in ten years, up 45.5% and 22.6% respectively on their 2007 peaks. 4 Prices were 12.8% higher year on year. 5 The increase was largely the result of flats sold in Ljubljana at very high prices (SURS, 25 September 2017, Residential housing price indices, Slovenia, 2nd quarter of 2017; available at http://www.stat.si/StatWeb/ News/Index/6933). 6 In Q2 2017 the number of passages of (domestic and foreign) hauliers through Slovenian motorway toll stations rose by 4% year on year (DARS). In national transport and that part of international transport that is at least partly connected to the territory of Slovenia, domestic hauliers travelled only 2% kilometres more, while abroad they made as much as 16% kilometres more than in the same period of 2016 (SURS). 7 In Q2 2017 export revenues of domestic hauliers providing transport services for foreign customers rose almost 17% year on year; at the same time, domestic businesses increased their imports of transport services performed by foreign hauliers by 14% (BoS). 12 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Current Economic Trends Reflecting favourable labour market developments and high consumer confidence, household consumption continues to expand. August recorded further growth in purchases of durable goods, particularly passenger cars, which have already been rebounding for a fairly long time.8 Spending on semi-durable goods (products for personal care in particular) and services related to leisure activities at home and abroad also increased further.9 Figure 12: Selected indicators of household consumption 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 Ju l 1 7 Se as on al ly a dj us te d in de x 20 08 = 10 0, 3- m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: Ministry of Infrastructure, SURS; calculations by IMAD. Real turnover in the sale of non-food products Sale of passenger cars to natural persons Real net wage bill Nominal turnover in accommodation and food service activities Economic sentiment is improving, recording levels similar to those before the crisis. Since mid-year, confidence has again been rising across all sectors, the fastest in construction. In most sectors it is now higher than, or similar to, that before the crisis. At the beginning of the last quarter of 2017, consumer confidence indeed reached the highest levels since measurements began. Figure 13: Business trends -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 Ju l 1 7 Se as on al ly a dj us te d in di ca to r v al ue , 3 -m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Note: * Owing to methodological changes, data from January 2016 onwards are not comparable with previous data. Economic sentiment Manufacturing Retail trade Service activities Construction Consumers* 8 In the eight months to August, turnover in stores selling furniture and household appliances was up 7.5% year on year in real terms, while sales of passenger cars to natural persons were up 15.4%. 9 Turnover in accommodation and food service activities, affected not only by increased spending by residents, but also a high number of foreign tourist arrivals, was up nearly one tenth year on year in the first eight months as a whole. Residents’ spending on private trips abroad was 2.3% higher year on year in this period. 13Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Current Economic Trends The number of employed persons10 continues to increase across most sectors, reaching high levels comparable with those in the pre-crisis year 2007. Short-term expectations of enterprises about future employment remain high. However, a certain segment of enterprises, particularly in manufacturing, is already facing a shortage of skilled labour. After last year’s relaxation of hiring restrictions, the number of employed persons in public service activities remained higher year on year, particularly in education (especially at the primary level) and the health sector. Figure 14: Persons in employment by activity -2,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 M an uf ac tu rin g C on st ru ct io n M ar ke t se rv ic es e xc l. em p lo ym en t ac tiv it ie s Em p lo ym en t ac tiv it ie s Pu b lic se rv ic es C ha ng e of th e av er ag e Source: SURS - statistical register. I-VIII 2016 I-VIII 2017 The number of registered unemployed continues to decline, largely owing to the outflow into employment. In the first ten months of the year, the outflow into employment was in fact slightly smaller than in the same period last year, but the inflow into unemployment, stemming mainly from the termination of fixed-term contracts, was also smaller year on year. There were also fewer first-time jobseekers, which is related to better economic conditions and smaller generations of young people finishing school. At the end of October, 82,993 persons were registered as unemployed (14.7% fewer than in October 2016). Figure 15: Employed persons according to the employment register and registered unemployed 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 700 710 720 730 740 750 760 770 780 790 800 810 820 830 840 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 Ju l 1 7 N um b er o f r eg is te re d un em p lo ye d, in '0 00 , se as on al ly a dj us te d N um b er o f e m p lo ye d ac co rd in g to S RE , i n '0 00 , se as on al ly a dj us te d Source: SURS, ESS; calculations by IMAD. Employed according to SRE (left axis) Registered unemployed (right axis) Despite favourable economic conditions, the growth of wages remains moderate. Nevertheless, having strengthened in the second quarter, average gross earnings in both private and public sectors also rose during the summer months. In the first eight months, both sectors recorded just over 2% higher nominal growth than one year earlier, with growth in the private sector rising year on year in industry and market services. Figure 16: Average gross earnings per employee 100 105 110 115 120 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 Ju l 1 7 Se as on al ly a dj us te d in de x 20 08 = 10 0, 3- m on th m ov in g av er ag e Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Gross earnings per employee Private sector Public sector – general government – public corporations 10 According to the Statistical Register of Employment; these are persons in paid employment and self-employed persons except farmers. The labour market 14 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Current Economic Trends Table 3: Indicators of labour market trends change, in % 2016 VIII 17/VII 17 VIII 17/VIII 16 I-VIII 17/I-VIII 16 Persons in formal employment2 1.6 0.21 3.6 3.4 Registered unemployed -8.5 -0.91 -14.4 -13.7 Average nominal gross wage 1.8 0.21 2.7 2.1 - private sector 1.7 0.31 2.7 2.3 - public sector 2.3 0.41 3.1 2.4 -of which general government 3.6 -0.21 2.8 2.5 of which public corporations -0.5 1.51 3.8 2.1 2016 VIII 16 VII 17 VIII 17 Rate of registered unemployment (in %), seasonally adjusted 11.2 11.1 9.5 9.4 Sources: ESS. SURS; calculations by IMAD. Note: 1seasonally adjusted, 2 Persons in paid employment, self-employed persons and farmers. 15Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Current Economic Trends Having strengthened in the third quarter, the year-on-year growth of prices was down considerably in October. This was largely due to the negative contribution of prices of semi-durable goods (a decline in prices of clothing in particular), which saw slightly different dynamics than in the past owing to the removal of regulation of seasonal sales. The prices of durable goods continue to fall. The growth of services prices remains at around 1.5%, supported by favourable economic developments and consumption. The contributions of oil products and food (unprocessed food in particular) rose again, relative to mid-year, reflecting developments on international oil and food markets. The alcohol and tobacco component also made a larger contribution to growth, this owing to higher excise duties on tobacco products. Figure 17: Gibanje in struktura inflacije v Sloveniji -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 Ju l 1 7 Ye ar -o n- ye ar g ro w th , i n % C on tr ib ut io n to y -o -y g ro w th , i n pp s Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Other Services Fuels and energy Food Inflation, right axis Cost competitiveness is improving this year, and price competitiveness remains close to last year’s favourable levels despite the deterioration in the third quarter. This was a consequence of the increase in the nominal effective exchange rate due to the appreciation of the euro, particularly against non-EU currencies. In the first nine months, price competitiveness nevertheless remained close to the favourable level of 2016, partly also on account of the slightly lower relative prices. Cost competitiveness improved year on year in the first half of 2017 as a consequence of a decline in relative unit labour costs. Figure 18: Real effective exchange rates, deflated by the HICP and ULC 94 96 98 100 102 104 106 108 110 112 Q 1 08 Q 1 09 Q 1 10 Q 1 11 Q 1 12 Q 1 13 Q 1 14 Q 1 15 Q 1 16 Q 1 17 In de x 20 07 = 10 0 Source: ECB; calculations by IMAD. * A rise in the value indicates a loss in competitiveness, and vice versa. REER HICP rel. ULC NEER rel. HICP REER ULC Table 4: Consumer price growth in % 2016 X 17/IX 17 X 17/X 16 I-X 17/I-X 16 Total 0.5 0.1 1.0 1.4 Food 1.6 0.0 1.7 2.1 Fuels and energy -0.2 0.9 3.6 4.1 Services 1.6 -0.8 1.5 1.7 Other1 -0.6 0.6 -0.4 0.1 Total excluding food and energy 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.8 Administered prices2 0.4 0.1 1.0 - Tax impact – contribution in percentage points 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 Source: SURS, Ministry of Economic Development and Technology; calculations by IMAD. Notes: 1 Clothing, footwear, furniture, passenger cars, alcoholic beverages, tobacco, etc.; 2 An approach that excludes the share of extreme price changes in each month. The optimum share is determined in the period of the last five years as a difference between the moving average and the calculated trimmed mean. Prices 16 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Current Economic Trends This year Slovenia is in the group of euro area countries with more favourable price and cost competitiveness movements. Owing to the structure of Slovenian trade, the increase in the nominal effective exchange rate in Slovenia was among the smallest in the euro area, given that Slovenia performs an above-average share of its trade in the euro currency area. The share of trade in non- EU currencies, against which the euro appreciated, in the structure of Slovenian trade is smaller than on average in the euro area, while the share of EU currencies, against which the euro depreciated this year, is above average. The exception is the British pound, against which the euro has strengthened, but its share in Slovenian trade is one of the smallest in the euro area. Apart from that, the relatively more favourable cost competitiveness movements were also attributable to a larger decline in relative unit labour costs than in most other member states. Figure 19: Real effective exchange rates of euro area countries deflated by the HICP and ULC -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 FI IE SI N L A T ES M T IT G R BE FR CY D E SK PT LU E E LV LT Ye ar -o n- ye ar g ro w th (i n % ) Source: ECB; calculations by IMAD. REER HICP (1-9 2017) REER ULC (1-6 2017) 11 In the Netherlands, Belgium, Denmark, Portugal, Luxembourg, Finland, Sweden, Cyprus, Estonia, Latvia, Malta and Bulgaria. 12 With a 2% or greater share in total merchandise exports in the EU on average in 2013–2015. Market shares on foreign markets Slovenia’s merchandise market shares on foreign markets continued to increase in the first half of 2017. Further growth in the EU was largely the result of increases in market shares in Italy, Austria, France and the Czech Republic, coupled with renewed growth on most of Slovenia’s relatively less important EU markets.11 Among the most important products in the manufacturing sector,12 Slovenia increased its EU market shares of medical and pharmaceutical products, textile yarn, fabrics and textile products, power-generating machinery, machinery specialised for particular industries, electrical machinery and appliances, road vehicles, furniture, and miscellaneous manufactured articles. Among its main export markets outside the EU, Slovenia increased its market share in Russia. The weak growth in market share on the world market in the first half of the year was partly due to the base effect and also to more pronounced energy price rises and a consequent improvement in the market shares of energy exporters. The share of the EU on the world market fell in the first half of the year. Figure 21: Market shares on foreign markets -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11 20 12 20 13 20 14 20 15 20 16 1- 6 20 17 Ye ar -o n- ye ar g ro w th (i n % ) Source: SURS, Eurostat, UN, WIIW, WTO; calculations by IMAD. World EU28 Partners 12 The fall in unit labour costs in the first half of the year was a consequence of stronger growth in labour productivity following two years of only modest growth. At the same time, growth in compensation of employees per employee slowed further owing to a modest increase in wages. The decline in real unit labour costs stemmed from both the tradable and the non-tradable sectors, in the former primarily from manufacturing, trade, transport, and accommodation and food service activities and in the latter mainly from construction. Particularly in manufacturing, employment and earnings increased more than in the economy as a whole amid strong value added growth. In recent years the movement of Slovenia’s cost competitiveness has been mostly consistent with the euro area average. Figure 20: Real unit labour costs, Slovenia and the euro area 98 100 102 104 106 108 110 112 114 Q 1 08 Q 1 09 Q 1 10 Q 1 11 Q 1 12 Q 1 13 Q 1 14 Q 1 15 Q 1 16 Q 1 17 In de x 20 07 = 10 0, 4 -q ua rt er m ov in g av er ag e Source: Eurostat; calculations by IMAD. Note: The average of the euro area excluding Ireland, where there was a break in the data series owing to a large GDP revision. Manufacturing Slovenia Manufacturing EA 18 Economy Slovenia Economy EA18 17Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Current Economic Trends Table 5: Indicators of price and cost competitiveness Year-on-year growth, in % 2015 2016 q1 16 q2 16 q3 16 q4 16 q1 17 q2 17 Effective exchange rate1 Nominal -3.1 1.0 0.6 1.6 0.8 0.8 -0.2 -0.1 Real, deflator HICP -4.1 0.3 -0.6 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.0 -0.3 Real, deflator ULC -3.7 0.9 1.0 2.6 0.2 -0.4 -2.0 -1.3 Unit labour costs, ecnomy and components Nominal unit labour costs 0.4 1.6 2.0 2.4 1.1 1.0 -0.4 0.9 Compensation of employees per employee, nominal 1.4 2.8 3.1 3.8 2.4 2.1 1.7 2.5 Labour productivity, real 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.1 2.1 1.6 Real unit labour costs -0.6 0.7 0.7 1.7 0.6 0.0 -1.5 -1.4 Labour productivity, nominal 2.0 2.1 2.4 2.1 1.8 2.1 3.3 3.9 Source: SURS, ECB; calculations by IMAD. Note: 1 Against 36 trading partners, according to ECB data. 18 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Current Economic Trends The surplus of the current account of the balance of payments is rising; in the last 12 months13 it totalled EUR 2.5 billion (5.9% of estimated GDP). The higher surplus in current transactions in comparison with the previous 12-month period14 was mainly due to the greater trade surplus in services, this primarily resulting from higher net revenue from travel and the surplus of trade in other, trade-related services. The deficit in primary income was also down, the main reason being lower net payments of interest on external debt as a result of lower yields on government bonds. With growth in domestic demand, imports of goods are on the rise, reducing the trade surplus in goods15 amid less favourable terms of trade. Figure 22: Components of the current account of the balance of payments -2,000 -1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 Ju l 1 7 12 -m on th