Ocena scenarijev razvoja dopolnilne dejavnosti turizma na kmetijah s simulacijskim modelom sistemske dinamike : doktorska disertacija
Evaluation of supplementary activities related to tourism development with system dynamics simulation model : ph. d. thesis

slovenian

doktorska dela

2022

Univerza v Mariboru, Fakulteta za kmetijstvo in biosistemske vede

The doctoral dissertation analyses the importance of diversification of non-agricultural activities on farms in Slovenia – the dynamics of the transition of potential agricultural holdings to tourist farms, with the help of a developed mathematical simulation model. During research, validation and verification of the model were performed. The key variables of the model were identified, i.e. diversified farms, deletion from the register and transitions. When the value of the set of key parameters changed, several simulation runs were performed and various development scenarios were considered. The simulation results confirm that with the aid of the system dynamics model the effects of key variables on the process of transition of agricultural holdings to tourist farms can be estimated. By means of the model, the importance of the role of subsidies and promotion was identified. The impact of the occurrence of coronavirus disease covid-19 on the response of the entire system of agricultural production, which has a significant influence on the transition process of agricultural holdings, was determined.

07.08.2023