m ov in g su m , i n EU R m Source: BoS; calculations by IMAD. Merchandise trade Trade in services Primary income Secondary income Current account Table 6: Balance of payments I-VIII 2017, in EUR m Inflows Outflows Balance Balance, I-VIII 16 Current account 24,577.5 22,724.5 1,853.0 1,417.6 Goods 18,433.0 17,367.5 1,065.4 1,083.8 Services 4,625.6 2,914.8 1,710.8 1,408.1 Primary income 1,012.4 1,722.6 -710.2 -848.8 Secondary income 506.5 719.6 -213.0 -225.5 Capital account 428.5 592.1 -163.6 -175.9 Financial account -274.0 1,067.5 1,341.6 671.7 Direct investment 417.3 315.6 -101.7 -948.8 Portfolio investment 1,041.4 2,007.8 966.4 2,335.0 Other investment -1,673.8 -1,106.2 567.6 -499.2 Net errors and omissions 0.0 -347.9 -347.9 -570.0 Source: BoS. Note: The methodology of the Slovenian Balance of Payments and International Investment Position statistics follows the recommendations in the sixth edition of the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual published by the International Monetary Fund. On the current and capital accounts, the term »inflows” means total receipts and the term “outflows” means total expenditures; “balance” is the difference between inflows and outflows. On the financial account, “outflows” mean assets, while “inflows” mean liabilities abroad; “balance” is the difference between outflows and inflows. In financial inflows and outflows, the increase is recorded with a plus sign and the decrease with a minus sign. The net outflow of external financial transactions continues. External financial transactions recorded a net outflow of EUR 1.7 billion arising from net outflows in portfolio investment, particularly financial investments of commercial banks and the BoS in foreign debt securities.16 Other investment recorded a net inflow, as the government and the BoS were withdrawing deposits from their accounts abroad. In direct investment – which is more modest this year following a significant inflow in 2016 – inflows of equity capital of foreign investors predominated. Figure 23: Financial transactions of the balance of payments -10,000 -8,000 -6,000 -4,000 -2,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 Ja n 11 Ju l 1 1 Ja n 12 Ju l 1 2 Ja n 13 Ju l 1 3 Ja n 14 Ju l 1 4 Ja n 15 Ju l 1 5 Ja n 16 Ju l 1 6 Ja n 17 Ju l 1 7 12 -m on th m ov in g su m , i n EU R m Source: BoS; calculations by IMAD. Direct investment Portfolio investment Financial derivatives Other investment Financial transactions 13 September 2016–August 2017. 14 September 2015–August 2016. 15 The terms of trade, which had been constantly worsening year on year from October 2016 to May 2017, then improved slightly in the three months to August, mostly owing to the slower growth of energy prices. In the first eight months as a whole, they deteriorated 0.8% year on year. 16 Securities include securities purchased on the basis of investment decisions of the BoS and those purchased under the asset purchase programme (APP). Balance of payments 19Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Current Economic Trends Figure 24: Change in the volumes of household, corporate, NFI and government loans In September the volume of loans to domestic non-banking sectors17 increased further. Household loans, in particular housing and consumer loans, continue to rise gradually. Since mid-year, the volume of corporate and NFI loans has also been picking up. The growth of corporate loans is estimated to be mainly due to lower deleveraging, given that the 12-month volume of new loans remained at around EUR 6 billion.18 The structure of banking system liabilities continues to change rapidly in favour of non- banking sector deposits. Owing to near-zero deposit interest rates, only overnight deposits are on the rise. The banks continue to make net repayments of liabilities to foreign banks, which thus now account for only around 5% of the banking system’s total assets. The quality of banking system claims continues to improve steadily. -6,000 -5,000 -4,000 -3,000 -2,000 -1,000 0 1,000 2,000 Sep 11 Sep 12 Sep 13 Sep 14 Sep 15 Sep 16 Sep 17 Y ea r- o n -y ea r c h an g es , i n E U R m Source: BoS; calculations by IMAD. Note: Excluding the impact of the transfer of claims to the BAMC. Households Enterprises NFIs Government Total Table 7: Financial market indicators Domestic bank loans to non-banking sector and household savings Nominal amounts, EUR m Nominal loan growth, % 30. IX 16 31. XII 16 30. IX 17 30. IX 17/31. VIII 17 30. IX 17/30. IX 16 Loans total 20,531.2 21,410.3 21,682.2 1.2 5.6 Enterprises and NFI 9,773.4 10,171.2 10,568.6 2.5 8.1 Government 1,783.5 2,085.4 1,509.9 -3.6 -15.3 Households 8,974.2 9,153.6 9,603.6 0.7 7.0 Consumer credits 2,093.4 2,144.0 2,359.2 1.1 12.7 Lending for house purchase 5,655.3 5,716.5 5,927.5 0.4 4.8 Other lending 1,225.6 1,293.1 1,316.9 1.1 7.5 Bank deposits total 16,606.5 16,935.0 17,701.7 1.1 6.6 Overnight deposits 10,422.6 10,956.4 12,435.6 1.8 19.3 Term deposits 6,183.9 5,978.6 5,266.1 -0.4 -14.8 Government bank deposits, total 1,019.2 1,088.0 689.6 -5.7 -32.3 Deposits of non-financial corporations, total 5,446.8 5,804.5 6,002.4 0.1 10.2 Sources: Monthly Bulletin of the BoS; calculations by IMAD. Note: NFI – Non-monetary Financial Institutions. 17 The analysis is made on the basis of statistical data, which differ from accounting data particularly in that they also include revisions. Greater differences between these data are seen for the volume of loans extended to non-financial corporations (both domestic and foreign). 18 Data to August 2017. Financial markets 20 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Current Economic Trends Under the impact of favourable economic developments, the general government budget on a cash basis19 was almost balanced in the first eight months of 2017. As a result of strong growth in most main revenue categories and moderate expenditure growth, the primary surplus was also significantly higher than in the same period last year. The deficit is still expected to widen by the end of the year due to the covering of losses accumulated in public health institutes20 and faster growth in certain expenditures (for example in connection with EU funds), but it will be lower than in 2016. Figure 25: Budget balance and primary budget balance -2,000 -1,500 -1,000 -500 0 500 1,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Aug 2016 Jan-Aug 2017 In E U R m Source: MF, Bulletin of Government Finance; calculations by IMAD. General government balance Primary general government balance 19 According to the consolidated general government budgetary accounts. 20 In compliance with the Act on Intervention Measures to Ensure the Financial Stability of Public Health Care Institutions adopted in September. 21 The increase in the corporate income tax rate on 1 January 2017 (from 17% to 19%) and the accrued interest on the reopened RS76 bond. 22 According to data from the state budget, revenue from the EU budget remained lower year on year in the first nine months of 2017 (−9.9%), and Slovenia’s net budgetary position against the EU budget was negative. The latter is primary the result of the still unrealised refunds from the Cohesion Fund and very low refunds from structural funds. The growth of general government revenue remained high during the first eight months (6.6%). In addition to certain measures and one-off factors,21 the rapid revenue growth in this period was attributable primarily to favourable economic conditions, including conditions on the labour market. The slight moderation of tax revenue growth in the last two months was due to delays in the payment of excise duties in the same period last year, fluctuations in minor personal income tax categories (revenue from rental income and other revenues) and April’s final settlement of corporate income tax. The absorption of EU funds remained modest.22-4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Aug 2016 Jan-Aug 2017 C on tr ib ut io n to g ro w th , i n pp s Source: MF; calculations by IMAD. Tax revenues Social security contributions Non-tax revenues Capital and transfer reve., donations Receipts from the EU budget TOTAL REVENUE (growth in %) Figure 26: Contributions of revenue categories to year- on-year revenue growth Public finance 21Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Current Economic Trends The growth of general government expenditure is moderate (2.4% in the first eight months). Owing to the relaxation of austerity measures, the greatest contributions to growth came from compensation of employees, current transfers (particularly pensions and sickness benefits), and expenditure on goods and services. Investments are also picking up from their low level of 2016, while expenditure on reserves (budgetary funds) and payments into the EU budget are lower year on year.23 Figure 27: Contributions of expenditure categories to year-on-year expenditure growth -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Aug 2016 Jan-Aug 2017 Co nt rib ut io n to g ro w th , i n pp s Source: MF; calculations by IMAD. Salaries, wages and other person. exp. Expenditure on goods and services Interest payments Reserves Current transfers Capital expenditure and cap. transfers Payments to the EU budget TOTAL EXPENDITURE (growth in %) 23 Lower payments into the EU budget in 2017 compared with 2016 were envisaged in the adopted state budget but the payments will be even slightly lower than planned. This is a consequence of the lower needs of the EU budget due to the lower absorption of Cohesion Policy funds at the EU level. Specifically, owing to the requirements for a balanced EU budget, countries’ payments are being adjusted to payment needs. Table 8: Consolidated general government revenue and expenditure on a cash basis Category I-VIII 2016 I-VIII 2017 Category I-VIII 2016 I-VIII 2017 EUR m Y-o-y growth, in % EUR m Y-o-y growth, in % EUR m Y-o-y growth, in % EUR m Y-o-y growth, in % REVENUES TOTAL 10,346.9 1.0 11,031.8 6.6 EXPENDITURE TOTAL 10,793.0 -1.4 11,057.1 2.4 Tax revenues* 5,570.9 2.8 5,948.9 6.8 Salaries, wages and other personnel expenditures** 2,519.1 4.5 2,623.5 4.1 Personal income tax 1,350.8 6.1 1,429.1 5.8 Expenditure on goods and services 1,476.3 3.0 1,556.3 5.4 Corporate income tax 426.7 5.3 533.9 25.1 Interest payments 785.7 4.6 773.9 -1.5 Taxes on immovable property 109.7 12.6 131.9 20.3 Reserves 117.2 8.2 78.4 -33.1 Value added tax 2,149.7 0.9 2,268.3 5.5 Transfers to individuals and households 4,386.8 1.9 4,484.8 2.2 Excise duties 1,009.5 2.2 1,038.5 2.9 Other current transfers 802.5 -0.8 824.2 2.7 Social security contributions 3,762.6 4.5 3,982.3 5.8 Investment expenditure 434.0 -46.9 464.5 7.0 Non-tax revenues 661.9 8.0 785.6 18.7 Payments to the EU budget 271.4 -11.9 251.5 -7.3 Receipts from the EU budget 301.1 -44.6 258.7 -14.1 GENERAL GOVERNMENT BALANCE -446.1 -25.3 Other 50.5 -28.3 56.3 11.6 PRIMARY BALANCE 338.3 723.7 Source: MF. Bulletin of Government Finance; calculations by IMAD. Note:* Unlike tax revenues in the consolidated balance of public finance, tax revenues in this table do not include social constributions.** Labour costs include social contributions by the employer. se le ct ed to pi cs 25Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Selected Topics WEF Global Competitiveness Report 2017–2018 Slovenia’s ranking on the WEF1 global competitiveness scale has improved further this year but remains lower than before the crisis. Relative to last year, Slovenia has advanced by eight places to 48th among all countries surveyed and by two places to 20th among EU Member States. The improvement has been largely due to more favourable macroeconomic conditions, which have contributed to more positive perceptions among business executives about doing business in Slovenia. In the last three years Slovenia has significantly reduced its lag behind the EU and OECD averages in the overall indicator. Despite the improvement, however, it remains one of the countries that rank much lower on the competitiveness scale than in the pre-crisis year 2008 (by six places overall and by four among EU Member States). Of the 137 countries surveyed, Switzerland, the US and Singapore top the list; among the top ten, five are from the EU. Slovenia has improved its position in two of the three sub-indexes of competitiveness,2 the most in “basic requirements”. It is still among the more competitive countries in the areas of health and primary education (16th) and higher education and training (24th). Its ranking in innovation and business sophistication factors also remains high (37th place). The improvement in business sophistication factors is mainly due to more positive assessments regarding the number and quality of local 1 World Economic Forum. 2 In this year’s report, the WEF used 114 indicators, grouped into 12 pillars of competitiveness, which were organised into three sub-indexes. The first sub-index, basic requirements, includes institutions, infrastructure, macroeconomic environment, and health and primary education. The second sub-index, efficiency enhancers, includes higher education and training, goods and labour market efficiency, financial market development, technological readiness, and market size. The third sub- index is innovation and business sophistication factors. This methodology has been left basically unchanged for several years, which allows for comparisons to be made between individual years. suppliers and a broader presence of companies in the global value chain. Slovenia’s advancement in the basic requirements for competitiveness is attributable primarily to the improvement in fiscal indicators, which is reflected in a higher ranking regarding the macroeconomic environment (up 31 places to 58th). Business executives also positively assess the progress made in certain areas concerning the functioning of the state,3 but their trust in public institutions and politics remains relatively low. Slovenia still ranks low on the indicators of government regulation (118th place), efficiency of the legal framework (90–107th place) and efficiency of government spending (97th place). In the sub-index of efficiency enhancers, Slovenia’s position has improved slightly in most areas but remained significantly lower than before the crisis. In terms of financial system development, Slovenia has moved up 12 places to 106th, mainly as a result of the intensive process of banks’ balance sheet repair in previous years. Business executives’ trust in the soundness of banks nevertheless remains low (104th place), with access to finance still being perceived as a problem (106th place). The low ranking in the area of labour market efficiency is mainly a consequence of dissatisfaction regarding the tax burden on labour income (135th place) and the rules on hiring and firing (132th place). According to the WEF survey, the most problematic factors when doing business in Slovenia remain related to taxes and tax policy. The business executes surveyed are dissatisfied with the high tax rates and the tax regulations in force (29.0% of respondents in total), emphasising that the level of tax rates inhibits potential, particularly foreign, investment. Other main barriers to doing business have remained similar to previous years – inefficient government bureaucracy (16.5%) and restrictive labour regulations (12.3%). 3 For more on this, see the chapter "The role of the state and its institutions" in the 2017 Development Report. Figure 28: Comparison of overall indicator values in Slovenia, the EU and the OECD 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.1 20 06 -2 00 7 20 07 -2 00 8 20 08 -2 00 9 20 09 -2 01 0 20 10 -2 01 1 20 11 -2 01 2 20 12 -2 01 3 20 13 -2 01 4 20 14 -2 01 5 20 15 -2 01 6 20 16 -2 01 7 20 17 -2 01 8 Sc or es Source: WEF; calculations by IMAD. EU Slovenia OECD Figure 29: Most problematic factors when doing business in Slovenia (WEF survey) 38.6 0 5 10 15 20 25 Other Corruption Access to financing Policy instability Tax regulations Restrictive labour regulations Inefficient govern. bureaucracy Tax rates % of responses Source: WEF. 2017-2018 2016-2017 2008-2009 26 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Selected Topics Slovenia lags significantly behind innovation-driven countries4 on most indicators used in the WEF competitiveness report. The main competitive advantages of innovation- driven countries are their efficient institutions, high- quality infrastructure, stimulating business environment, technological readiness and human capital. Slovenia has narrowed its gap with these countries only in terms of health and education and lags considerably behind in infrastructure (rail infrastructure in particular), stability of financial markets and innovation. Alongside further development of human capital, innovation is one the main factors that could also enhance productivity and competitiveness5 in the long term. Insolvency in 2017 Solvency is improving; the number of business entities subject to bankruptcy proceedings is declining, as is the number of those deleted from the register because of insolvency, though this is still higher than in previous years. In the first three quarters of this year, the solvency of legal persons and sole proprietors6 improved in terms of both the number of non-payers and the amounts owed. Payment delays shortened too, but long-term outstanding liabilities7 remain high, accounting for more than 60% of all outstanding liabilities in legal persons and as much as 81% of all outstanding liabilities in sole proprietors. The number of personal bankruptcy filings declined by more than a third. 4 I.e. the top 10 – Switzerland, the US, Singapore, the Netherlands, Germany, Hong Kong, Sweden, the UK, Japan and Finland. 5 For more, see the chapter "Allocative efficiency and productivity in Slovenia" in Economic Issues 2017. 6 Sole proprietors and other natural persons engaging in registered activities registered in the Business Register of Slovenia. 7 Liabilities that are more than one year overdue. Figure 30: Comparison of WEF indicators for Slovenia and innovation-driven economies 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Institutions Infrastructure Macroeconomic stability Health and primary education Higher education and training Goods market efficiency Labour market efficiency Financial market development Technological readiness Market size Business sophistication Innovation Innovation-driven economies* 2016/2017 Slovenia 2017/2018 Slovenia 2008/2009 Source: WEF; calculations by IMAD. Note: *the top 10 countries. A higher score indicates a better outcome; the highest score is 7. In the first three quarters of 2017, 9.3% (430) fewer legal entities on average had outstanding liabilities8 than in the same period last year and the average daily amounts of these liabilities were 12.4% lower. The number of non- payers decreased in most sectors, notably construction and manufacturing, while the average daily amounts of outstanding liabilities dropped the most in water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation activities and construction. Construction still accounts for almost one-fifth of total daily outstanding liabilities. The distributive trades sector also reached a similar share. These two sectors are followed by professional, scientific and technical activities, manufacturing, and 8 These are matured liabilities that are outstanding for more than five consecutive days in a month. AJPES keeps records of outstanding matured liabilities from court enforcement orders and tax debt. These records do not include other outstanding liabilities from unpaid bills between creditors and debtors. Figure 31: Legal entities with outstanding matured liabilities for more than five consecutive days in a month and the average daily amounts of their outstanding matured liabilities 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 Q 1 08 Q 1 09 Q 1 10 Q 1 11 Q 1 12 Q 1 13 Q 1 14 Q 1 15 Q 1 16 Q 1 17 In E U R m N o. Source: AJPES. Average No. of legal entities with outstanding matured liabilities (left axis) Average daily amount of outstanding matured liabilities, EUR m (right axis) Figure 32: Average monthly amounts of outstanding liabilities of legal entities 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Q 1 10 Q 1 11 Q 1 12 Q 1 13 Q 1 14 Q 1 15 Q 1 16 Q 1 17 In E U R m Source: AJPES. Up to 3 months 3 months–1 year Over 1 year 27Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Selected Topics other activities, all with more than 12% shares. Three- quarters of legal entities with outstanding liabilities are micro9 enterprises, which account for more than half of all outstanding matured liabilities. The corresponding share of large enterprises is 0.2% and their share in the average daily amount of outstanding liabilities is 9.4%. Solvency also improved for sole proprietors. In the first three quarters, the average monthly number (4,292) of sole proprietors with outstanding liabilities was 22.1% lower and the average daily amounts of their outstanding liabilities (EUR 89 million) 23% lower year on year. However, the problem remains the long-term nature of many non- payments, as half of non-payers account for 81% of the total average daily amounts of liabilities that are more than one year overdue. The majority of non-payers are in the sectors of construction (19.4%), distributive trades (14.0%), accommodation and food service activities (13.9 %), professional, scientific and technical activities (11.5%), and manufacturing (11.2%). In the first nine months of the year, the number of bankruptcy proceedings10 initiated against legal persons was up 8.2% year on year, but since the first quarter of the year it has been declining. In the first three quarters, the most bankruptcy proceedings against legal entities were initiated in the distributive trades and construction (23.9% and 22.0% of all bankruptcies respectively), with a further 12% each in manufacturing and professional, scientific and technical activities. Because of insolvency11 and consequent bankruptcy, 788 legal entities were struck off the business register in the first nine months of this year, 7.8% more than in the same period of 2016. 9 According to Article 55 of the Companies Act (ZGD-1), enterprises are classified as micro, small, medium-sized and large enterprises based on data from the annual reports of two consecutive fiscal years. 10 Bankruptcy proceedings are a form of winding-up an over-indebted or insolvent debtor. Bankruptcy proceedings are, under the supervision of the courts, administered by the bankruptcy trustee, who liquidates all the debtor’s property to obtain financial assets for settling creditor claims. Upon completion of the bankruptcy proceedings, the legal entity is deleted from the court register. 11 Insolvency is a situation where a debtor, over a longer period, can no longer meet its financial obligations that become due (prolonged illiquidity) or becomes unable to cover its financial obligations in the long term (long-term insolvency). Table 9: Number of business entities subject to proceedings and deletions from the register due to insolvency in the first nine months of 2017 2009 2014 2015 2016 2017 Total Of which companies Total Of which companies Total Of which companies Total Of which companies Total Of which companies Initiated bankruptcy proceedings 232 191 970 828 872 701 921 771 963 834 Deletions from the register due to bankruptcy 208 165 589 472 868 726 880 731 919 788 Initiated compulsory settlement proceedings 7 7 35 32 13 13 10 10 11 11 Initiated simplified compulsory settlement roceedings1 - - 79 77 87 85 85 79 33 32 Initiated compulsory liquidation proceedings - - 9 4 9 0 23 13 32 22 Deletions from the register due to compulsory liquidation - - 2 0 1 0 3 0 6 1 Initiated voluntary liquidation proceedings2 70 54 77 35 84 33 95 38 117 43 Deletions from the register due to voluntary liquidation 53 38 55 19 64 26 71 25 94 38 Source: AJPES. Note: 1 Simplified compulsory settlement proceedings were introduced by the Act Amending the Financial Operations, Insolvency Proceedings and Compulsory Dissolution Act (ZFPPIPP-E), effective from 15 August 2013 onwards. 2 In 2009, data are for compulsory and voluntary liquidation proceedings together. Figure 33: Bankruptcy proceedings initiated against companies, co-operatives and sole proprietors 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Q 1 09 Q 1 10 Q 1 11 Q 1 12 Q 1 13 Q 1 14 Q 1 15 Q 1 16 Q 1 17 N um be r N um be r Source: AJPES, Slovenian Business Register. No. of initiated bankruptcy proceedings against legal entities (left axis) No. of initiated bakruptcy proceedings against sole proprietors (right axis) After a record number of bankruptcies among sole proprietors in 2015, the situation is easing. In the first three quarters of 2017, one-fifth fewer sole proprietors were struck off the business register than in the same period last year. More than half of all bankruptcies against sole proprietors were filed in the sectors of distributive trades, accommodation and food service activities, and construction. The number of personal bankruptcy filings12 fell considerably this year. In the first nine months of 2017, the number of initiated personal bankruptcies (1,822) was one-third lower than in the same period last year. The number of completed personal bankruptcies (2,796), on the other hand, was 81% higher year on year. The amounts of reported claims, having stood at EUR 646 million in the first three quarters of 2016, declined to EUR 335 million in the same period of this year. 12 According to data from the Supreme Court of the Republic of Slovenia. By filing for personal bankruptcy, debtors can prevent the attachment of their assets or stop public auctions of their property. 28 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Selected Topics In compliance with the Act on Prevention of Late Payments, the ninth round13 of this year’s compulsory multilateral set-offs14 was conducted in September 2017. In this round 3,557 debtors reported liabilities in the total amount of EUR 342 million, of which only 6.4% were set off. In all 78 rounds together, the mutual indebtedness of business entities was reduced by EUR 3.1 billion. Social protection expenditure in 201515 Social protection expenditure makes up a significant portion of household disposable income. Social protection systems help ensure social security and reduce poverty risk. In the 2008–2015 period, the growth of total social protection expenditure in Slovenia was marked primarily by higher expenditure on old age and on sickness and healthcare. These categories of expenditure are bound to grow further in the future, given the rising life expectancy and ever larger share of people over the age of 65. The challenge for the future in this area remains how to ensure the sustainability of pensions and long-term care expenditure while meeting the needs of the population and ensuring adequate access to services. After a three-year standstill, social protection expenditure was again 2.9% higher in real terms in 2015; it accounted for almost one-quarter of GDP, though this is still below the EU average (around 29%). Relative to the pre-crisis year 2008, expenditure was up 6.2% or EUR 1.2 billion in real terms. Its 2015 growth was mainly underpinned by expenditure on the areas of sickness and healthcare and old age. Expenditure on old age makes up the largest share of total social protection expenditure (42%) and accounts for almost one-tenth of GDP. The increase in expenditure on social exclusion not elsewhere classified can be attributed to changes in social legislation16 and the consequently higher expenditure on financial social assistance, while the increase in expenditure on sickness and healthcare is mainly the result of higher expenditure on sickness benefits.17 Some 7.6% of GDP was spent on the latter in 2015. Expenditures on disability and unemployment (1.3% and 0.6% of GDP respectively) continue to drop, which is a consequence of a falling number of disability 13 The ZPreZP-1 (Official Gazette of the RS, No. 57/2012, 27 July 2012), which took effect on 28 July 2012. 14 This was the 78th round of compulsory multilateral set-offs since April 2011, when the Act entered into force. 15 According to the ESSPROS methodology, the most recent data for Slovenia are for 2015; data for the EU average are not yet available. In the calculations for Slovenia, final data for all individual groups of social benefits are taken into account. Final data for total expenditure for 2015 are not yet available. 16 The amendment to social legislation in 2014 facilitated access to financial social assistance. The new regulation eased slightly the conditions for reimbursing such assistance from inheritance: it reduced, by one-third, the amount of financial social assistance received that has to be repaid after the death of the beneficiary from his/her estate and abolished the obligation to pay the financial social assistance back if it has been received for no more than 12 months. It also broadened the general conditions for income support eligibility. 17 According to NIJZ data, there were 859,615 incidences of sickness leave in 2015, which was 16.2% more than in 2014. The increase is also related to the rising numbers of the employed and older persons. Table 10: Real changes in social protection expenditure by social protection function 2008 2012 2013 2014 2015 Expenditure – total* 2.3 -3.5 -1.9 0.2 2.9 Social benefits 2.5 -3.5 -1.7 0.0 3.3 1. Sickness/healthcare 7.3 -1.5 -6.1 0.3 8.3 2. Disability -1 -10.5 -3.5 -2.5 -3.4 3. Old age 0.0 -2.5 2.4 0.9 1.8 4. Survivors 3.3 -7.3 -1.9 -2.6 1.7 5. Family/children 4.9 -7.8 -7.4 -1.3 0.1 6. Unemployment 9.3 -9.6 10.2 -11.7 -7 7. Housing -24.3 94.9 31 12.3 11.7 8. Social exclusion not elsewhere classified -9.9 9.8 0.1 13.8 7.6 Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Note: Total expenditure is the sum of social benefits, administration costs and other items of expenditure. Figure 34: Social protection expenditure as a share of GDP, EU-28, 2014 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 LV LT RO EE BG SK MT PL CZ HU IE CR LU CY SI ES GR PT UK EU 28 DE SE IT AT BE NL FI DK FR In % Source: Eurostat. pension beneficiaries18 and the improvement in labour market conditions. After the decline in 2012–2014 due to the entry into force of the ZUJF, expenditure on family and children remained unchanged year on year in 2015 in real terms, accounting for approximately the same share of GDP as in 2008 (1.8%). Slovenia allocates less than the EU average particularly on unemployment and housing, but more than the EU average on social exclusion not elsewhere classified. Social contributions remain the main source of financing for social protection schemes; in 2008–2015, however, the share 18 Down 5.5% relative to the previous year. The decline in expenditure on this function is, in addition to the lower number of beneficiaries of disability pensions and disability benefits, mainly a consequence of changes in eligibility criteria for income support. With the social legislation reform (the Financial Social Assistance Act, Official Gazette of the RS, No. 61/10), income support became a social protection right as of 1 January 2012. 29Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Selected Topics The rate of social exclusion also declined in 2016. It was down 2 pps on the level reached in 2014 and 2015, when it was the highest yet recorded (18.6%). The rate of the risk of social exclusion is a composite indicator comprising three components, the at-risk-of-poverty rate, the severe material deprivation rate and the proportion of persons in households with very low work intensity.21 The values of the individual components improved or remained unchanged. The at-risk-of-poverty rate (13.9%) and the rate of severe material deprivation (5.4%) were each down 0.4 pps, while the proportion of persons in households with very low work intensity remained similar to 2015 (7.4%). The severe material deprivation rate was the lowest since the onset of the crisis for both women and men. In comparison with the pre-crisis year, the at- risk-of-poverty rate rose slightly more for men (by 2.5 pps against 2.3 pps for women). In 2016 the proportion of men living in households with very low work intensity (6.7%) 21 "Very low work intensity" means less than 20% of a household’s total work potential. Persons included in more than one sub-indicator are counted only once. of the government contribution increased the most.19 The increasing government contribution can be attributed to the fall in the number of employed persons during the crisis and a consequent increase in the government contribution to the pension fund. The increase in social contributions paid by protected persons and those paid by employers in 2014 and 2015 was mainly a consequence of the improved situation on the labour market and hence a larger number of employed persons. The share of social contributions paid by protected persons in total social protection receipts is almost twice as high as on average in the EU, while the shares of contributions by the government and employers and from other sources are below the EU average. Income inequality, social exclusion and poverty risk in Slovenia in 2016 With the improvement in the economic situation, income inequality as measured by the Gini coefficient and the at- risk-of-poverty rate declined in 2016. The at-risk-of-poverty rate shows income inequality as a share of population below the poverty threshold, calculated as 60% of the median equivalised disposable income.20 In 2016 the Gini coefficient dropped 0.1 pps to 24.4% and the at-risk- of-poverty rate 0.4 pps to 13.9%. The at-risk-of-poverty threshold for a single household was approximately the same (EUR 616) as in 2015, but the number of persons living below the poverty threshold was 7,000 less (280,000). 19 The main categories of expenditure on social protection schemes are social benefits, administration costs, transfers to other programmes and other expenditure, i.e. funds allocated to households and individuals to relieve them of the burden of certain risks or needs. The main sources of funding social protection schemes are social contributions (contributions by employers and contributions by protected persons), general government contributions, transfers from other schemes and other sources. These are receipts collected to finance the above-mentioned expenditure. 20 The calculation for 2016 is based on income from 2015 calculated according to the OECD modified equivalence scale, which assigns a value of 1 to the first adult, 0.5 to any other person aged 14 or older, and 0.3 to each child younger than 14. Figure 35: Structure of social protection receipts 27.5 26.1 25.7 26.3 41.5 37.6 39.1 40.0 29.1 35.0 33.8 32.4 1.9 1.3 1.4 1.3 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 2008 2013 2014 2015 In % Source: SURS; calculations by IMAD. Contributions by employers Contributions by protected persons General government contributions Other sources Figure 36: At-risk-of-poverty rate and income inequality indicator (Gini), Slovenia, 2005–2016 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 In % Source: Eurostat Gini coefficient after pensions and social transfers (%) At-risk-of-poverty rate after pensions and social transfers (%) Figure 37: Composite indicator of social exclusion and its components, Slovenia 2005–2016 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 In % Source: Eurostat Gini coefficient after pensions and social transfers (%) At-risk-of-poverty rate after pensions and social transfers (%) 30 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Selected Topics of-poverty rates by gender are also widening for the 18–24 age group). In 2016 the at-risk-of-poverty rates in the 50–65 age group climbed to the highest level yet recorded. This group includes a large number of long- term unemployed persons, and the at-risk-of-poverty rate among the unemployed is, as is to be expected, high. This is also estimated to be the reason why people, to a greater extent than elsewhere in the EU, are deciding to take early retirement. Slovenia is thus one of the countries with the lowest employment rates in the 55–64 age group, with more early retirements and hence lower pensions – the at-risk-of-poverty rate rose the most for those who retired below 65 years of age (by 2.8 pps on the preceding year to 16.4%). Broken down by activity status, the highest at-risk-of- poverty rate is recorded by the unemployed. In 2016 it totalled 44.7% (0.1 pps less than in 2015). The at-risk-of- poverty rate for the employed (which is already 10 times lower than that for the unemployed) also dropped, this was slightly higher (by 0.3 pps) and the corresponding proportion of women the same (8.2%) as before the crisis. The improvement in the economic situation did not have the same effect on all age groups. Compared with the preceding year, the at-risk-of-poverty rate for people under 18 years of age declined by 2.3 pps and for single- parent families, one of the most vulnerable population groups, by 7.2 pps (to 25.3%). This is estimated to be a result of the new Scholarship Act22 from 2013 and the reinstatement of government scholarships for under-age pupils. The only age group where last year’s at-risk-of- poverty rates were lower than before the crisis was that of people over 65. Nevertheless, they still have the highest at-risk-of-poverty rate among the selected age groups, which can be attributed solely to the high poverty risk of older women (however, given the worsening situation of women more generally, the differences in the at-risk- 22 Scholarships started to be granted according to the new Act (ZŠtip-1, Official Gazette No. 56/2013) in the 2014/2015 school year. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 In % Source: Eurostat. Women Less than 18 years 18–24 years 25–49 years 50–64 years Figure 39: At-risk-of-poverty rate for selected age groups by gender, Slovenia, 2005–2016 (men) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 In % Source: Eurostat. Men Less than 18 years 18–24 years 25–49 years 50–64 years Figure 40: At-risk-of-poverty-rate for working-age people (18–64) by activity status, Slovenia, 2009–2016 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 In % Source: Eurostat. Note: Data on employed and self-employed persons are available only from 2009 onwards. Self-employed Employed Other inactive Unemployed Brezposelni Figure 41: At-risk-of-poverty rates by contract type, Slovenia, 2005–2016 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 In % Source: Eurostat. Permanent contract Fixed-term contract Full-time employment Part-time employment Figure 38: At-risk-of-poverty rates for selected age groups by gender, Slovenia, 2005–2016 (women) 31Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Selected Topics the Goriška region has below-average values only in social capital, accessibility of services and environment. The values of the well-being indicator in the Obalno-kraška and Primorsko-notranjska regions stand at 6.3 and 6.2 respectively. High values are recorded particularly in the areas of income, life satisfaction, accessibility of services and safety. The prospects for employment are also relatively good in both regions. However, the values of subjective well-being indicators are lower, particularly the indicator of social capital in the Obalno-kraška region. In most regions the composite indicator totals between 5 and 4.5. These regions are Podravska, Savinjska, Koroška, Jugovzhodna Slovenija and Zasavska. Some regions in this group are fairly diverse, such as Koroška, which stands out in a positive sense by having the second highest by 0.7 pps. It fell for persons with permanent and fixed- term employment contracts and those working full time but rose again for persons with part-time jobs. The at- risk-of-poverty rate also rose somewhat again for self- employed persons and “other inactive persons”. In our view, the at-risk-of-poverty rates by activity status still reflect positive changes that might be attributed to the effects of the 2013 labour market reform,23 but these effects appear to be weakening. In 2016 one effect which might be attributed to this reform was the larger number of transitions from fixed-term to permanent employment, however amid a concurrent increase in working shorter hours (and thus a higher probability of lower income). How is life in Slovenian regions?24 We measured the well-being of the population at the level of the regions using 14 indicators divided into 11 well-being areas. We took into account the OECD methodology for measuring well-being at the regional level, which we adjusted slightly owing to the lack of regional statistical data.25 We divided the well-being areas into three groups.26 The first comprises the indicators of material conditions (income, jobs and housing), the second the indicators that affect quality of life (health, education, environment, safety, civic engagement and accessibility of services) and the third the indicators of subjective well-being (social capital and life satisfaction). From all these indicators we developed a composite indicator, which we called the “regional well-being indicator”. Well-being is higher in western than in eastern Slovenia regions; it is highest in the Osrednjeslovenska region. The values of the composite indicator across regions range between 3.2 and 8.3. The highest value is recorded for the Osrednjeslovenska region, which stands out in terms of income, education, life satisfaction, civic engagement and accessibility of services but is weakest in social capital and employment. The values of the composite indicator are also high in the Gorenjska and Goriška regions (7.5 and 6.8 respectively). In the Gorenjska region, the high indicators of employment, safety, access to services and health stand out in particular; 23 See Vodopivec, M., Laporšek, S. and Vodopivec, M. (2016). "Levelling the playing field: The effects of Slovenia's 2013 labour market reform", IZA Discussion Paper No. 9783. 24 For more on this see the working paper »How is life in Slovenian regions?«, 1/2017, Vol. XXVI, at http://www.umar.gov.si/fileadmin/user_ upload/publikacije/dz/2017/DZ-Kako_zivimo_v_regijah.pdf. 25 For more on the methodology see the working paper. 26 The indicators are as follows: (i) material conditions: 1. household disposable income per capita (EUR); 2. employment rate (%) (20–24 years); 3. registered unemployment rate (%); 4. percentage of persons living in overcrowded dwellings; (ii) quality of life: 5. life expectancy at birth (years); 6. age-adjusted mortality rate; 7. access to general hospitals by car (in minutes); 8. share of labour force with at least secondary education; 9. share of wastewater generated by at least secondary treatment; 10. share of convicted persons per 1,000 persons; 12. access by car to a motorway or an expressway (minutes); (iii) subjective well-being: 13. percentage of people who have friends or relatives to rely on in case of need; 14. average self-evaluation of life satisfaction on a scale from 0 to 10. Table 12: Subjective well-being indicators and the composite regional well-being indicator, 201526 Regions Subjective well-being Composite regional well-being indicator Social capital Life satisfaction 13 14 Pomurska 94.8 6.7 3.2 Podravska 98.4 6.9 5 Koroška 98.8 6.7 4.8 Savinjska 93.9 6.9 4.8 Zasavska 95.4 6.7 4.5 Posavska 90.4 6.8 3.5 Jugovzhodna Slovenija 89.6 7 4.7 Osrednjeslovenska 93.6 7.2 8.3 Gorenjska 94.7 7.1 7.5 Primorsko-notranjska 94.1 7 6.2 Goriška 90.8 7.1 6.8 Obalno-kraška 90.5 7 6.3 Slovenija 94.5 7 5.5 Sources: FDV, SURS; own calculations. Note: The numbers in the 3rd line of the table refer to the indicator numbers in Note 26. Table 11: Material well-being indicators, 201526 Regions Income Jobs Housing 1 2 3 4 Pomurska 9,213 54.1 18.9 10.8 Podravska 9,767 58.7 13.6 14.3 Koroška 10,728 60.4 11.5 11.2 Savinjska 10,032 63.1 13.3 13.2 Zasavska 9,879 60.6 15.2 22.1 Posavska 9,992 62.9 13.6 19.2 Jugovzhodna Slovenija 10,559 64.8 13 14.9 Osrednjeslovenska 10,735 64.2 11 15.9 Gorenjska 10,551 66 8.6 16 Primorsko-notranjska 10,507 66.3 11.1 10.8 Goriška 10,672 63.4 10.3 12 Obalno-kraška 10,422 62.2 11 16.5 Slovenija 10,303 62.4 12.3 14.7 Source: SURS; own calculations. Note: The numbers in the 3rd line of the table refer to the indicator numbers in Note 26. 32 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Selected Topics Table 13: Quality of life indicators, 201526 Regions Health Education Environment Safety Civic engagement Accessibility of services 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Pomurska 79.4 628.7 24 24.1 45.4 3.6 46.4 18 Podravska 79.1 618.2 21 28.9 56.7 3.6 48.2 13 Koroška 79.5 592.5 24 26.5 22.2 2.7 51.7 60 Savinjska 79.4 599.4 27 28.3 20.5 2.9 50.9 18 Zasavska 79.1 599.3 18 27.3 45.6 1.8 53.7 24 Posavska 79.4 608.1 24 27 35.6 3.1 48.2 19 Jugovzhodna Slovenija 79.7 597.6 34 29 64.8 4.9 50.4 29 Osrednjeslovenska 81.5 480 26 39.4 60.3 2.4 56.2 10 Gorenjska 81.5 490.3 30 32.2 52.8 1.8 53.5 14 Primorsko-notranjska 80.3 561 39 29.8 27.7 2.4 51.6 21 Goriška 80.9 528.3 32 30.9 43.6 1.6 54.3 25 Obalno-kraška 81.4 497.8 13 31.8 74.8 3 48 9 Slovenija 80.6 552.2 … 31.8 45.9 3.3 51.7 … Source: SURS; own calculations. Note: The numbers in the 3rd line of the table refer to the number of indicators in Note 26. disposable income per capita and in a negative sense for its lowest life satisfaction, thus corroborating the idea that well-being does not depend on income alone. The lowest values of the composite indicator are recorded in the Posavska (3.5) and Pomurska (3.2) regions. Posavska has the lowest values of all regions in most indicators. Pomurska, on the other hand, is very diverse. While achieving very high scores in some areas, for example housing, accessibility of services and social capital, it is at the bottom of the scale on most others, for example income, employment, education of workers and civic engagement. We also compared the composite regional well-being indicator with the development risk index (DRI). The development risk index is another composite indicator we use to monitor regional development. It consists of 14 indicators, among which economic indicators predominate and none of which are subjective. The DRI also shows a gap between eastern and western Slovenia, with the latter being at lower development risk. A more detailed comparison of regions reveals that some regions that are more successful according to economic indicators and thus at a lower development risk have lower well-being than one would expect with regard to their economic performance (for example Jugovzhodna Slovenija) or vice versa (for example the Primorsko- notranjska region). Specifically, because of its favourable economic indicators, Jugovzhodna Slovenija is one of the regions at the lowest development risk, while it is below average in terms of the well-being of its population. Well-being does not depend on income alone. The survey shows that well-being is a complex and multidimensional concept affected not only by a number of quality-of- life factors but also by subjective perceptions, which is also corroborated by our comparison of the composite indicator of regional well-being with the development risk index. Overview of the current situation of gender equality in selected areas in Slovenia27 A balanced representation of men and women in society is vital for its development. In this context, the use of the work and educational potential of both sexes and a gender-balanced representation in decision-making positions play an important role. The untapped potential of women may reduce welfare, as indicated, for example, 27 For more on this see the working paper “A review of gender differences in Slovenia in selected fields”, 3/2017, Vol. XXVI, at http://www.umar. gov.si/fileadmin/user_upload/publikacije/dz/2017/DZ_razlike_med_ spoloma_koncna03_17.pdf. Figure 42: Comparison of the ranks on the composite regional well-being indicator and the development risk index Osrednjeslovenska Gorenjska Goriška Obalno-kraška Primorsko-notranjska Podravska Savinjska Koroška Jugovzhodna Slovenija Zasavska Posavska Pomurska 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Ra nk a cc or di ng to th e de ve lo pm en t r isk in de x (D RI ) Sources: SURS, SILC survey, FDV, NIJZ, DVK, Drobne, S., FGG; calculations by IMAD. Note: * A lower rank on the DRI means lower development risk while a lower rank on the RWI means greater well-being. Rank according to the regional well-being indicator (RWI) 33Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Selected Topics increased slightly since the onset of the crisis (from 4.1% in 2008 to 7.5% in 2015). The relatively small gap in Slovenia is a consequence of several factors, particularly the above- average employment and education of women and the fact that they mainly work full-time. The gaps are wider, however, if monitored at lower levels (by occupation, education, sector or region). In terms of sectors, the pay gap is the highest in financial and insurance activities; broken down by age, in the 40–49 age group; by education, among 2nd and 3rd Bologna-cycle graduates (20.4%); and by occupation, in non-industrial occupations and among managers. By place of residence and place of work, it is greatest in the Gorenjska region and smallest in Jugovzhodna Slovenija. in the earnings of women and men. In the EU it is based on data from the Structure of Earnings Survey carried out in all Member States. It is used in unadjusted form, i.e. it is not corrected for national differences in individual characteristics of employment of women and men that may explain part of the earnings difference, and gives a general picture of gender inequalities in terms of pay. by estimates of the costs that arise from women’s lower employment rate.28 In Slovenia more than half of the population are women, as women live longer on average than men. In 2015 the life expectancy of women (83.9 years) was considerably greater than that of men (77.8 years). In Slovenia it is rising for both women and men, but the gap has declined more visibly only in the last ten years. Women are expected to live the longest in the Obalno-kraška region (85 years), while men in the Zasavska region, the region with the lowest life expectancy in Slovenia, are expected to live almost 10 years less. The average educational attainment of women is higher than that of men and women generally achieve better results through the process of education. Fewer women of 15–19 years of age participate in upper-secondary education than men, but the share of women in programmes that enable enrolment in tertiary education is higher than the corresponding share of men. The participation of women of 20–24 years of age in tertiary education is consequently also higher, which holds true for all regions; however, the gender gap is wider than on average in the EU, where the participation in tertiary education is generally lower than in Slovenia.29 In 2016 the share of adult women (25–64 years of age) with at least upper secondary education was smaller than that of men (also in all individual regions), while the share of women (in both the 25–64 and 30–34 age groups) with tertiary education was larger. More women also participate in lifelong learning. Women tend to achieve better results in reading and science literacy but score lower in numeracy skills. Despite the higher educational attainment of women, their labour market situation is worse than that of men. The activity rate30 of women is lower than the rate of men, although the gender gap has decreased slightly since the crisis. Their employment rate is also lower and their unemployment rate consequently higher (in all regions and in most municipalities). Women mainly work in service sectors and their share in the highest occupational groups (managers, legislators and senior officials) is below average. They are more likely to work in fixed-term or part-time jobs and, on average, work fewer hours than men. Compared with other countries, Slovenia has one of the smallest labour-market participation gaps between women with young children and women without children in the EU; it also has a high activity rate for women in the most active age group (30–54 years). Women on average earn less than men, but the gender pay gap31 is one of the smallest in the EU, even though it has 28 According to Eurofound estimates (see "The gender employment gap – Challenges and solutions", 2016), in 2013 the cost of the lower female employment rate corresponded to 3.1% of Slovenia’s GDP and 2.8% of that of the EU (in the EU, the costs range between 1% of GDP for Lithuania and 8.2% for Malta). 29 In 2015 it was 58.3% in Slovenia for women (EU: 35.9%) and 39.3% for men (EU: 28.5%). 30 The active population is the population employed or unemployed. 31 The gender pay gap is a global indicator showing the relative differences Figure 43: Labour market indicators for women and men, 2016 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 A ct iv ity ra te Em pl oy m en t ra te U ne m pl oy - m en t ra te Sh ar e of fix ed -t er m em pl oy m en t Sh ar e of pa rt -t im e em pl oy m en t In % Source: Eurostat Women Men Figure 44: Gender pay gap, 2015 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 RO LU I T BE S I PL M T LV SE IE CY BG P T ES H U FR D K N L EU L T FI SK U K A T D E CZ E E G en de r p ay g ap , i n % Source: Eurostat. 34 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Selected Topics Figure 45: Paid and unpaid working hours, by gender, EU, 2015 30 41 33 40 40 41 35 40 37 43 29 38 32 37 38 41 38 44 34 40 35 39 35 39 38 42 38 41 31 41 30 38 37 41 33 41 37 41 36 43 26 37 36 40 37 39 40 42 37 40 38 43 39 42 31 40 2 3 3 4 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 4 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 3 3 2 3 3 4 24 7 23 12 21 7 24 4 22 8 20 7 28 21 24 12 23 4 25 12 20 12 21 11 23 7 19 7 27 14 27 9 22 8 27 14 18 9 29 11 29 15 18 5 23 9 16 5 24 17 32 15 16 7 23 11 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 women men women men women men women men women men women men women men women men women men women men women men women men women men women men women men women men women men women men women men women men women men women men women men women men women men women men women men women men AT BE BG CY CZ DE DK EE EL ES FI FR HR HU IE IT LT LU LV M T NL PL PT RO SE SI SK UK Hours worked in main and second job Commuting time Unpaid working hours Source: European Working Conditions Survey (EWCS), "2015 report on equality between women and men in the EU", 2017. Time spent on work and family and other responsibilities is unevenly distributed between women and men. Men in Slovenia perform more hours of paid work per week in their main and second jobs (43 hours) than women (38 hours). Employed women dedicate more time (32 hours) to care work (particularly caring for children or other dependent relatives) and unpaid housework (men: 15 hours). Both spend more time on paid and unpaid work than, on average, their counterparts in the EU. It is mostly women who take parental leave. In 2013 more than three-quarters of employed women with a child younger than one year took parental leave, which is one of the largest shares in the EU (OECD data). Among fathers, only 6.4% took parental leave in 2015.32 Participation in formal 32 According to the Parental Protection and Family Benefit Act (Official child care has increased, to 37.4% in 2015 for children aged less than three years (EU: 30.3%) and 90.9% for those from three years of age to the mandatory school age (EU: 83.3%). Having access to child care and the system of parental leave both contribute to the fairly high employment rate among women in Slovenia. Female pensioners receive smaller pensions on average than their male counterparts, which is attributable to their lower labour market participation before retirement. In 2015 female and male old-age pensioners were on average of equal age (women on average retired earlier but live longer), but women had fewer years of service. As a result, they received on average an approximately 15% lower old-age pension than men, which makes older women more exposed to the poverty risk. However, in 2015 the old-age pensions of new women pensioners were on average already higher than those of new men pensioners; specifically, the average pension-qualifying period of women increased and almost reached that of men. The gender gap in pensions for the age group over 65 totalled 21% in 2015, which is lower than the EU average (38%). The representation of women in decision-making processes is more modest than that of men, though it is increasing. The proportion of women in leading positions in the economy is rising but is still low. According to data from October 2016, women account for 24.8% of board members in the largest publicly listed companies registered in the country (EU: 23.9%). The representation of women in decision-making positions in the Bank of Slovenia, the Parliament and the Government has also increased in the last ten years. A more balanced representation of the sexes in society could be achieved by certain measures. As educational attainment affects an individual’s position on the labour market, the challenges in this area are to increase the enrolment of women in traditionally male-dominated study fields and to improve the educational attainment of men and increase their participation in lifelong learning. From the aspect of demographic trends, a significant challenge is how to increase employment of women, older women in particular. It is also necessary to step up efforts towards equal pay for equal work (or work of equal value) and to reduce the horizontal and vertical segregation of the sexes. For a more balanced representation of the sexes in decision-making processes, further efforts will be required to attain at least 40% participation of each sex in each specific field of social life or part thereof.33 Gazette of the RS, No. 26/2014), each parent has the right to 130 days of parental leave; the mother can transfer to the father 100 days of parental leave and the father can transfer to the mother 130 days of parental leave, while 30 days are not transferrable. Were the attitude of employers to fathers’ use of parental leave more positive, the number of fathers that take parental leave would be significantly higher. 33 Article 7 of the Equal Opportunities for Women and Men Act (Official Gazette of the RS, No. 59/2002). st at is ti ca l a pp en di x 37Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Statistical Appendix MAIN INDICATORS 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Autumn forecast 2017 GDP (real growth rates, in %) 0.6 -2.7 -1.1 3.0 2.3 3.1 4.4 3.9 3.2 GDP in EUR million (current prices) 36,896 36,076 36,239 37,615 38,837 40,418 42,761 45,265 47,507 GDP per capita, in EUR (current prices) 17,973 17,540 17,596 18,244 18,823 19,576 20,708 21,922 23,016 GDP per capita (PPS)1 21,700 21,800 21,700 22,800 GDP per capita (PPS EU28=100)1 83 82 81 83 Rate of registered unemployment 11.8 12.0 13.1 13.1 12.3 11.2 9.5 8.7 8.4 Standardised rate of unemployment (ILO) 8.2 8.9 10.1 9.7 9.0 8.0 6.8 6.2 5.8 Labour productivity (GDP per employee) 2.4 -1.8 0.0 2.6 1.0 1.1 1.6 2.2 2.3 Inflation,2 year average 1.8 2.6 1.8 0.2 -0.5 -0.1 1.5 1.6 2.1 Inflation,2 end of the year 2.0 2.7 0.7 0.2 -0.5 0.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 INTERNATIONAL TRADE Exports of goods and services (real growth rates, in %) 6.9 0.6 3.1 5.7 5.0 6.4 8.8 7.5 6.1 Exports of goods 8.0 0.4 3.3 6.3 5.3 6.2 9.0 8.0 6.4 Exports of services 2.5 1.5 1.9 3.4 3.7 7.6 8.0 5.5 4.7 Imports of goods and services (real growth rates, in %) 5.0 -3.7 2.1 4.1 4.7 6.6 8.9 7.7 6.3 Imports of goods 6.0 -4.3 2.9 3.8 5.1 7.0 9.4 8.2 6.6 Imports of services -0.4 0.2 -3.0 6.2 2.3 4.2 6.0 4.8 4.4 Current account balance3, in EUR million 68 775 1,594 2,179 1,698 2,108 2,013 2,296 2,538 As a per cent share relative to GDP 0.2 2.1 4.4 5.8 4.4 5.2 4.7 5.1 5.3 Gross external debt, in EUR million 41,669 42,872 41,866 46,514 44,954 43,334 43,520* As a per cent share relative to GDP 112.9 118.8 115.5 123.7 115.8 107.2 Ratio of USD to EUR 1.392 1.286 1.328 1.329 1.110 1.107 1.128 1.178 1.178 DOMESTIC DEMAND Private consumption (real growth rates, in %) 0.0 -2.4 -4.1 1.9 2.1 4.2 3.3 3.0 2.3 As a % of GDP 56.0 56.9 55.4 54.4 53.5 53.4 53.0 52.2 51.8 Government consumption (real growth rates, in %) -0.7 -2.2 -2.1 -1.2 2.7 2.5 1.1 0.9 0.9 As a % of GDP 20.4 20.2 19.5 18.6 18.6 18.7 18.4 18.1 17.8 Gross fixed capital formation (real growth rates, in %) -4.9 -8.8 3.2 1.1 -1.6 -3.6 9.0 8.0 7.0 As a % of GDP 20.2 19.2 19.8 19.4 18.9 17.6 18.5 19.3 20.1 Sources of data: SURS, BoS, Eurostat, calculations and forecasts by IMAD (Autumn Forecast, September 2017). Notes: 1Measured in purchasing power standard; 2Consumer price index; 3 Balance of payments statistics; *End August 2017. 38 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Statistical Appendix PRODUCTION 2014 2015 2016 2015 2016 2017 2015 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 9 10 11 12 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION, y-o-y growth rates, % Industry B+C+D 2.2 5.6 7.0 5.2 5.5 5.2 6.3 8.8 6.7 6.6 7.9 5.8 6.2 3.5 8.4 3.6 B Mining and quarrying -3.8 0.4 1.7 -14.4 -1.9 23.3 8.3 -7.9 10.1 -1.6 10.8 8.9 -21.1 -10.8 27.4 77.5 C Manufacturing 4.3 6.0 8.3 5.8 6.3 5.3 7.4 10.2 7.7 7.4 8.1 6.5 7.3 4.0 8.6 3.1 D Electricity, gas & steam supply1 -14.2 2.5 -5.6 2.4 -0.5 2.2 -5.0 -4.2 -4.0 -0.4 4.4 -1.3 -0.1 2.6 3.6 0.7 CONSTRUCTION,2 real indices of construction put in place, y-o-y growth rates, % Construction, total 19.5 -8.1 -17.7 -8.9 -12.5 -8.3 -31.3 -21.4 -12.7 -9.2 19.8 17.4 -10.7 -11.6 7.0 -22.2 Buildings 3.8 -4.0 2.4 -1.1 -5.6 -4.2 -6.6 -11.6 5.7 19.1 36.8 40.1 -1.7 -7.0 2.6 -8.1 Civil engineering 26.5 -9.8 -24.7 -11.5 -15.2 -10.0 -39.9 -24.9 -19.3 -19.0 15.2 9.1 -14.1 -13.2 8.5 -28.3 MARKET SERVICES, year-on-year growth rates, % Services, total 3.7 5.4 4.1 4.2 5.0 8.4 5.0 4.4 3.5 3.6 7.0 8.5 4.7 6.4 12.3 7.0 Transportation and storage 6.2 3.2 3.6 3.1 2.2 5.2 3.7 4.5 3.0 3.3 11.0 9.7 0.6 3.9 8.6 3.3 Information and communication activities 1.1 4.6 3.5 1.7 4.5 10.2 4.0 5.0 4.3 1.2 3.5 7.6 6.6 4.6 15.0 10.9 Professional, scientific and technical activities -1.8 3.5 -0.8 -0.4 2.6 7.7 0.8 0.9 -4.5 -0.2 0.8 2.4 2.9 7.2 13.6 3.1 Administrative and support service activities 2.5 11.6 10.1 15.5 9.7 8.0 12.2 6.5 8.7 13.8 10.8 14.3 10.5 9.7 10.8 3.6 Distributive trades, y-o-y growth rates, % Total real turnover* 2.4 5.7 10.2 6.8 4.5 6.6 9.0 9.1 8.8 13.6 13.4 9.8 5.1 3.8 7.8 8.3 Real turnover in retail trade 0.0 1.0 4.5 1.4 0.4 1.6 2.1 2.2 3.1 10.1 12.2 8.1 0.8 0.4 1.8 2.8 Real turnover in the sale and maintenance of motor vehicles 6.9 14.0 21.7 15.9 12.6 15.2 23.0 24.1 18.9 20.8 15.8 12.7 13.1 9.4 19.9 16.8 Nominal turnover in wholesale trade & commission trade 3.7 1.4 2.0 1.5 0.6 2.9 0.2 1.2 0.1 6.2 13.7 8.4 0.8 -2.1 5.6 5.9 TOURISM, y-o-y growth rates, %, new methodology from 2009 onwards Total, overnight stays -0.5 7.2 7.6 7.0 9.1 3.3 9.6 0.9 9.0 11.3 4.7 18.0 7.0 1.1 0.6 8.8 Domestic tourists, overnight stays -3.5 6.3 2.8 4.9 8.7 3.4 1.3 1.0 4.6 3.4 4.1 5.1 6.4 0.9 5.0 5.1 Foreign tourists, overnight stays 1.4 7.7 10.3 8.2 9.3 3.2 17.4 0.8 10.9 17.1 5.2 24.7 7.3 1.2 -3.0 11.7 Accommodation and food service activities 0.2 7.4 11.0 6.6 8.5 9.3 9.9 8.3 13.2 12.2 7.9 12.4 7.0 6.2 8.7 13.0 AGRICULTURE, y-o-y growth rates, % Purchase of agricultural products, SIT bn, since 2007 in EUR m 506.9 472.9 465.7 111.3 123.6 135.5 104.6 110.1 118.2 132.9 108.7 119.8 44.2 49.0 40.3 46.2 BUSSINES TENDENCY (indicator values**) Sentiment indicator -2.3 5.2 5.5 4.9 5.5 5.8 3.7 4.5 6.1 7.8 11.0 11.1 5.9 5.5 5.3 6.6 Confidence indicator - in manufacturing 2 6 6 5 6 7 4 6 5 7 10 8 4 6 7 7 - in construction -11 -14 -10 -14 -17 -15 -17 -15 -7 -1 4 11 -19 -16 -14 -15 - in services 5 16 19 16 16 18 17 19 19 21 24 25 17 18 18 19 - in retail trade 9 15 19 16 14 13 24 13 24 16 19 19 23 13 15 12 Consumer confidence indicator -22 -11 -14 -10 -8 -12 -18 -17 -12 -10 -7 -5 -6 -11 -14 -10 Source of data: SURS. Note: 1Only companies with activity of electricity supply are included. 2The survey covers all larger construction enterprises and some other enterprises that perform construction work. *Total real turnover in retail trade, the sale and repair of motor wehicles, and retail sale of automotive fuels. **Seasonally adjusted data. 39Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Statistical Appendix 2016 2017 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 5.6 8.8 4.5 8.9 10.2 7.5 2.7 10.4 7.5 3.0 7.9 9.2 7.1 3.3 12.8 1.2 8.3 7.6 7.2 7.6 - - 10.0 7.1 7.9 -8.4 -6.1 -9.3 -24.6 9.7 50.3 33.2 -15.1 -18.4 5.6 11.0 15.4 8.1 8.9 9.7 39.6 2.2 - - 6.7 10.3 5.4 10.6 11.7 8.5 3.8 12.2 7.8 3.2 9.2 10.4 6.6 3.4 13.8 1.3 9.1 8.7 7.9 8.1 - - -3.9 -4.7 -6.5 -5.8 -3.5 -3.3 -5.0 -4.1 -2.8 -5.1 -1.1 4.8 10.4 1.3 1.6 0.3 -0.6 -3.7 -2.1 2.9 - - -25.9 -29.7 -36.0 -27.4 -19.5 -17.9 -15.8 -14.9 -7.4 -15.2 -15.1 9.3 -9.5 21.1 41.5 26.8 4.8 21.7 10.5 7.6 - - -9.4 -2.8 -7.5 -12.3 -13.4 -9.4 6.6 1.3 9.4 8.6 14.3 37.5 24.3 25.7 56.5 53.7 33.8 34.7 13.4 3.0 - - -32.2 -39.3 -45.1 -32.5 -21.7 -21.0 -23.7 -20.9 -13.5 -23.1 -24.5 -2.0 -20.7 21.7 37.1 17.4 -5.0 16.1 9.9 10.0 - - 4.7 6.5 3.8 4.0 4.7 4.5 -0.1 5.5 5.2 1.1 3.1 6.3 6.6 3.6 10.5 5.3 11.2 8.9 9.2 6.0 - - 3.6 5.5 2.2 4.1 4.6 4.6 -2.8 6.3 5.9 0.9 3.3 5.9 9.4 6.2 17.0 4.9 15.9 8.3 13.0 9.9 3.5 3.7 4.6 4.1 4.4 6.3 1.7 3.9 7.2 1.9 0.5 1.3 4.0 1.9 4.5 5.4 9.5 8.0 5.6 2.9 -0.7 2.1 0.9 0.0 2.9 -0.3 -7.4 0.2 -5.7 -7.3 -0.3 6.4 4.2 -3.7 2.0 -2.1 3.3 5.7 1.3 -5.1 11.4 13.7 11.7 8.2 8.3 3.5 8.1 9.6 8.4 6.9 13.4 22.1 7.2 8.9 15.7 15.7 13.6 13.9 14.2 9.5 - - 6.0 13.3 7.9 8.6 10.9 8.0 5.2 13.8 8.0 10.7 15.4 14.6 15.8 8.9 15.5 7.0 10.6 11.8 10.1 11.1 - - 0.8 3.7 2.0 0.5 1.6 4.3 1.3 5.6 2.4 7.7 11.4 11.2 14.0 8.9 13.4 5.6 9.2 9.5 9.2 7.8 - - 15.7 33.0 21.1 25.4 30.6 17.1 12.2 27.7 18.6 16.9 22.8 22.6 19.5 9.0 18.8 9.5 12.7 15.7 12.0 18.9 - - -0.2 2.2 -1.1 -1.9 3.0 2.4 -5.6 5.6 0.8 2.9 6.8 9.0 16.1 8.7 16.2 3.6 11.7 9.9 11.1 12.8 - - 9.3 7.0 12.8 -0.4 2.5 0.4 8.1 6.9 14.6 13.7 12.6 7.2 5.0 2.5 6.5 27.1 5.0 22.6 13.2 12.6 - - 6.8 2.7 -5.0 8.5 -0.5 -3.1 2.3 1.5 15.3 -5.9 11.4 7.0 -2.8 -3.6 20.9 -1.6 5.8 9.7 5.5 3.8 - - 11.0 12.5 28.8 -5.7 3.9 2.3 10.9 9.2 14.3 26.9 13.6 7.4 10.0 9.7 -3.0 46.7 4.7 29.1 16.5 16.1 - - 7.8 12.8 9.2 9.0 6.6 9.2 12.4 10.8 16.9 14.2 10.3 11.8 6.8 6.0 10.7 13.1 9.7 14.5 11.9 10.8 - - 33.7 34.2 36.7 36.0 37.3 36.8 39.1 36.3 42.9 46.3 42.9 43.6 35.0 34.2 39.5 36.8 42.0 41.1 45.8 42.3 - - 4.0 3.5 3.5 5.5 3.7 4.4 5.4 6.6 6.2 6.9 8.1 8.5 10.1 10.5 12.4 11.6 9.5 12.3 11.5 11.4 12.3 15.4 4 5 4 8 5 5 5 7 3 6 7 7 9 10 12 9 6 9 8 8 10 12 -15 -16 -19 -16 -15 -13 -13 -8 -1 -3 -2 1 -1 8 6 10 8 14 18 17 17 22 16 17 19 21 17 18 20 18 19 21 22 21 22 23 26 27 24 23 24 24 23 27 28 23 21 9 13 18 20 23 30 10 19 19 13 17 27 13 11 33 24 18 23 27 -16 -19 -19 -17 -18 -16 -13 -12 -11 -11 -11 -9 -3 -8 -9 -5 -6 -3 -4 -4 -3 0 40 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Statistical Appendix LABOUR MARKET 2014 2015 2016 2015 2016 2017 2015 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 9 10 11 FORMAL LABOUR FORCE (A=B+E) 917.9 917.4 920.4 917.5 914.5 917.8 917.8 919.7 917.7 926.2 927.6 934.3 914.8 917.9 918.8 PERSONS IN FORMAL EMPLOYMENT (B=C+D)1 797.8 804.6 817.2 805.0 807.1 808.5 803.0 817.2 820.3 828.3 827.5 846.5 810.1 810.4 811.4 In agriculture, forestry, fishing 35.4 29.9 23.1 30.5 29.4 26.9 23.9 23.8 22.1 22.8 22.3 27.3 29.3 27.0 26.8 In industry, construction 252.4 255.2 260.3 255.2 257.3 257.9 254.7 260.7 262.5 263.3 261.2 268.7 258.4 259.6 259.8 Of which: in manufacturing 178.3 181.0 186.7 179.9 181.6 183.6 184.1 186.2 187.3 189.0 189.7 192.8 182.5 183.6 184.1 in construction 54.0 54.3 53.9 55.3 55.7 54.5 50.9 54.6 55.4 54.7 52.2 56.3 56.0 56.1 55.7 In services 510.0 519.6 533.8 519.3 520.4 523.7 524.4 532.7 535.7 542.3 544.0 550.6 522.3 523.8 524.8 Of which: in public administration 48.8 48.1 48.4 48.2 48.3 48.0 48.1 48.4 48.6 48.6 48.6 48.8 48.2 47.9 48.3 in education, health-services, social work 122.2 124.0 127.7 124.1 123.3 125.5 125.9 127.6 127.3 130.0 130.8 131.4 124.5 125.2 125.7 FORMALLY EMPLOYED (C)1 703.0 713.1 730.5 712.9 715.9 719.3 716.2 730.2 734.6 741.1 740.5 754.3 718.8 721.2 722.1 In enterprises and organisations 652.6 662.3 680.2 661.5 664.6 668.6 667.5 679.6 683.6 690.2 691.1 702.6 667.4 669.7 670.9 By those self-employed 50.5 50.8 50.3 51.4 51.4 50.6 48.7 50.7 51.0 50.9 49.4 51.7 51.4 51.4 51.2 SELF-EMPLOYED AND FARMERS (D) 94.8 91.6 86.7 92.1 91.1 89.2 86.9 87.0 85.8 87.2 87.0 92.1 91.3 89.3 89.2 REGISTERED UNEMPLOYMENT (E) 120.1 112.7 103.2 112.5 107.4 109.3 114.8 102.5 97.4 97.9 100.1 87.8 104.8 107.5 107.4 Female 59.6 57.5 52.4 57.7 55.9 56.2 56.6 52.3 50.6 50.2 49.5 45.5 54.6 56.2 55.8 By age: 15 to 29 30.4 26.7 22.5 26.5 23.9 26.4 26.1 21.7 20.5 21.6 20.7 17.0 22.9 26.2 26.9 aged over 50 37.3 36.7 36.5 36.8 36.2 36.1 38.6 36.8 35.4 35.0 36.9 34.3 35.7 35.6 35.6 Primary education or less 33.8 32.3 30.2 32.0 30.5 31.2 33.8 30.0 28.2 28.8 30.6 26.3 30.1 30.3 30.4 For more than 1 year 59.9 59.7 55.1 60.1 59.1 58.4 58.5 56.0 53.5 52.3 51.2 48.1 58.9 58.8 58.2 Those receiving benefits 26.6 23.7 23.1 22.4 21.4 22.2 28.9 21.3 20.5 21.5 27.3 19.5 20.8 20.6 20.7 RATE OF REGISTERED UNEMPLOYMENT, E/A, in % 13.1 12.3 11.2 12.3 11.7 11.9 12.5 11.1 10.6 10.6 11.1 9.4 11.5 11.7 11.7 Male 12.0 11.1 10.2 11.0 10.3 10.7 11.8 10.1 9.4 9.5 10.4 8.3 10.1 10.3 10.4 Female 14.3 13.7 12.4 13.8 13.4 13.4 13.4 12.4 12.0 11.8 11.8 10.7 13.1 13.4 13.3 FLOWS OF FORMAL LABOUR FORCE -4.6 -6.4 -13.5 -7.9 -5.5 8.3 -2.9 -10.4 -4.7 4.5 1.7 -10.4 -3.2 2.7 -0.1 New unemployed first-job seekers 18.5 15.8 14.2 2.2 2.8 7.4 3.0 2.0 2.7 6.5 1.8 1.8 1.4 5.0 1.3 Redundancies 83.9 81.3 75.7 16.3 17.3 23.3 23.8 15.4 16.3 20.3 17.1 13.7 5.8 6.5 6.5 Registered unemployed who found employment 74.0 71.0 74.9 19.0 16.9 13.3 23.6 20.6 16.1 14.5 12.6 18.5 7.0 5.4 4.8 Other outflows from unemployment (net) 33.2 32.6 28.6 7.5 8.6 9.1 6.0 7.2 7.5 7.9 4.6 7.4 3.4 3.3 3.1 WORK PERMITS FOR FOREIGNERS 25.1 23.2 19.2 23.3 23.7 23.3 21.6 20.0 18.2 17.1 16.8 17.2 24.1 23.8 23.3 As % of labour force 2.7 2.5 2.1 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.6 2.6 2.5 Source of data: SURS, PDII, ESS. Note: 1In January 2005, the SORS adopted new methodology of obtaining data on persons in paid employment. The new source of data for employed and self-employed persons excluding farmers is the Statistical Register of Employment (SRE), while data on farmers are forecast using the ARIMA model based on quarterlyFigure for farmers from the Labour Force Survey. 41Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Statistical Appendix 2015 2016 2017 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 916.7 916.2 918.0 919.4 919.3 919.9 919.8 916.9 916.6 919.6 926.6 927.9 924.1 926.4 927.5 928.8 933.4 934.4 935.1 931.6 931.7 803.6 798.0 801.9 809.2 813.9 817.6 820.0 817.8 818.7 824.4 829.3 831.1 824.5 822.7 826.2 833.6 842.3 846.8 850.3 846.9 847.9 26.9 23.9 23.9 24.0 23.8 23.8 23.7 22.2 22.1 22.2 22.9 22.8 22.6 22.2 22.3 22.4 27.3 27.2 27.3 25.1 25.2 254.3 252.7 254.1 257.4 259.7 260.7 261.7 262.1 262.0 263.5 264.6 265.1 260.1 258.7 260.4 264.6 266.6 268.9 270.5 271.1 271.6 183.0 183.2 184.1 184.9 185.6 186.2 186.8 186.8 187.1 188.1 188.9 189.6 188.6 188.6 189.6 190.9 191.5 193.0 193.9 194.5 194.8 51.6 49.8 50.2 52.7 54.2 54.6 55.0 55.3 55.2 55.7 56.0 55.9 52.2 50.8 51.5 54.3 55.6 56.3 56.9 56.9 57.1 522.5 521.4 524.0 527.8 530.4 533.2 534.6 533.5 534.6 538.8 541.8 543.2 541.8 541.7 543.6 546.6 548.5 550.8 552.4 550.7 551.1 48.0 47.9 48.1 48.3 48.3 48.4 48.5 48.5 48.6 48.7 48.7 48.7 48.4 48.4 48.5 48.7 48.6 48.9 48.9 49.0 49.0 125.5 125.0 125.8 126.8 127.4 127.7 127.8 126.5 126.5 128.8 129.7 130.3 130.1 130.3 130.8 131.2 131.3 131.6 131.4 130.0 130.0 714.5 711.3 715.0 722.2 727.0 730.6 733.0 732.2 733.1 738.4 742.2 743.8 737.4 735.8 739.2 746.4 750.3 754.7 758.0 756.8 757.5 665.3 663.2 666.7 672.6 676.6 679.9 682.2 681.4 682.2 687.3 690.7 692.4 687.6 687.1 690.3 695.9 699.0 703.0 705.9 705.1 705.9 49.2 48.2 48.3 49.6 50.4 50.7 50.8 50.8 50.9 51.2 51.5 51.5 49.8 48.7 48.9 50.5 51.3 51.8 52.1 51.7 51.6 89.1 86.7 86.9 87.0 86.9 87.0 87.0 85.6 85.7 86.0 87.1 87.2 87.1 86.8 87.0 87.2 92.1 92.1 92.2 90.1 90.4 113.1 118.2 116.0 110.2 105.5 102.3 99.8 99.1 97.9 95.1 97.3 96.8 99.6 103.7 101.3 95.2 91.1 87.7 84.8 84.7 83.8 56.6 57.9 56.9 54.9 53.5 52.3 51.3 51.4 51.0 49.4 50.6 50.1 49.7 50.5 49.8 48.3 46.9 45.5 44.1 44.5 44.3 26.9 27.3 26.4 24.7 22.9 21.5 20.5 20.1 19.6 21.8 21.8 21.5 21.5 21.6 20.9 19.4 18.2 17.0 15.9 15.7 15.3 37.2 39.1 38.9 37.9 37.2 36.8 36.3 36.0 35.6 34.7 34.7 34.7 35.7 37.6 37.2 35.8 35.0 34.3 33.6 33.6 33.3 33.0 34.6 34.3 32.4 30.8 30.0 29.2 28.6 28.2 27.9 28.0 28.1 30.1 32.0 31.2 28.6 27.2 26.3 25.4 24.9 24.6 58.2 59.2 58.5 57.8 56.6 56.1 55.4 54.3 53.6 52.7 52.8 52.2 51.9 52.1 51.3 50.3 49.1 48.1 46.9 46.0 45.2 25.3 30.2 29.5 26.9 22.1 21.3 20.7 21.2 20.1 20.2 20.1 20.5 23.8 28.4 26.8 24.7 20.3 19.2 19.1 19.8 20.0 12.3 12.9 12.6 12.0 11.5 11.1 10.8 10.8 10.7 10.3 10.5 10.4 10.8 11.2 10.9 10.2 9.8 9.4 9.1 9.1 9.0 11.4 12.2 11.9 11.1 10.5 10.1 9.8 9.6 9.4 9.2 9.3 9.3 10.0 10.6 10.3 9.3 8.7 8.3 8.0 8.0 7.8 13.5 13.7 13.5 13.0 12.7 12.4 12.1 12.2 12.1 11.7 11.9 11.8 11.7 11.9 11.7 11.3 11.0 10.7 10.3 10.4 10.4 5.7 5.1 -2.1 -5.8 -4.8 -3.2 -2.5 -0.7 -1.2 -2.8 2.1 -0.4 2.8 4.1 -2.4 -6.2 -4.1 -3.4 -2.9 -0.1 -0.8 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 1.4 4.5 1.3 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 10.3 12.9 5.7 5.2 5.3 5.1 5.0 6.1 4.8 5.4 5.9 6.1 8.3 12.0 5.2 5.1 4.6 4.6 4.4 6.0 4.5 3.1 6.7 6.9 10.0 8.4 6.5 5.7 5.0 4.3 6.8 5.3 5.1 4.0 6.3 6.3 9.7 6.9 6.1 5.4 4.3 3.5 2.6 2.2 1.8 1.9 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.8 3.0 2.7 2.3 2.6 2.0 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.3 22.8 22.1 21.8 21.0 20.3 20.3 19.5 19.0 18.2 17.6 17.1 17.1 17.0 16.9 16.8 16.8 16.9 17.2 17.6 18.0 18.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0 42 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Statistical Appendix WAGES EUR m 2014 2015 2016 2015 2016 2017 2016 Q2 17 Aug17 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 GROSS WAGE PER EMPLOYEE, nominal y-o-y growth rates, % TOTAL 1,584 1,602 1,614 1.1 0.7 1.8 0.6 0.4 1.3 2.3 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.5 2.3 Private sector activities (A–N; R–S) 1,526 1,537 1,558 1.5 0.8 1.3 0.8 0.6 1.2 1.8 1.1 1.0 1.5 1.6 2.3 Public service activities (OPQ) 1,765 1,807 1,791 0.3 0.6 3.3 0.2 -0.1 1.7 3.9 2.8 3.7 2.9 1.3 2.7 Industry (B–E) 1,585 1,588 1,624 3.2 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.2 2.1 2.2 1.6 1.3 2.5 2.3 2.7 Trad. market services (GHI) 1,394 1,417 1,414 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.8 1.7 2.2 Other market services (J–N; R–S) 1,691 1,699 1,723 -0.3 -0.4 0.7 -0.9 -0.5 0.1 1.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.7 1.7 A Agriculture, forestry and fishing 1,310 1,285 1,317 0.7 0.2 -0.4 0.0 -0.2 1.6 2.2 -0.8 0.7 -3.3 0.2 0.3 B Mining and quarrying 2,057 2,101 2,117 5.9 -5.9 2.7 -4.8 -4.8 -4.9 1.1 1.6 2.4 5.6 4.2 3.2 C Manufacturing 1,546 1,547 1,579 3.3 2.1 2.1 2.3 1.8 2.3 2.4 1.7 1.5 2.8 2.2 2.7 D Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply 2,347 2,373 2,555 2.5 -1.0 1.3 1.7 -3.0 1.9 2.3 1.9 0.0 0.9 4.2 3.1 E Water supply sewerage, waste management and remediation activities 1,524 1,558 1,561 1.4 1.5 1.9 0.3 1.8 2.2 2.3 2.6 1.7 1.2 4.2 4.0 F Constrution 1,205 1,229 1,257 0.3 -0.2 1.3 -0.8 -0.5 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.9 0.4 1.1 2.7 G Wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles 1,437 1,468 1,460 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.6 1.8 2.4 1.6 1.0 1.3 2.5 2.6 H Transportation and storage 1,467 1,476 1,470 1.1 0.5 -0.5 1.4 0.6 -0.5 -0.1 -0.6 -0.7 -0.5 0.5 1.5 I Accommodation and food service activities 1,085 1,110 1,138 -0.2 -1.0 1.4 -1.0 -1.0 -0.1 2.0 0.3 1.0 2.2 1.1 2.9 J Information and communication 2,107 2,106 2,166 0.1 1.0 0.5 -0.2 1.0 0.7 1.1 0.6 -0.2 0.6 1.8 1.4 K Financial and insurance activities 2,293 2,326 2,325 1.2 2.1 1.5 1.9 1.8 1.0 2.0 -0.1 1.9 2.4 2.3 2.4 L Real estate activities 1,489 1,500 1,518 -1.2 -0.7 0.7 -1.6 -0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.2 1.5 2.7 M Professional, scientific and technical activities 1,739 1,769 1,838 1.1 0.8 0.8 1.7 0.5 -0.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 1.0 1.4 3.4 N Administrative and support service activities 1,054 1,070 1,067 2.5 0.4 3.4 -0.6 0.0 1.9 3.7 3.8 3.1 2.9 1.0 2.5 O Public administration and defence, compulsory social security 1,873 1,930 1,945 1.0 2.1 4.7 0.7 0.4 5.2 6.8 4.3 5.4 2.3 1.5 4.5 P Education 1,688 1,730 1,682 0.0 -0.2 2.5 -0.1 -0.6 -0.3 1.8 2.2 2.9 3.0 1.4 1.9 Q Human health and social work activities 1,760 1,794 1,786 -0.1 0.3 3.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 3.6 2.2 3.0 3.4 1.0 2.2 R Arts, entertainment and recreation 1,650 1,678 1,661 -0.5 -0.5 2.3 -0.3 -1.6 0.3 1.6 2.4 1.7 3.3 1.9 1.6 S Other service activities 1,335 1,345 1,337 -1.1 -2.2 -0.9 -2.8 -2.5 -1.5 -0.1 -1.0 -1.0 -1.4 -1.0 1.5 Source of data: SURS, calculations by IMAD. 43Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Statistical Appendix 2015 2016 2017 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 1.5 1.1 3.5 2.4 1.4 1.8 1.3 0.2 2.8 2.1 1.5 0.5 3.7 2.1 0.5 1.9 1.3 3.4 2.4 2.8 2.7 0.6 0.0 3.3 2.0 0.9 1.6 0.8 -1.0 2.7 1.2 0.3 -0.4 4.8 2.5 0.2 2.1 0.7 3.6 2.4 2.6 2.8 4.1 4.0 4.0 3.6 3.0 2.7 2.8 3.6 3.1 4.4 4.8 3.0 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.5 2.9 2.8 2.6 3.4 2.7 0.5 -0.2 4.4 2.5 0.2 2.7 1.9 -1.8 4.0 1.7 0.3 0.4 7.1 4.1 0.2 2.6 1.4 4.6 2.1 2.9 2.8 0.6 0.6 2.8 1.4 1.7 0.7 0.0 -0.7 1.3 0.9 0.2 -2.9 5.4 2.3 0.2 2.5 0.3 3.5 2.9 2.9 3.2 0.6 -0.6 2.5 1.7 0.8 0.6 -0.4 -0.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.1 1.0 0.4 2.4 2.1 2.1 2.3 0.2 1.4 2.9 2.5 -0.9 1.3 -2.7 -0.2 2.7 -0.3 0.2 -7.1 -2.5 -0.6 -0.7 1.7 -0.5 2.1 -0.6 -3.2 1.1 -5.1 -1.5 1.4 3.4 -3.9 -0.4 9.2 -6.6 10.1 4.9 4.9 7.3 4.7 6.5 6.7 -0.3 6.4 1.9 1.5 2.0 -1.0 1.1 0.0 4.7 2.4 0.5 2.9 1.6 -1.1 3.8 1.8 0.2 0.8 7.5 4.1 -0.2 2.7 1.4 4.5 2.2 3.2 2.8 -4.5 -0.7 3.4 4.3 -2.4 1.7 6.5 -7.1 5.9 1.8 3.5 -5.4 6.0 3.9 6.2 2.6 1.9 8.5 -0.7 0.9 6.2 0.1 0.3 2.6 4.1 1.3 3.7 2.6 -2.7 5.6 2.3 -0.9 -0.1 4.7 6.3 2.1 4.3 1.9 4.1 5.8 2.2 1.7 1.0 0.5 1.8 2.3 1.5 2.0 1.1 -0.4 4.4 1.8 0.3 -1.2 2.2 1.2 -0.3 2.4 -0.2 4.4 3.8 2.8 3.0 1.3 1.2 4.2 1.9 3.3 1.1 0.6 -0.1 1.8 1.4 0.4 -0.3 4.1 2.8 0.5 4.0 0.2 3.9 3.8 3.6 3.7 -0.4 -0.8 -0.3 0.7 -0.9 0.2 -0.9 -2.2 0.7 -0.4 -0.3 -10.7 10.7 1.5 -0.3 0.3 -0.3 3.2 1.6 1.2 2.0 -0.2 1.5 3.3 1.2 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.2 1.2 1.8 1.7 3.7 1.1 2.4 0.6 0.4 3.0 3.1 2.5 3.3 3.8 1.2 0.1 1.4 1.8 0.7 1.5 -0.6 -1.9 1.8 -0.5 0.2 -0.5 1.9 2.5 0.6 2.2 0.5 2.0 1.9 2.0 3.8 3.0 -2.4 5.8 2.9 1.1 -0.4 -1.1 0.6 3.6 1.4 -1.2 7.1 1.2 1.8 1.4 3.6 2.6 2.2 2.4 2.9 1.9 0.7 0.2 1.0 -0.1 -0.7 0.0 2.3 -0.7 0.8 1.2 0.5 -3.9 7.2 1.3 1.6 1.6 3.4 4.5 0.3 1.9 4.1 -0.3 -0.9 2.7 2.0 0.4 1.6 0.0 -0.5 0.5 0.8 1.1 -0.4 2.4 2.1 0.7 1.5 0.9 4.5 4.9 4.1 5.7 1.4 2.1 4.2 4.6 4.0 4.2 3.2 2.6 3.9 2.9 2.4 1.2 5.4 1.9 0.0 1.0 0.8 4.0 2.6 2.6 1.2 9.7 7.3 7.0 6.2 5.3 3.6 4.0 4.9 4.8 6.6 5.5 3.0 -1.4 1.1 1.6 1.9 4.2 5.1 4.2 7.2 4.7 1.1 1.7 1.6 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.6 3.5 4.1 2.9 1.8 1.1 1.6 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.3 1.6 1.8 2.6 3.7 4.0 3.1 2.0 2.4 2.3 3.4 2.1 3.6 4.9 3.3 2.0 0.9 0.9 1.2 3.1 1.8 1.7 2.2 2.0 -0.4 1.5 2.1 1.3 4.9 1.1 1.3 2.4 0.2 2.6 4.1 3.5 2.2 1.1 2.1 2.6 2.9 1.2 1.0 1.8 2.2 -1.8 0.3 -0.6 0.2 -1.4 -1.2 -0.3 -1.9 0.0 -1.1 -1.5 -2.0 -0.6 -0.8 -0.5 -1.7 0.0 3.3 1.1 1.2 0.6 44 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Statistical Appendix PRICES AND INDICATORS OF OVERALL COMPETITIVENESS 2014 2015 2016 2015 2016 2017 2015 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 9 10 11 12 CPI, y-o-y growth rates, % 0.2 -0.5 0.5 -0.5 -0.6 -0.7 -0.2 0.1 0.6 1.8 1.4 1.2 -0.6 -0.8 -0.5 -0.5 Food, non-alcoholic beverages -0.3 0.9 1.7 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.2 1.3 1.7 2.9 1.9 1.6 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.5 Alcoholic beverages, tobacco 3.6 1.9 0.4 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.3 1.8 2.8 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.1 Clothing and footwear -0.9 -0.9 -2.9 -0.4 -0.4 0.5 0.6 -1.7 -0.5 -0.9 0.6 2.4 -0.4 -2.0 0.1 0.8 Housing, water, electricity, gas 0.1 -1.3 -0.1 -1.2 -1.0 -1.1 -1.3 -1.0 -0.5 2.5 2.6 2.0 -0.9 -0.9 -1.1 -1.0 Furnishings, household equipment -1.2 -1.2 0.9 -0.4 -0.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 -0.2 -0.5 -0.2 0.0 -1.4 -1.1 Medical, pharmaceutical products -0.1 0.5 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.4 -0.1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 Transport 0.2 -5.1 -0.1 -5.3 -6.3 -5.4 -4.8 -3.1 -0.3 3.9 1.8 0.7 -6.5 -6.7 -7.0 -5.2 Communications -1.9 1.1 2.9 1.7 4.3 4.0 5.2 2.6 2.2 2.8 1.1 -0.8 1.7 3.3 4.3 5.3 Recreation and culture 0.8 1.0 0.2 0.3 -1.6 -2.0 0.8 1.7 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.6 -0.8 -1.8 -2.3 Education 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 Catering services 1.1 0.5 1.0 -0.1 1.0 1.7 2.1 2.8 1.4 0.8 1.5 2.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.4 Miscellaneous goods & services 1.6 1.4 1.6 1.1 2.9 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.3 1.4 1.0 1.2 6.5 1.1 HCPI 0.4 -0.8 0.6 -0.8 -0.9 -0.9 -0.4 0.0 0.7 2.0 1.4 1.3 -1.0 -1.2 -0.9 -0.6 Core inflation (excluding fresh food and energy) 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.3 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 1.2 0.7 PRODUCER PRICE INDICES, y-o-y growth rates, % Total -0.6 -0.2 0.5 -0.4 -1.2 -1.8 -2.2 -1.3 -0.1 1.7 2.3 2.3 -1.0 -1.1 -1.2 -1.4 Domestic market -1.1 -0.5 -0.2 -0.5 -1.2 -1.6 -1.9 -1.5 -0.4 0.6 1.3 1.5 -0.9 -0.9 -1.3 -1.4 Non-domestic market -0.1 0.1 1.2 -0.3 -1.2 -2.0 -2.6 -1.2 0.5 2.8 3.2 3.1 -1.1 -1.2 -1.2 -1.3 euro area -0.7 0.1 0.6 0.1 -1.3 -2.3 -2.5 -1.9 0.1 2.1 2.6 2.8 -0.6 -1.0 -1.3 -1.6 non-euro area 1.1 -0.1 2.3 -1.1 -1.1 -1.4 -2.6 0.1 1.3 4.4 4.6 3.9 -2.2 -1.6 -0.9 -0.7 Import price indices -1.4 -0.7 2.7 -0.5 -1.6 -2.2 -2.3 -1.7 1.2 4.8 3.8 2.4 -0.8 -1.8 -1.7 -1.4 INDICATORS OF OVERALL COMPETITIVENESS1, y-o-y growth rates, % Effective exchange rate,2 nominal 0.3 -2.8 0.8 -2.7 -2.1 0.6 1.6 0.8 0.8 -0.2 -0.1 1.1 -1.8 -1.7 -2.5 -2.0 Real (deflator HICP) -0.1 -3.8 0.2 -3.7 -3.3 -0.6 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.0 -0.3 0.7 -3.0 -3.1 -3.7 -3.0 Real (deflator ULC) -1.7 -3.5 1.1 -3.1 -2.3 1.0 2.6 0.2 -0.4 -2.0 -1.3 USD / EUR 1.32881.1096 1.1066 1.1119 1.0949 1.1018 1.1293 1.1164 1.0789 1.0652 1.0600 1.0647 1.1221 1.1235 1.0736 1.0877 Source of data: SURS, ECB; calculations by IMAD. Note: 1 Source for effective exchange rate series ECB; 2 Harmonised effective exchange rate – a group of 19 EU Member States and 18 euro area countries; an increase in value indicates appreciation of the national currency and vice versa. 45Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Statistical Appendix 2016 2017 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 -0.5 -0.7 -0.9 -0.6 -0.4 0.3 0.2 0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.5 1.3 2.2 1.9 1.8 1.5 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 -0.2 -0.2 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.1 2.1 1.3 1.7 2.8 3.6 2.4 1.8 2.6 1.3 1.5 1.4 2.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.0 1.8 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.6 2.8 2.9 2.8 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 -1.4 -0.9 -2.8 1.8 -0.3 -2.9 -1.8 -0.5 -0.3 1 0.6 0.3 3.4 1.2 2.7 -0.7 -1.1 -1.4 -1.5 -1.3 -1.2 -0.4 -1.4 -1.1 -1.2 -0.3 -0.1 1.4 2.9 3.1 2.8 2.6 2.4 1.5 2.2 2.3 -0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.1 -0.3 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.7 -0.3 0.1 -0.4 -0.3 -1.0 -0.2 -0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 -0.1 -0.3 -0.2 0.4 -4.5 -5.5 -6.2 -5.2 -5.3 -4 -3.8 -4.5 -0.9 -1 0.1 -0.1 3.3 4.3 4.0 3.1 2.2 0.1 0.0 1.5 0.6 5.3 2.9 3.9 4.5 5.2 6 2.3 2.2 3.4 2 1.8 2.9 3.0 3.4 2.1 2.9 -0.4 0.7 -0.1 -0.2 -2.1 -1.8 -2.4 -1.9 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.7 2.3 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.2 -0.9 1.5 -0.5 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 -0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.2 2.1 1.9 1.8 2.2 2.3 2.7 3.1 2.5 2.4 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.7 1.6 2.1 2.1 1.8 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.4 -0.8 -0.9 -0.9 -0.7 -0.5 0.1 -0.1 -0.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.6 1.5 2.5 2.0 1.7 1.5 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.4 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.0 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.9 -1.6 -1.7 -2.2 -2.5 -2.2 -2.0 -1.8 -1.4 -0.9 -0.6 -0.2 0.5 1.3 1.9 1.9 2.3 2.4 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 -1.5 -1.4 -1.9 -2 -1.9 -1.8 -1.7 -1.6 -1.1 -0.2 -0.7 -0.2 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.6 -1.7 -1.9 -2.4 -2.9 -2.5 -2.2 -1.8 -1.3 -0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.3 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.0 -2.0 -2.3 -2.6 -2.7 -2.6 -2.3 -2.3 -2 -1.3 -0.4 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.1 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.5 2.9 2.9 2.6 -1.1 -1.1 -2 -3.4 -2.4 -1.8 -0.7 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.8 2.3 3.9 5.1 4.0 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.1 3.7 4.0 -1.9 -2.4 -2.4 -3.1 -2.2 -1.7 -1.8 -1.9 -1.4 0.1 0.1 2.7 4.5 5.3 4.7 4.9 4.0 2.5 1.9 2.7 2.7 -0.3 0.8 1.5 2.1 1.6 1.1 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.5 1.3 0.5 0.0 -0.6 -0.1 -0.4 -0.1 0.2 0.8 1.2 1.2 -1.6 -0.4 0.3 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1 0.2 -0.4 -0.1 -0.3 0.3 0.8 0.8 1.0860 1.1093 1.1100 1.1339 1.1311 1.1229 1.1069 1.1212 1.1212 1.1026 1.0799 1.0543 1.0614 1.0643 1.0685 1.0723 1.1058 1.1229 1.1511 1.1807 1.1915 46 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Statistical Appendix BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 2014 2015 2016 2015 2016 2017 2015 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 8 9 10 11 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS, BPM6 methodology, EUR m Current account 2,179 1,698 2,108 332 553 416 677 530 557 343 596 795 88 257 204 196 Goods 1,181 1,476 1,536 377 419 338 484 449 376 227 381 461 -7 229 181 170 Exports 22,961 24,039 24,991 6,063 5,934 6,160 6,065 6,400 6,119 6,407 6,869 7,147 1,595 2,193 2,177 2,116 Imports 21,780 22,563 23,454 5,687 5,516 5,822 5,581 5,950 5,743 6,180 6,488 6,685 1,602 1,964 1,996 1,946 Services 1,697 1,860 2,174 433 554 485 467 526 655 526 536 668 212 172 179 147 Exports 5,558 5,866 6,410 1,419 1,678 1,515 1,370 1,529 1,812 1,699 1,528 1,736 580 527 505 466 Imports 3,862 4,007 4,236 985 1,124 1,030 902 1,003 1,157 1,173 992 1,068 368 355 326 319 Primary income -428 -1,263 -1,294 -406 -354 -326 -163 -393 -379 -358 -233 -257 -98 -129 -144 -92 Receipts 1,093 1,345 1,436 341 301 330 430 351 336 319 435 374 85 112 96 92 Expenditures 1,521 2,608 2,730 747 654 656 593 744 715 678 667 631 183 241 240 184 Secondary income -271 -375 -309 -72 -65 -81 -111 -53 -95 -51 -88 -77 -19 -15 -12 -29 Receipts 709 733 745 185 175 217 163 181 184 217 179 200 53 60 77 61 Expenditures 980 1,108 1,054 257 240 297 274 234 278 267 267 277 72 75 89 90 Capital account 79 412 -302 82 131 168 -53 -89 -54 -106 -47 -65 42 50 76 62 Financial account 2,251 1,658 1,129 533 435 142 331 224 419 156 381 664 5 297 138 463 Direct investment -584 -1,269 -880 -45 -223 -657 -299 -376 -306 101 -217 133 -75 -99 -384 -7 Assets 155 292 431 305 26 -134 161 74 55 142 158 213 -55 7 70 -7 Liabilities 739 1,560 1,311 350 248 523 460 451 360 41 375 80 20 107 454 0 Portfolio investment -3,968 2,929 5,079 1,684 -993 1,549 584 1,099 702 2,693 -330 556 -151 202 491 526 Financial derivatives -51 -98 -215 -26 -40 -21 -30 -107 -33 -44 -73 -117 -16 -10 -11 -14 Other investment 6,765 208 -2,758 -1,102 1,739 -663 64 -351 106 -2,577 959 59 270 239 19 2 Assets 4,737 -617 -2,335 -1,471 1,218 -817 64 -637 -1,079 -684 -30 -348 -142 268 170 187 Other equity 84 10 0 1 0 -2 1 -1 2 -2 0 0 1 0 0 0 Currency and deposits 5,037 -516 -2,205 -1,265 1,266 -625 -325 -578 -1,020 -282 -626 -460 31 141 111 177 Loans -299 -408 -203 -224 -27 -78 10 -67 -36 -111 -49 7 -27 4 -20 -13 Insurance, pension schemes, and standardised guarantee schemes 8 -8 10 -3 -15 -2 7 2 0 1 3 -1 -5 -5 -1 -1 Trade credit and advances -16 -5 161 27 -15 -358 316 119 -73 -202 517 161 -143 114 15 42 Other assets -77 309 -96 -7 8 249 54 -112 49 -87 125 -55 1 14 65 -18 Liabilities -2,028 -825 423 -369 -521 -153 0 -285 -1,185 1,893 -990 -407 -412 29 151 185 Other equity 7 11 4 0 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Currency and deposits -831 -400 1,175 -301 -37 116 548 -320 -406 1,353 -837 78 13 -114 112 66 Loans -1,246 -315 -818 -82 -376 -235 -495 -123 -533 334 -381 -496 -361 43 -37 167 Insurance, pension schemes, and standardised guarantee schemes -54 3 -8 4 2 4 11 12 -28 -3 19 -8 1 1 1 1 Trade credit and advances -144 -100 137 3 -122 11 -78 153 -171 233 191 53 -31 82 45 -4 Other liabilities 240 -25 -67 7 12 -48 15 -12 -46 -24 18 -34 -34 18 30 -44 Special drawing rights (SDR) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Reserve assets 89 -113 -97 23 -49 -67 10 -40 -50 -17 43 33 -23 -35 21 -43 Net errors and omissions -6 -453 -677 119 -250 -442 -293 -217 -84 -82 -168 -65 -124 -10 -141 205 EXPORTS AND IMPORTS BY END-USE OF PRODUCTS, in EUR m Export of investment goods 2,343 2,596 2,781 632 630 753 644 691 674 772 752 795 167 231 246 243 Intermediate goods 12,924 13,355 13,731 3,406 3,348 3,322 3,371 3,544 3,360 3,456 3,821 3,876 935 1,206 1,219 1,160 Consumer goods 7,668 7,989 8,459 2,040 1,904 2,042 2,057 2,178 2,058 2,166 2,258 2,431 471 737 701 694 Import of investment goods 2,774 2,968 3,292 713 720 877 724 830 796 941 823 881 210 262 271 283 Intermediate goods 13,417 13,803 13,792 3,541 3,376 3,432 3,330 3,542 3,361 3,559 3,974 4,026 976 1,201 1,205 1,161 Consumer goods 6,389 6,534 7,028 1,637 1,592 1,701 1,695 1,756 1,734 1,843 1,890 1,951 459 565 590 565 Source of data: BS, SURS. Note: The methodology of the Slovenian balance of payments and international investment position statistics follows the recommendations in the sixth edition of the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual released by the International Monetary Fund. 47Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Statistical Appendix 2015 2016 2017 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 16 226 152 299 186 153 190 126 85 347 252 68 23 197 205 194 287 187 320 262 200 -13 170 141 173 143 117 189 145 5 226 134 43 49 86 112 183 162 86 214 178 45 1,867 1,841 2,023 2,202 2,090 2,103 2,207 2,073 1,744 2,302 2,163 2,225 2,018 2,117 2,151 2,600 2,205 2,427 2,515 2,338 2,079 1,880 1,671 1,882 2,028 1,947 1,985 2,018 1,928 1,739 2,076 2,029 2,182 1,969 2,032 2,039 2,418 2,043 2,341 2,301 2,160 2,034 159 151 115 202 186 169 172 175 239 240 227 155 143 188 164 185 245 198 225 230 277 544 420 440 509 508 489 533 583 628 602 574 535 589 487 482 559 580 555 601 677 685 385 269 325 308 322 321 361 407 389 362 347 380 446 299 318 375 335 357 376 447 408 -90 -89 -35 -39 -124 -109 -160 -158 -135 -87 -94 -111 -153 -48 -39 -146 -89 -79 -89 -113 -107 142 93 155 182 105 112 134 95 108 133 94 101 125 179 158 97 120 132 122 109 95 233 182 190 221 229 221 294 252 243 220 188 211 278 228 197 243 209 211 210 222 203 -40 -5 -69 -37 -18 -23 -11 -37 -25 -33 -14 -20 -16 -28 -32 -28 -30 -17 -30 -33 -15 79 58 55 50 64 57 61 62 59 62 73 67 76 62 58 59 68 70 62 63 65 119 64 123 87 82 80 72 99 84 95 87 87 93 90 90 86 98 88 92 95 80 30 -18 -18 -17 -43 -19 -27 -22 -12 -20 8 -35 -78 -11 -17 -18 -15 -18 -32 -142 90 -460 196 125 10 -123 389 -43 281 -165 302 -1,288 1,824 -380 403 60 -82 200 224 240 112 184 -266 -238 82 -143 -379 26 -24 -72 -201 -32 56 -78 123 27 -95 -149 80 35 17 13 -30 -197 30 78 54 28 31 15 134 -107 28 129 -65 77 62 77 18 124 16 73 59 -114 69 268 -5 197 407 4 39 206 94 60 73 13 -45 35 173 167 43 -19 56 47 -84 532 373 1,040 -829 477 506 116 321 331 50 574 1,454 666 -667 314 23 358 -302 500 481 260 3 -13 -8 -9 -27 -33 -48 8 -21 -21 -23 -12 -9 -6 -32 -35 -36 -37 -44 -3 3 -684 47 -1,018 1,036 -165 -112 -74 43 -255 318 -1,894 493 -1,177 1,022 -81 18 -201 525 -266 -387 -63 -1,174 -122 -244 430 -978 39 302 -41 -940 -97 -520 317 -481 -6 235 -259 297 -356 -288 -430 -298 -2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -913 -121 -394 190 -891 131 182 -2 -736 -282 -705 412 10 -276 15 -365 311 -428 -343 -448 -152 -45 -12 -22 44 -31 -38 2 -21 -15 0 -22 -27 -62 -24 -27 2 -22 26 2 -8 -15 -1 2 2 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -415 72 118 126 -4 4 118 -33 -205 165 146 3 -351 193 189 135 74 1 85 23 -172 201 -64 51 67 -52 -59 -1 15 15 19 61 -72 -76 100 57 -32 -67 44 -32 3 42 -490 -169 775 -606 -812 152 375 -84 -685 -415 1,374 -176 696 -1,028 316 -277 497 -881 -23 -43 -235 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -62 39 797 -288 -734 187 228 101 -333 -174 691 -12 673 -908 184 -112 583 -568 64 182 82 -365 10 -256 -249 -96 -101 73 -99 -310 -124 395 -117 56 -72 21 -330 -45 -310 -141 -162 -294 1 4 4 4 4 4 4 -9 -9 -9 -1 -1 -1 6 6 6 -3 -3 -3 0 0 -30 -254 133 43 -1 76 78 -68 -141 39 156 80 -4 -50 110 131 -7 -14 74 -50 -97 -34 32 98 -115 11 -15 -8 -8 108 -146 132 -127 -29 -5 -5 28 -30 13 -17 -12 74 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -45 27 28 -45 -29 2 -13 -18 -18 -15 0 -33 17 27 -45 61 -2 2 33 10 14 -506 -13 -9 -271 -266 255 -206 177 -237 -25 -1,548 1,792 -325 217 -127 -258 -73 55 -48 -9 -106 264 177 221 247 226 231 234 231 191 251 248 259 265 228 230 294 240 278 277 263 N/A 944 1,062 1,124 1,184 1,178 1,171 1,196 1,113 1,005 1,242 1,204 1,223 1,029 1,210 1,193 1,418 1,205 1,351 1,321 1,263 N/A 646 602 685 769 692 699 787 723 535 800 709 735 721 664 699 895 739 786 906 801 N/A 322 207 239 278 277 267 286 309 223 263 299 315 327 259 249 315 261 300 320 271 N/A 1,067 1,034 1,114 1,182 1,136 1,206 1,200 1,130 1,000 1,231 1,165 1,280 1,113 1,277 1,242 1,455 1,225 1,402 1,400 1,317 N/A 546 484 583 628 595 575 586 547 551 636 619 650 574 557 612 722 607 703 642 636 N/A 48 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Statistical Appendix MONETARY INDICATORS AND INTEREST RATES 2014 2015 2016 2015 2016 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 SELECTED CLAIMS OF OTHER MFI ON DOMESTIC SECTORS, end of the month, in EUR m Claims of the BS on central government 263 2,327 4,618 838 1,045 1,299 1,488 1699 1,942 2,175 2,327 2,539 2,759 2,987 Central government (S. 1311) 7,240 7,112 6,273 7,380 7,387 7,449 7,445 7,301 7,380 7,387 7,112 7,212 6,957 7,022 Other government (S. 1312, 1313, 1314) 685 622 576 633 635 634 631 624 623 618 622 630 614 601 Households (S. 14, 15) 8,762 8,856 9,154 8,847 8,836 8,821 8,812 8,825 8,873 8,857 8,856 8,815 8,789 8,830 Non-financial corporations (S. 11) 11,729 10,502 9,664 11,493 11,396 11,190 11,137 10,941 10,819 10,688 10,502 10,527 10,046 9,904 Non-monetary financial institutions (S. 123, 124, 125) 1,485 1,432 1,411 1,511 1,466 1,470 1,405 1,435 1,417 1,411 1,432 1,422 1,328 1,397 Monetary financial institutions (S. 121, 122) 3,684 3,206 3,541 3,365 3,007 3,181 3,442 3,312 3,904 3,713 3,206 3,574 4,030 3,318 Claims on domestic sectors, TOTAL In domestic currency 25,155 23,816 23,969 24,661 24,240 24,316 24,469 24078 24,532 24,226 23,789 24,152 24,088 23,407 In foreign currency 950 824 672 955 937 904 874 845 839 839 823 794 802 778 Securities, total 7,469 7,059 5,889 7,574 7,512 7,486 7,494 7,478 7,606 7,568 7,079 7,178 6,795 6,812 SELECTED OBLIGATIONS OF OTHER MFI ON DOMESTIC SECTORS, end of the month, in EUR m Deposits in domestic currency, total 25,843 25,885 26,497 25,894 25,715 25,974 26,073 25,652 26,330 26,442 25,885 26,315 26,067 25,869 Overnight 10,157 12,717 15,081 11,458 11,533 12,080 12,278 12,130 12,991 13,244 12,717 13,255 13,553 13,405 With agreed maturity – short-term 5,955 4,481 3,955 5,217 5,032 4,896 4,743 4,664 4,341 4,325 4,481 4,393 4,251 4,174 With agreed maturity – long-term 9,267 8,196 6,829 8,707 8,574 8,411 8,513 8,349 8,410 8,322 8,196 8,148 7,702 7,595 Short-term deposits redeemable at notice 464 491 632 512 576 587 539 509 588 551 491 519 561 695 Deposits in foreign currency, total 510 655 687 612 620 616 616 623 618 651 655 0 687 686 Overnight 354 508 564 464 469 468 475 484 478 498 508 529 544 550 With agreed maturity – short-term 84 80 65 71 77 73 69 71 71 82 80 79 78 75 With agreed maturity – long-term 72 67 58 77 74 75 72 68 69 71 67 66 65 61 Short-term deposits redeemable at notice 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 INTEREST RATES OF MONETARY FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS, % New deposits in domestic currency Households Overnight deposits 0.07 0.04 0.02 0.05 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 Time deposits with maturity of up to one year 0.98 0.37 0.21 0.37 0.36 0.31 0.33 0.31 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.25 0.25 0.24 New loans to households in domestic currency Housing loans, 5-10 year fixed interest rate 5.06 3.54 2.66 3.5 3.39 3.38 3.36 3.34 3.39 3.14 3.16 3.06 2.91 2.75 New loans to non-financial corporations in domestic currency Loan over EUR 1 million, 1-5 year fixed interest rate 4.25 2.46 2.07 .. .. 1.90 .. 0.81 1.71 .. 1.00 0.75 .. 1.85 INTEREST RATES OF THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK, % Main refinancing operations 0.16 0.05 0.01 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.00 INTERBANK INTEREST RATES EURIBOR 3-month rates 0.210 -0.019 -0.264 -0.010 -0.014 -0.019 -0.028 -0.037 -0.054 -0.088 -0.126 -0.146 -0.184 -0.229 6-month rates 0.309 0.054 -0.164 0.057 0.049 0.049 0.044 0.035 0.020 -0.015 -0.040 -0.061 -0.115 -0.134 LIBOR 3-month rates 0.012 -0.755 -0.747 -0.791 -0.782 -0.762 -0.729 -0.729 -0.728 -0.784 -0.792 -0.752 -0.775 -0.760 6-month rates 0.066 -0.688 -0.671 -0.704 -0.711 -0.710 -0.681 -0.672 -0.674 -0.754 -0.737 -0.685 -0.723 -0.698 Source of data: BS, EUROSTAT. 49Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Statistical Appendix 2016 2017 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 3,144 3,378 3,631 3,861 4,012 4,219 4,390 4,432 4,618 4,621 4,770 4,823 4,937 5,041 5,173 5,297 5,485 5,600 6,739 6,853 6,813 6,861 6,850 6,872 6,769 6,391 6,273 6,350 6,246 6,029 5,856 5,784 5,699 5,524 5,489 5,491 602 594 591 589 587 571 564 561 576 591 587 588 588 581 573 572 563 559 8,863 8,891 8,920 8,892 8,930 8,974 9,041 9,075 9,154 9,174 9,208 9,305 9,352 9,413 9,447 9,476 9,541 9,604 9,953 9,870 9,771 9,706 9,520 9,455 9,485 9,473 9,664 9,759 9,814 9,720 9,790 9,745 9,800 9,824 9,828 9,816 1,326 1,332 1,298 1,298 1,283 1,310 1,352 1,376 1,408 1,382 1,397 1,222 1,222 1,248 1,254 1,247 1,241 1,545 3,727 3,572 3,240 3,578 3,625 3,610 3,642 4,100 3,541 3,555 3,573 4,212 3,910 3,860 3,550 3,635 3,625 3,440 23,796 23,552 23,026 23,272 23,149 23,172 23,314 23,796 23,969 24,066 24,020 24,759 24,613 24,492 24,313 24,338 24,377 24,478 758 751 759 743 717 714 711 714 672 683 670 656 642 630 624 597 596 571 6,580 6,735 6,777 6,836 6,848 6,823 6,743 6,379 5,885 5,968 6,038 5,562 5,366 5,412 5,291 5,254 5,224 5,308 25,689 25,697 25,364 25,725 25,643 25,612 25,811 25,976 26,497 26,421 26,508 27,165 27,190 27,177 27,037 27,205 27,289 27,403 13,504 13,668 13,819 14,274 14,475 14,365 14,505 14,839 15,081 15,253 15,487 15,776 15,858 16,019 16,021 16,414 16,515 16,792 3,984 3,942 3,777 3,697 3,507 3,571 3,584 3,442 3,955 3,706 3,707 3,706 3,651 3,472 3,426 3,281 3,292 3,290 7,572 7,390 7,110 7,077 7,040 7,047 7,084 7,041 6,829 6,730 6,667 7,026 6,976 6,969 6,901 6,821 6,763 6,661 629 697 658 677 621 629 638 654 632 732 647 657 705 717 689 689 719 660 658 684 708 683 686 705 680 705 687 711 695 705 682 684 699 857 694 656 529 553 561 540 550 565 549 567 564 586 567 582 561 557 582 666 573 551 69 70 86 82 75 81 72 78 65 69 72 69 68 74 67 101 74 58 60 61 61 61 61 59 59 60 58 56 56 54 53 53 50 90 47 47 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.19 0.20 0.19 0.23 0.19 0.18 0.11 0.15 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 2.71 2.57 2.54 2.62 2.45 2.53 2.68 2.57 2.49 2.55 2.63 2.60 2.66 2.53 2.63 2.72 2.72 2.58 3.84 2.16 .. .. .. 1.60 2.74 1.06 1.31 1.06 3.28 2.99 1.60 1.17 0.75 .. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.249 -0.257 -0.268 -0.295 -0.298 -0.302 -0.309 -0.313 -0.316 -0.326 -0.329 -0.329 -0.330 -0.330 -0.330 -0.330 -0.329 -0.329 -0.138 -0.145 -0.162 -0.188 -0.189 -0.199 -0.207 -0.215 -0.218 -0.236 -0.241 -0.241 -0.246 -0.251 -0.267 -0.273 -0.272 -0.273 -0.727 -0.734 -0.763 -0.766 -0.743 -0.741 -0.730 -0.738 -0.738 -0.728 -0.726 -0.727 -0.731 -0.729 -0.730 -0.728 -0.726 -0.726 -0.653 -0.646 -0.676 -0.688 -0.658 -0.647 -0.647 -0.663 -0.669 -0.662 -0.666 -0.667 -0.669 -0.661 -0.663 -0.651 -0.651 -0.650 50 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Statistical Appendix PUBLIC FINANCE 2014 2015 2016 2015 2016 2017 2016 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 1 2 CONSOLIDATED BALANCE OF PUBLIC FINANCING (GFS–IMF methodology), current prices, EUR m GENERAL GOVERNMENT REVENUES TOTAL REVENUES 15,492.0 12,078.3 15,842.2 3,972.6 3,864.3 4,241.4 3,685.8 4,108.9 3,884.6 4,162.9 3,958.2 4,444.7 1,329.1 1,179.0 Current revenues 14,377.0 11,289.0 15,203.9 3,756.8 3,596.3 3,935.9 3,511.7 3,948.8 3,802.7 3,940.7 3,798.9 4,312.1 1,234.0 1,132.3 Tax revenues 13,191.6 10,494.0 14,240.5 3,524.1 3,277.4 3,692.4 3,344.3 3,659.7 3,516.4 3,720.1 3,581.5 3,910.7 1,176.4 1,080.9 Taxes on income and profit 2,385.9 1,982.9 2,680.8 786.4 504.0 692.5 634.2 811.4 542.4 692.8 669.3 944.3 214.8 212.6 Social security contributions 5,272.5 4,134.5 5,720.6 1,353.4 1,357.7 1,423.3 1,395.1 1,423.5 1,424.2 1,477.8 1,472.6 1,510.8 465.0 460.6 Taxes on payroll and workforce 20.2 15.2 19.8 4.9 4.6 5.6 4.8 5.1 4.8 5.2 5.0 5.4 1.7 1.7 Taxes on property 244.2 211.0 256.2 41.7 85.2 84.1 27.2 46.3 104.5 78.2 27.4 70.9 11.6 9.0 Domestic taxes on goods and services 5,191.2 4,101.1 5,432.9 1,322.2 1,305.9 1,473.1 1,233.7 1,365.4 1,430.5 1,403.4 1,326.7 1,411.3 462.9 393.8 Taxes on international trade & transactions 77.7 61.2 81.9 21.5 20.2 19.6 22.3 19.8 20.8 19.0 21.4 20.4 6.7 7.7 Other taxes -0.2 -11.9 48.2 -6.0 -0.2 -5.8 27.0 -11.7 -10.8 43.6 59.1 -52.4 13.7 -4.5 Non-tax revenues 1,185.4 795.0 963.4 232.7 318.8 243.5 167.5 289.0 286.3 220.6 217.4 401.4 57.6 51.3 Capital revenues 51.4 85.5 96.2 16.2 26.2 43.2 14.7 17.5 21.2 42.8 16.5 24.3 4.8 6.0 Grants 18.9 9.9 10.4 1.7 4.7 3.4 1.3 1.8 5.7 1.6 0.6 1.3 0.2 0.3 Transferred revenues 4.5 19.4 51.1 0.3 19.3 -0.2 0.7 0.0 50.0 0.3 0.1 0.9 0.0 0.0 Receipts from the EU budget 1,040.3 674.5 480.5 197.5 217.9 259.1 157.3 140.8 5.0 177.4 142.2 106.1 90.2 40.4 GENERAL GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES TOTAL EXPENDITURES 16,751.2 12,665.9 16,496.7 3,980.9 3,974.9 4,710.0 4,223.2 3,882.0 3,985.6 4,405.9 4,333.4 3,931.7 1,302.6 1,416.7 Current expenditures 7,042.1 5,198.7 7,407.1 1,678.3 1,608.5 1,912.0 1,977.9 1,774.3 1,733.2 1,921.7 2,064.8 1,782.9 617.6 641.3 Wages, salaries and other personnel expenditures 3,610.4 2,686.5 3,785.4 903.4 875.0 908.2 925.4 970.7 928.6 960.8 961.2 1,016.2 305.8 308.4 Expenditures on goods and services 2,232.3 1,808.6 2,371.4 558.9 546.1 703.7 535.5 552.6 569.3 714.0 558.0 592.2 157.6 178.2 Interest payments 1,097.4 545.4 1,074.2 178.4 148.0 218.9 489.5 181.5 206.1 197.1 518.4 144.2 143.6 145.0 Reserves 102.1 158.2 176.1 37.6 39.5 81.1 27.5 69.6 29.2 49.8 27.1 30.2 10.5 9.7 Current transfers 7,591.9 5,603.6 7,700.0 1,863.9 1,899.4 1,840.3 1,974.0 1,896.0 1,918.5 1,911.5 2,039.0 1,881.9 615.9 654.7 Subsidies 467.4 197.8 397.0 79.1 47.7 71.0 186.4 78.4 42.9 89.2 170.4 67.1 30.6 54.2 Current transfers to individuals and households 6,335.0 4,806.6 6,495.5 1,592.7 1,657.7 1,556.2 1,604.7 1,619.1 1,678.9 1,592.8 1,643.9 1,652.2 529.0 534.0 Current transfers to non-profit institutions, other current domestic transfers 714.3 557.2 727.8 180.5 186.0 190.7 167.5 179.3 186.8 194.2 210.3 146.6 47.4 63.7 Current transfers abroad 75.2 42.0 79.7 11.6 8.1 22.3 15.4 19.2 9.8 35.3 14.4 16.0 8.9 2.8 Capital expenditures 1,444.4 1,344.8 784.3 285.2 350.4 709.1 98.6 115.5 213.6 356.6 108.9 145.4 25.8 34.3 Capital transfers 270.0 257.1 177.8 58.7 60.8 137.5 32.9 26.9 23.7 94.4 22.7 23.1 9.8 14.4 Payments to the EU budget 402.9 261.7 427.4 94.8 55.8 111.2 139.9 69.3 96.6 121.7 98.0 98.4 33.6 71.9 SURPLUS / DEFICIT -1,259.2 -587.5 -654.5 -8.4 -110.6 -468.6 -537.4 226.9 -101.0 -243.0 -375.2 513.0 26.6 -237.7 Source of data: Bulletin of Government Finance. Note: In line with the changed methodology of the International Monetary Fund of 2001, social security contributions paid by the general government are not consolidated. 51Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Statistical Appendix 2016 2017 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 1,177.6 1,352.7 1,391.7 1,364.5 1,161.5 1,390.7 1,332.4 1,354.5 1,306.7 1,501.7 1,444.7 1,190.4 1,323.1 1,532.6 1,451.6 1,460.5 1,284.0 1,344.9 1,145.5 1,299.8 1,297.7 1,351.3 1,152.7 1,382.1 1,267.9 1,312.4 1,287.7 1,340.6 1,428.6 1,148.3 1,221.9 1,460.7 1,427.7 1,423.7 1,269.7 1,336.1 1,086.9 1,244.9 1,217.0 1,197.8 1,096.1 1,233.4 1,186.9 1,246.3 1,213.6 1,260.2 1,330.4 1,093.1 1,158.0 1,344.2 1,230.6 1,335.9 1,181.9 1,257.2 206.8 219.0 289.0 303.4 63.8 270.6 208.1 210.2 222.5 260.1 217.0 228.4 223.8 330.5 273.5 340.3 102.0 253.1 469.4 473.5 478.6 471.4 482.7 461.3 480.3 464.8 475.0 538.0 496.7 484.3 491.7 508.2 499.0 503.6 497.1 501.7 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.9 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.5 6.6 6.2 12.0 28.1 29.7 35.1 39.7 27.4 34.1 16.7 11.0 7.5 8.8 15.1 23.8 31.9 25.2 44.1 376.9 469.4 502.9 393.0 507.2 472.8 450.4 482.9 471.7 448.8 534.2 415.0 377.6 512.6 440.6 458.2 523.5 477.7 7.9 7.2 6.2 6.4 5.5 7.8 7.5 6.7 6.1 6.3 6.1 7.2 8.1 6.4 6.2 7.7 7.0 7.1 17.8 68.0 -73.4 -6.3 5.5 -15.9 -0.5 53.1 2.3 -11.7 63.5 -50.8 46.4 -30.6 -14.2 -7.6 25.3 -28.0 58.6 54.9 80.7 153.4 56.6 148.7 80.9 66.1 74.2 80.4 98.2 55.3 63.9 116.5 197.1 87.7 87.8 79.0 3.9 6.5 4.7 6.3 7.2 5.6 8.4 5.6 9.8 27.4 5.4 4.4 6.7 6.2 7.3 10.8 5.6 5.6 0.8 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.3 1.3 4.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 1.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 26.8 45.8 88.4 6.6 1.2 1.7 2.0 36.1 8.2 133.1 10.5 37.4 94.3 65.2 16.1 24.9 8.4 2.0 1,504.0 1,259.8 1,306.7 1,315.4 1,374.4 1,313.4 1,297.8 1,367.6 1,391.0 1,647.3 1,451.7 1,310.4 1,571.3 1,242.0 1,328.2 1,361.5 1,463.9 1,328.1 719.0 575.1 592.2 607.1 548.2 597.9 587.2 631.4 617.1 673.1 648.7 594.9 821.1 562.5 589.6 630.8 581.7 602.8 311.2 299.6 305.3 365.7 309.5 313.6 305.5 315.6 321.6 323.6 317.7 317.2 326.3 312.4 319.1 384.7 324.1 322.0 199.7 167.6 197.9 187.2 183.3 205.0 181.0 179.7 210.2 324.1 176.3 171.2 210.5 168.9 195.5 227.9 201.5 204.6 200.9 98.2 77.5 5.7 45.0 69.7 91.4 122.9 69.7 4.5 149.4 96.0 273.0 71.4 66.9 5.8 44.9 66.4 7.3 9.6 11.5 48.5 10.4 9.6 9.2 13.2 15.7 20.9 5.3 10.5 11.4 9.8 8.1 12.4 11.2 9.8 703.4 621.6 642.2 632.2 717.3 602.0 599.1 603.0 632.3 676.2 724.5 635.5 679.0 599.8 641.9 640.1 772.1 616.0 101.7 12.4 46.2 19.8 10.3 11.2 21.5 18.5 27.8 42.8 91.1 62.3 17.0 20.5 24.4 22.2 43.2 16.3 541.6 542.1 535.0 542.1 635.0 528.0 515.9 523.7 528.2 540.9 541.5 542.3 560.1 546.8 552.8 552.6 659.8 528.9 56.4 55.0 56.9 67.4 66.4 62.0 58.4 55.8 62.5 75.9 86.5 27.9 95.8 23.8 62.6 60.2 62.2 63.3 3.7 12.1 4.1 2.9 5.6 0.8 3.4 5.0 13.7 16.6 5.5 3.0 6.0 8.8 2.1 5.1 6.9 7.5 38.5 33.2 37.3 45.0 70.4 75.7 67.5 68.5 86.2 201.9 35.7 37.1 36.1 39.4 52.5 53.4 67.8 77.8 8.7 9.4 5.9 11.6 7.5 6.6 9.6 30.2 20.9 43.2 10.0 5.6 7.1 7.2 10.8 5.1 8.9 9.8 34.4 20.6 29.2 19.5 30.9 31.3 34.3 34.4 34.4 52.9 32.8 37.2 28.0 33.0 33.4 32.1 33.5 21.7 -326.3 92.9 85.0 49.1 -213.0 77.3 34.7 -13.1 -84.3 -145.6 -7.0 -120.0 -248.2 290.6 123.4 99.0 -179.9 16.8 52 Slovenian Economic Mirror, No. 6/2017 Acronyms Acronyms in the text AJPES – Agency of the Republic of Slovenia for Public Legal Records and Related Services, APP – Asset Purchase Programme, SMA – Securities Market Agency, BoS – Bank of Slovenia, VAT – value added tax, BAMC - Bank Asset Management Company, DV – Value added, DVK - National Electoral Commission. EBA - European Banking Authority, EBITDA – Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization, ECB – European Central Bank, EIA – Energy Information Administration, EK – European Commission, ESI – Economic Sentiment Indicator, EU – European union, EUR – Euro, EUROSTAT – Statistical Office of the European Union, TSA – Treasury Single Account, FED – Federal Reserve System, GD – Companies, HICP- Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices, IC – Interest Coverage, CPI – consumer price index, IEA – International Energy Agency, ICT – Information and Communication Technology, IMF – International Monetary Fund, MF – Ministry of Finance, MGRT – Ministry of Economic Developement and Technology, MSP – micro, small and medium-sized enterprises, MZI – Ministry of Infrastructure, NIJZ - National Institute of Public Heath, NFI – Non-monetary Financial Institutions, OPEC -Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, PMI – Purchasing Managers Index, PPI – Producer Price Index, RS – Republic of Slovenia, SKD – Standard Classification of Activities, SITC – Standard International Trade Classification, SRE – Statistical Register of Employment, SURS – Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia, UL – Official Gazette, ULC – Unit Labour Costs, IMAD – Institute of Macroeconomic Analysis and Development, USD – US Dollar, PDII – Pension and Disability Insurance Institute, ESS – Employment Service of Slovenia. Acronyms Acronyms of Standard Classification of Activities A – Agriculture, forestry and fishing, B – Mining and quarrying, C – Manufacturing, 10 – Manufacture of food products, 11 – Manufacture of beverages, 12 – Manufacture of tobacco products, 13 – Manufacture of textiles, 14 – Manufacture of wearing apparel, 15 – Manufacture of leather and related products, 16 – Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture, manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials, 17 – Manufacture of paper and paper products, 18 – Printing and reproduction of recorded media, 19– Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products, 20 – Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products, 21 – Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations, 22 – Manufacture of rubber and plastic products, 23 – Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products, 24 – Manufacture of basic metals, 25 – Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment, 26 – Manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products, 27 – Manufacture of electrical equipment, 28 – Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c., 29 – Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers, 30 – Manufacture of other transport equipment, 31 – Manufacture of furniture, 32 – Other manufacturing, 33 – Repair and installation of machinery and equipment, D – Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply, E – Water supply sewerage, waste management and remediation activities, F – Construction, G – Wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles, H – Transportation and storage, I – Accommodation and food service activities, J – Information and communication, K – Financial and insurance activities, L – Real estate activities, M – Professional, scientific and technical activities, N – Administrative and support service activities, O – Public administration and defence, compulsory social security, P – Education, Q – Human health and social work activities, R – Arts, entertainment and recreation, S – Other service activities, T – Activities of households as employers, undifferentiated goods- and services- producing activities of households for own use, U – Activities of extraterritorial organizations and bodies. Acronyms of Countries AU – Australia, AT-Austria, BA-Bosnia and Herzegovina, BE-Belgium, BG-Bulgaria, BY-Belarus, CA – Canada CH-Switzerland, CL – Chile, HR-Croatia, CZ-Czech Republic, CY-Cyprus, DE-Germany, DK-Denmark, ES-Spain, EE-Estonia, GR-Greece, FR- France, FI-Finland, HU-Hungary, IE-Ireland, IL-Israel, IS – Iceland, IT-Italy, JP-Japan, KR - South Korea, LU-Luxembourg, LT-Lithuania, LV-Latvia, MT-Malta, MX – Mexiko, NL-Netherlands, NZ - New Zealand, NO-Norway, PL-Poland, PT-Portugal, RO-Romania, RS-Republic of Serbia, RU-Russia, SE-Sweden, SI-Slovenia, SK-Slovakia, TR-Turkey, UA-Ukraine, UK-United Kingdom, US-United States of America No. 6, Vol. XXIII, 2017